Advanced Probability Question

[crimsonking024]

appreciate your help greatly.

I am very good with probability but am no expert.

I am looking to find the probability for a subject that is 26 years old, whom hasn't recalled a dream in six years, to all of a sudden have six extremely vivid dreams on six straight nights. Also the dreams are all interwoven and consist of the same subject and place and expand upon the others(if you can't formulate this part that is fine).

If someone could help me out with writing this out and also getting the actual probability of this scenario, I would really appreciate it! If you have any questions or need any more factors, just let me know but I think that what was given should be enough to generate an equation and get an answer.

Thanks

 

[Jameson]

Hi crimsonking024,

This is not something that can be determined mathematically with the information you gave us. There's no standard for "probability that one recalls a dream" or "probability two dreams are interwoven" so we can't really help you with this problem. If you can provide some numbers or you have other questions then we'll be happy to help.

Jameson

 

[crimsonking024]

Hi crimsonking024,

This is not something that can be determined mathematically with the information you gave us. There's no standard for "probability that one recalls a dream" or "probability two dreams are interwoven" so we can't really help you with this problem. If you can provide some numbers or you have other questions then we'll be happy to help.

Jameson

Yea, I figured that might be impossible. There should be way to determine the odds of someone not dreaming for six years and having six dreams on six consecutive days though...

 

[CaptainBlack]

Yea, I figured that might be impossible. There should be way to determine the odds of someone not dreaming for six years and having six dreams on six consecutive days though...

The six dreams on six consecutive nights is probably irrelevant from a probability point of view as there may well be a triggering event and so these are not samples from a random distribution of vivid dreams over time, but in effect a single event.

CB

 

[blue_raver22]

for reaching out for help with this advanced probability question. It sounds like you are interested in calculating the probability of a specific scenario occurring for a 26-year-old individual who hasn't recalled a dream in six years suddenly having six vivid dreams on six consecutive nights, all related to the same subject and place.

To calculate this probability, we will need to make some assumptions and use some statistical techniques. First, we will need to assume that the individual's age, past dream recall, and current dream frequency are all independent variables and do not affect each other. We will also need to assume that the probability of having a vivid dream is constant for each night. With these assumptions, we can use a binomial probability distribution to calculate the overall probability of this scenario occurring.

To calculate the probability, we will need to know the individual's baseline dream recall rate (the probability of recalling a dream on any given night), as well as the probability of having a vivid dream on any given night. From there, we can use the binomial probability formula to calculate the probability of having six vivid dreams in a row.

However, it is important to note that this calculation will only give us an estimate of the probability, as there are many other factors that could influence dream recall and vividness. For example, stress levels, sleep patterns, and overall mental and physical health can also play a role in dream frequency and vividness.

In order to get a more accurate estimate, it would be helpful to have more information about the individual's sleep habits, lifestyle, and any potential factors that could impact their dream recall. But with the information provided, we can still use statistical techniques to estimate the probability of this scenario occurring. I hope this helps and good luck with your calculations!