Are These Probability Calculation Methods Correct?

In summary, the events of the vaccine being effective and having a positive test result are independent events, meaning that the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other. The probability of the vaccine being effective is approximately 0.16, and the probability of either a positive test result or the vaccine being effective is approximately 0.36. The given probabilities in the second conversation are not possible based on the given set notation.
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m1359
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1. 50 vaccines are tested on patients to see how well they treat a virus. The results of the tests are recorded in this table.

___________________Positive Test Result______Negative Test Result
Vaccine is effective__________20_____________________10________
Vaccine is ineffective_________5______________________90________

(The table above doesn't really make sense to me...)

a) Show that the events the vaccine is effective and has positive result independent events. (That's how its worded and I cannot understand what it's even trying to ask... maybe you know?)

b) What is the probability that the vaccine is effective.

My attempt:
20/sample space
20/125?
= 0.16

c) What is the probability that the vaccine is effective given that the test was positive? (I don't know what this question is asking that is different from the previous question.)

d) What is the probability that the vaccine has either a positive test result or is effective?

My attempt:
P(A) = 0.16

P(B) = (11+4)/sample space
= 25/125?
= 0.2

P(A or B) = 0.16 + 0.2 = 0.36






2. Given (A ∩ B) ⊆ B ⊆ (A ∪ B), explain if the given probabilities are possible or not:

a) P(A ∪ B) = 0.6 and P(B) = 0.4
b) P(B) = 0.4 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.6
c) P(A ∪ B) = 0.4 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.6

I don't understand this question because of the (A ∩ B) ⊆ B ⊆ (A ∪ B) that I compare each question to. How do I go about solving this?

Thanks in advance.
 
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a) P(A ∪ B) = 0.6 and P(B) = 0.4

This is possible because P(A ∪ B) represents the probability of either event A or event B occurring, and P(B) represents the probability of event B occurring. Since event B is a subset of (or included in) event A ∪ B, it is possible for P(B) to be smaller than P(A ∪ B). In this case, there is a 40% chance of event B occurring and a 60% chance of either event A or B occurring.

b) P(B) = 0.4 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.6

This is not possible because P(A ∩ B) represents the probability of both events A and B occurring, and P(B) represents the probability of event B occurring. Since event B is a subset of (or included in) event A ∩ B, the probability of event B occurring cannot be larger than the probability of both events A and B occurring. In this case, P(B) is larger than P(A ∩ B), which is not possible.

c) P(A ∪ B) = 0.4 and P(A ∩ B) = 0.6

This is not possible because P(A ∪ B) represents the probability of either event A or event B occurring, and P(A ∩ B) represents the probability of both events A and B occurring. Since event A ∩ B is a subset of (or included in) event A ∪ B, the probability of both events A and B occurring cannot be larger than the probability of either event A or B occurring. In this case, P(A ∩ B) is larger than P(A ∪ B), which is not possible.
 

FAQ: Are These Probability Calculation Methods Correct?

What is the definition of probability?

Probability is a measure of the likelihood of an event occurring. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

What is the difference between independent and dependent events?

Independent events are those in which the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of another event. Dependent events are those in which the outcome of one event is affected by the outcome of another event.

How do you calculate the probability of an event?

The probability of an event is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. This can be represented as P(event) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes.

What is the difference between theoretical and experimental probability?

Theoretical probability is based on mathematical calculations and assumes that all outcomes are equally likely. Experimental probability is based on actual data collected from experiments or observations.

How can probability be used in real life situations?

Probability is used in many real life situations, such as predicting the weather, making financial decisions, and analyzing risks in various industries. It can also be used to make informed decisions based on the likelihood of certain outcomes.

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