In mathematics, a time series is a series of data points indexed (or listed or graphed) in time order. Most commonly, a time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time. Thus it is a sequence of discrete-time data. Examples of time series are heights of ocean tides, counts of sunspots, and the daily closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Time series are very frequently plotted via run charts (a temporal line chart). Time series are used in statistics, signal processing, pattern recognition, econometrics, mathematical finance, weather forecasting, earthquake prediction, electroencephalography, control engineering, astronomy, communications engineering, and largely in any domain of applied science and engineering which involves temporal measurements.
Time series analysis comprises methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the data. Time series forecasting is the use of a model to predict future values based on previously observed values. While regression analysis is often employed in such a way as to test relationships between one or more different time series, this type of analysis is not usually called "time series analysis", which refers in particular to relationships between different points in time within a single series. Interrupted time series analysis is used to detect changes in the evolution of a time series from before to after some intervention which may affect the underlying variable.
Time series data have a natural temporal ordering. This makes time series analysis distinct from cross-sectional studies, in which there is no natural ordering of the observations (e.g. explaining people's wages by reference to their respective education levels, where the individuals' data could be entered in any order). Time series analysis is also distinct from spatial data analysis where the observations typically relate to geographical locations (e.g. accounting for house prices by the location as well as the intrinsic characteristics of the houses). A stochastic model for a time series will generally reflect the fact that observations close together in time will be more closely related than observations further apart. In addition, time series models will often make use of the natural one-way ordering of time so that values for a given period will be expressed as deriving in some way from past values, rather than from future values (see time reversibility).
Time series analysis can be applied to real-valued, continuous data, discrete numeric data, or discrete symbolic data (i.e. sequences of characters, such as letters and words in the English language).
Hi all,
and thank you for reading/responding to my thread.I have a problem which involves time series and its power spectra.
Some background:
I have an 10.000xN matrix(called matr) whose columns are individual time series with real data values and I want to plot their power spectra...
Hi All,
I've searched the web up and down, and a few textbooks, all to no avail.
I have two time series (of 30 elements each), and I'd like to test if they are statistically different from each other (I suppose this could be reworded as, "are they equal" or "is their difference...
Hi,
I have a question on stationarity in time series.
I basically understand the concept, I think. However, I don't understand why the lag should affect the joint distribution.
For example, the joint distribution of <Yt, Yt+a> should be the same as the joint distribution of <Yp...
Hi,
I'm in a college statistics course where I'm doing an assignement with Minitab.
I have a one month time series of electricity use (hour intervals).
I've attempted to remove the season effect from weekdays by index multiplication so all I'm left with (hopefully) is the effect from...
Can anyone help clarify a few things about telling the time series model used based on the (partial) autocorrelation graphs. For example, if I have to difference a series once to get the autocorrelation and partial correlation graph completely within the confidence bands, does that mean it's...
Hi,
Is there like some widely accepted threshold for autocorrelation time of a time series for it to be considered "uncorrelated"?
I used MATLAB to generate approx. 1000 gaussian random numbers and found their autocorrelation time to be approx. 1.07... is this small enough for it to be called...
Hi,
I have a question regarding Fourier Series. I have a random set of time series data. Is there anyway to break this down into sines and cosines. From the literature I have read it seems like you can break down a function into sines and cosines but I need to do this for a random set of...
This post may seem a bit meandering, but it does well to fully communicate my thoughts and ultimate questions.
Very little of the literature on Time Series Models makes reference to what is sparsely referred to elsewhere as the "Coefficient of Error", or even R-squared/Adjusted R-squared...
IM given a question on MATLAB programming.
It ask to construct a numerical generative model for autoregressive model of order two;
xt -xt-1 + 0.5t-2 = et. generate and plot 256 time series samples.
then numerically obtain the spectrum of this time series and plot them.
assuming noise process...
Hi all.
Anyone can say to me as I can know if a time serie is in stationary
regime?. I.E. What mathematical tool I must use to find out this when
the time series is empirical?
Thantks Horacio.
Hi,
I am currently investigating environmental time series and algorithms to determine when an 'unexpected' event/reading has occurred in the series. I am currently constructing the gaussian probability density function (pdf) based on historical readings and checking if 'new' readings are...
Given a time series Yt, how can you decide what distribution the values obey, if any? In particular, is there a way to make sure the time series obeys a Gaussian distribution?
Thanks,
Frank
Analysis by Its History
E. Hairer & G. Wanner
Published by Springer, as part of their Undergraduate Texts in Mathematics series.
ISBN 0-387-94551-2
http://www.springer-ny.com
Introduction: For many first year Mathematics undergraduates an introduction to Analysis is often...