Probability of hitting Homeruns at the Country Club

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In summary, the problem involves calculating probabilities for the time of day that a homerun occurs at a country club where players hit an average of 5 per day. The first question asks for the probability that the first ball hits during the 5th hour, while the second question asks for the probability that the third ball hits during the 5th hour expressed as a function of e. The third question involves finding the probability of two days in a week where no homeruns occur, using the Poisson distribution and the fact that each day is 10 hours long. The Gamma distribution can be expressed as a sum of Exponential distributions in order to solve the second question.
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mathmajor23
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For this problem, make the assumption that each day is 10 hours long, and that all 7 days of every week you expect the same number of players to be playing all day long.

At the Country Club, players hit a homerun at an average rate of 5 per day.

1) What is the probability that the first ball to get hit for a homerun occurs during the 5th hour of the day?

2) What is the probability that the third ball to get hit for a homerun occurs during the 5th hour of the day? Express your answer as a function of the number e.

3) What is the probability that there are two days in a week where no balls get hit for a homerun?

My attempt:

1) Let X = time the first ball gets hit for a homerun ~ exp(mean 2 hours)
P(4<X<5) =

2) Let Y = time until third balls gets hit for a homerun ~ Gamma(3,2) hours
P(4<Y<5) = ... (not sure how to express answer as a function of e)

3) Let Z = #days in a week where balls get hit for homeruns ~ Poisson(35 balls/7day)
P(Z=5) = ...
 
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Do you realize how old this thread is?
 
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SammyS said:
Do you realize how old this thread is?
It's okay to reply to old threads that have no replies yet. We've done a lot of work trying to clean up such threads in the past. :smile:
 

Related to Probability of hitting Homeruns at the Country Club

1. What is the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club?

The probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club depends on various factors such as the skill of the player, the weather conditions, and the type of equipment being used. However, on average, it is estimated that the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club ranges from 5-10%.

2. Does the type of equipment used affect the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club?

Yes, the type of equipment used can greatly impact the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club. The size and weight of the bat, as well as the type of ball being used, can all affect the trajectory and distance of the ball when hit.

3. How do weather conditions affect the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club?

Weather conditions can have a significant impact on the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club. Wind speed and direction, air temperature, and humidity can all affect the flight of the ball and make it more or less likely to result in a homerun.

4. Is there a difference in the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club for different skill levels?

Yes, there is a difference in the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club for different skill levels. Professional players who have honed their skills and have a lot of experience are more likely to hit a homerun compared to amateur players or beginners.

5. Can the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club be accurately predicted?

While there are many factors that can influence the probability of hitting a homerun at the Country Club, it is possible to make predictions based on statistical data and analysis. However, there will always be an element of uncertainty due to the unpredictable nature of the game and external factors such as weather conditions.

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