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OrbitalPower
iL6YS-8rBnE[/youtube]
On Bill Ma...ntist Robert Dahl dubbed the American system?
http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/pikettyqje.pdfThe wars generated large Žscal shocks, especially in the
corporate sector that mechanically reduced distributions to stockholders.
We argue that top capital incomes were never able to
fully recover from these shocks, probably because of the dynamic
effects of progressive taxation on capital accumulation and
wealth inequality. We also show that top wage shares were at
from the 1920s until 1940 and dropped precipitously during the
war. Top wage shares have started to recover from theWorldWar
II shock in the late 1960s, and they are now higher than before
World War II. Thus, the increase in top income shares in the last
three decades is the direct consequence of the surge in top wages.
As a result, the composition of income in the top income groups
has shifted dramatically over the century: the working rich have
now replaced the coupon-clipping rentiers. We argue that both
the downturn and the upturn of top wage shares seem too sudden
to be accounted for by technical change alone. Our series suggest
that other factors, such as changes in labor market institutions,
Žscal policy, or more generally social norms regarding pay inequality
may have played important roles in the determination of
the wage structure.
russ_watters said:China, with its vastly increasing income inequality must be in real trouble, then -- despite that they also have consistent 10% gdp growth...
I'm not a big believer in coincidences. Economic growth and income inequality go hand in hand. Income inequality helps drive economic growth. If the opposite were true (that income inequality was harmful to prosperity), we would not have seen the spectacular increases in the Western standard of living over the past 50 years.
The US economy is vastly different today from pre-WWII. There was an awful lot of "old money" out there - people who never worked a day in their lives and lived only on their investments. These people didn't take much from the economy but they also didn't add much - in essence, they weren't really part of the economy. There isn't nearly as much of that today. Today, we have a class of "working rich" - entrpreneurs who have earned their money in ways that stimulated the economy (ie, by starting businesses).
At the same time, there is a theory that in a healthy capitalistic society, the historical income inequality will be inverted U-shaped, decreasing as more of the lower end get pulled up. We may yet see that happen.
An article on the subject: http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/pikettyqje.pdf
Get real! ... look north to Canada ... they have a better banking system and and plenty of growthInteresting. So would Obama's economic policies actually stagnate economic growth?
Could you be more specific about what policies you mean?LightbulbSun said:Interesting. So would Obama's economic policies actually stagnate economic growth?
russ_watters said:China, with its vastly increasing income inequality must be in real trouble, then -- despite that they also have consistent 10% gdp growth...
Thanks for the QJE piece RussW. Here's an old joke I heard once while visiting US old money, blue-blood country; it underscores the point above by it's out datedness. Paraphrasing:russ_watters said:...The US economy is vastly different today from pre-WWII. There was an awful lot of "old money" out there - people who never worked a day in their lives and lived only on their investments. These people didn't take much from the economy but they also didn't add much - in essence, they weren't really part of the economy. There isn't nearly as much of that today. Today, we have a class of "working rich" - entrpreneurs who have earned their money in ways that stimulated the economy (ie, by starting businesses).
...
russ_watters said:Could you be more specific about what policies you mean?
Canadian unemployment over the last 10 years averaged over 7% compared to 5% in the US. US GDP growth averaged over 3% in the last five years, Canada under 3%. To its credit, recent Canadian governments have been running a budget surplus. To emulate all this the US should first ... become the 2nd largest holder of oil reserves in the world (counting tar sands). Oil/gas/mineral exports, mainly to the US, count for a large part of the Canadian industries sector and resulting government revenue, as the recent collapse of oil prices and US slowdown is about to highlight.jal said:Get real! ... look north to Canada ... they have a better banking system and and plenty of growth
That idea is the very essence of socialism and will undoubtably stifle growth. If by quixotic, you mean dreaming of the ideas of Marxist redistribution of wealth and a resulting paradise - a long dead dream of a flawed ideology - then yes.LightbulbSun said:Correct me if I'm wrong on this, but it seems like Obama's economic policies are centered around increasing taxes on the rich (the ones who makes $250,000 or more a year) and evenly distributing the wealth. Is this just a quixotic idea or will this actually improve economic growth?
http://faculty-web.at.northwestern.edu/economics/gordon/355.pdfBy definition, the remaining causes of Europe's low standard of living relative to its
high relative productivity must be accounted for by some combination of a higher structural
unemployment rate and a lower labor force participation rate. The higher unemployment rate
in Europe is at least partly due to more generous unemployment compensation, and the
welfare adjustment is not obvious. But part of the unemployment is related to laws that have
lengthened vacations and shortened weekly work hours, making workers more expensive to
employ.
I agree that a) the trend at the moment is for more socialism in the US, and b) that other Western countries have chosen much greater levels of socialism relative to the US in past decades. However, I argue that at the moment other Western countries are probably moving away from socialism; the record is at least mixed.russ_watters said:...Nevertheless, it is clear that socialistic policy is on the rise in both the US and in the West in general...
That idea is the very essence of socialism and will undoubtably stifle growth.
Crosson said:Have you looked at the stock market lately? Clearly the very essence of capitalism has stifled its long-term growth...
I'm not plugged into foreign politics enough to know much about that - but I hope you are right that the pendulum is swinging back toward freedom/democracy.mheslep said:I agree that a) the trend at the moment is for more socialism in the US, and b) that other Western countries have chosen much greater levels of socialism relative to the US in past decades. However, I argue that at the moment other Western countries are probably moving away from socialism; the record is at least mixed.
I assume these trends are the result of growing recognition of the consequences outlined, for instance, in the article posted by RussW. Hopefully these trends in other OECD countries will be noticed in the US.
"lately...long term".Crosson said:Have you looked at the stock market lately? Clearly the very essence of capitalism has stifled its long-term growth...
What on Earth has freedom/democracy got to do with the subject at hand?? It's not as if we socialist Europeans live in countries whose internet usage is monitored and recorded, whose phone calls are listened into by the gov't and who holds prisoners without charge in secret prisons whilst torturing them; or even in countries where elections are settled in gov't appointed courts rather than through the ballot box.russ_watters said:I'm not plugged into foreign politics enough to know much about that - but I hope you are right that the pendulum is swinging back toward freedom/democracy.
drankin said:I disagree. Our current situation is due to banks loaning money to people who could not pay it back. Basically, gambling by both the lender and borrower. The markets will readjust.
Socialism does not allow people to build wealth. It does not reward individuals who work hard and take the risks to pursue success. It's an ideal (similar to a religion) that, in my opinion, does not inspire innovation let alone support "long-term growth".
It is both, a government more activist in the means of production, rather than less, chosen by the majority. The fact that the majority chose that path does not by itself make it a good thing. In this case, the many who are unemployed are losing freedom - the option to go out and earn a living, or just work productively in their chosen field - because, for instance, employers can not afford to hire any more people who are gone 50 days a year.vanesch said:...Look at holidays in France. Yes, it is probably true that this hinders growth, and that this increases unemployment, etc... But if it is something that the French find important (visibly they do), and they don't want to be caught in a competition with those who do want to work harder (a minority) and hence be obliged to work harder themselves, then that is their good right. If they decide democratically that they want 50 days of holidays a year, even if that comes at a cost of lower growth and higher unemployment, then so be it. It is the desire of the people in that case. Personally, I enjoy 50 days of holiday a year. If I could double my salary by giving this up, I think I wouldn't - for the moment. Is this "socialist", or just democracy in action ? ...
mheslep said:It is both, a government more activist in the means of production, rather than less, chosen by the majority. The fact that the majority chose that path does not by itself make it a good thing. In this case, the many who are unemployed are losing freedom - the option to go out and earn a living, or just work productively in their chosen field - because, for instance, employers can not afford to hire any more people who are gone 50 days a year.
That would be the dogma of the mob (or perhaps Robespierre), not a constitutional democracy. C'mon that has a hole a mile wide and centuries of history posting warning signs en-route to the hole. Slavery was once considered a good for the majority. There are certain basic human freedoms that the majority, even in unanimity, does not have the right to infringe. Perhaps the state has the power, granted by the people, to in act very restrictive velvet glove labor laws, but let's not pretend that the state does not simultaneously reduce the liberty of others by doing so.vanesch said:Uh, the democratic dogma is that "good" = "whatever the majority desires"
By definition then, it means that the freedom of the unemployed is considered a lesser good than the desire of the majority to enjoy more free time.
russ_watters said:My point is that you can't have those 1000 people making $100,000 a year unless there is someone to employ them and pay them. And that's the guy making $100 million. They can't exist without him.
WheelsRCool said:The thing to keep in mind is that "whatever the majority desires" is not always a good thing; it is oftentimes just the mob in charge. The majority must be protected from the minority, but the minority must be protected from the majority.
America produces so much wealth because in general it has lived by a very simple rule: You don't work, you don't eat.
mheslep said:That would be the dogma of the mob (or perhaps Robespierre), not a constitutional democracy. C'mon that has a hole a mile wide and centuries of history posting warning signs en-route to the hole. Slavery was once considered a good for the majority. There are certain basic human freedoms that the majority, even in unanimity, does not have the right to infringe. Perhaps the state has the power, granted by the people, to in act very restrictive velvet glove labor laws, but let's not pretend that the state does not simultaneously reduce the liberty of others by doing so.
Originally Posted by LightbulbSun
Correct me if I'm wrong on this, but it seems like Obama's economic policies are centered around increasing taxes on the rich (the ones who makes $250,000 or more a year) and evenly distributing the wealth. Is this just a quixotic idea or will this actually improve economic growth?
That idea is the very essence of socialism and will undoubtably stifle growth.
I'm confused too. I don't see how anything I said in any way implied that characterization.Art said:What on Earth has freedom/democracy got to do with the subject at hand?? It's not as if we socialist Europeans live in countries whose internet usage is monitored and recorded, whose phone calls are listened into by the gov't and who holds prisoners without charge in secret prisons whilst torturing them; or even in countries where elections are settled in gov't appointed courts rather than through the ballot box.
That's a choice people are free to make in the US but not free to make in Europe. In the US, though, people tend to choose the longer work weeks because it means they have more money and therefore can buy the "stuff" that Americans love so much. If an American wants more free time and less "stuff" they are entitled (and many choose it). If a European wants more "stuff" and less free time, they are not.You refer to shorter working weeks and longer vacations as if they are a negative in society. Perhaps you should consider the possibility that quality of life is an important consideration for most people which is greatly enhanced by spending more leisure time with friends and family. If longer working weeks and less leisure time is your goal then perhaps a slavocracy would by your ideal society.
You are, of course, right - the main sticking point here is just in where to draw the line.vanesch said:I find this socialist-capitalist opposition rather sterile and outdated. I think it is clear that a pure free market is out of the question and a pure state-controlled economy doesn't work ; what most western democracies go for is a regulated market, where the market is essentially left free, but where certain democratically desired features that are not achieved by market forces are put in by regulation - by hard law, or by incentives such as taxes and fees.
No, it really isn't. There is a reason that Microsoft (by that I mean the computer and internet revolutions) was started in the US and not in Europe. The structure of the American economy and political system made it much more likely to happen here than anywhere else.wildman said:It is the old chicken and egg thing.
That's a pretty bold claim - could you provide one example of where it has been true on a national level (in modern times)? It sounds to me like something Marx would say and AFAIK, it has never been true. People often dream of a cooperative society, but dreams are not reality and wishing for them doesn't make them happen.Astronuc said:Socio-economics systems work well when self interest = common interest (or common good).
That sounds like an odd statement to me - could you explain a little more what you mean? It would seem to me that the profit from interest goes to banks and investors and does not get redistributed. The whole issue of wealth inequality is one of investment income, is it not?Interest on credit redistributes wealth as effectively as taxes.
russ_watters said:I'm confused too. I don't see how anything I said in any way implied that characterization. That's a choice people are free to make in the US but not free to make in Europe. In the US, though, people tend to choose the longer work weeks
russ_watters said:That's a pretty bold claim - could you provide one example of where it has been true on a national level (in modern times)? It sounds to me like something Marx would say and AFAIK, it has never been true.
Office_Shredder said:Because if they say they want more vacation time someone else gets hired instead