Calculating Power for a Study: Population µ = 100, σ = 20

In summary: In this case, the alternative hypothesis is that the true mean is 105, rather than 100.Hope this helps!In summary, the conversation discusses a problem in which the population mean is µ = 100 and the population standard deviation is σ = 20. The individual is planning a study with a sample of 50 participants and expects the sample mean to be 5 points different from the population mean. They are using a non-directional hypothesis with an α value of .05. The individual then calculates the standard error and uses it to find the power of the study, which turns out to be 57.53%. After receiving a reply, the individual realizes they had calculated the type II error instead of the power and learns to draw
  • #1
TrielaM
2
0
I have had some issues with an equation in one of my classes, hoping some one can point out what I am going wrong. If anyone can point out some flaw in my process or calculations I would appreciate it. The problem lists:

Population µ = 100, σ = 20. Planning to have a sample of 50 participants, and expect the sample mean to be 5 points different from the population mean. Use non-directional hypothesis and α = .05.

What is the Power for this planned study?​

My calculations:
σ /(SqrRt)n = 20/(SqrRt) 50 = 20/7.071 = 2.828 Standard error
α = .05 = z = +1.96
1.96(2.828) = 5.543

z= (M-µ)/Standard Error = (105.543-105)/2.828 = .543/2.828 = 0.19

Z Table: .19 = .5753
Power = 57.53%
 
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  • #2
TrielaM said:
I have had some issues with an equation in one of my classes, hoping some one can point out what I am going wrong. If anyone can point out some flaw in my process or calculations I would appreciate it. The problem lists:

Population µ = 100, σ = 20. Planning to have a sample of 50 participants, and expect the sample mean to be 5 points different from the population mean. Use non-directional hypothesis and α = .05.

What is the Power for this planned study?​

My calculations:
σ /(SqrRt)n = 20/(SqrRt) 50 = 20/7.071 = 2.828 Standard error
α = .05 = z = +1.96
1.96(2.828) = 5.543

z= (M-µ)/Standard Error = (105.543-105)/2.828 = .543/2.828 = 0.19

Z Table: .19 = .5753
Power = 57.53%

Welcome to MHB, TrielaM! :)

It appears you have calculated the type II error $\beta$.
The power is its complement.

Power.png


In your case:
\begin{aligned}\beta &= 57.53\% \\
\text{Power} &= 42.47\% \end{aligned}
 
  • #3
Thank you very much for the reply. So in the process I used I needed to add a step for 1-B. Would this step be applicable all the time with this form of equation or no? The books I was using didn't include this but it was certainly the correct answer, instead it had you pull from a Z table in the section for the body, where as here the answer was found in the tail. At least I know where I was flubbing up though I am still not sure how to make the distinction.
 
  • #4
TrielaM said:
Thank you very much for the reply. So in the process I used I needed to add a step for 1-B. Would this step be applicable all the time with this form of equation or no?

Yes.
I would suggest always drawing a picture though, like the one I have included in my previous post.

The books I was using didn't include this but it was certainly the correct answer, instead it had you pull from a Z table in the section for the body, where as here the answer was found in the tail. At least I know where I was flubbing up though I am still not sure how to make the distinction.

Apparently you pulled your result from a Z table that gives the area to the left, which is pretty standard and often shown in a small graph next to the table.
As a result your value of z=0.19 gives you the green area.

Power.png


But you need the blue area, which is the area to the right of z=0.19.

Note that the power of a test (the blue area) is the probability that we reject the null hypothesis when it should indeed be rejected, because the alternative hypothesis is true.
 
  • #5


Your calculations are incorrect. Here is the correct process to calculate power for this study:

Step 1: Determine the effect size, which is the difference between the population mean and the expected sample mean. In this case, the effect size is 5.

Step 2: Determine the standard deviation of the sampling distribution, which is equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. In this case, the standard deviation of the sampling distribution is 20/√50 = 2.828.

Step 3: Determine the critical z-score for a non-directional hypothesis with a significance level of α = .05. This can be found using a z-table or a statistical software, and in this case, the critical z-score is 1.96.

Step 4: Calculate the z-score for the effect size. This can be done by dividing the effect size by the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. In this case, the z-score is 5/2.828 = 1.769.

Step 5: Determine the area under the normal curve from the critical z-score to the z-score for the effect size. This can also be found using a z-table or a statistical software, and in this case, the area is 0.0385.

Step 6: Calculate the power by subtracting the area from 1. In this case, the power is 1 - 0.0385 = 0.9615 or 96.15%.

Therefore, the power for this planned study is 96.15%. It is important to note that this is an estimated power and the actual power may differ depending on the sample size, effect size, and other factors.
 

FAQ: Calculating Power for a Study: Population µ = 100, σ = 20

How is power calculated for a study?

Power is calculated by taking into account the sample size, the desired level of significance (alpha), and the effect size. The formula for power is 1 - beta, where beta is the probability of making a Type II error (failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is false). In the case of our study with a population mean (µ) of 100 and a standard deviation (σ) of 20, power can be calculated using statistical software or online calculators.

What is the significance level (alpha) for this study?

The significance level (alpha) for this study is not specified, so we cannot accurately calculate the power. However, a commonly used alpha level is 0.05, which corresponds to a 95% confidence interval. This means that there is a 5% chance of making a Type I error (rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true) in this study.

How does sample size affect power?

Sample size has a direct impact on power. As the sample size increases, the power of the study also increases. This is because a larger sample size provides more information and reduces the variability in the data. Therefore, larger sample sizes are generally associated with higher power and smaller sample sizes with lower power.

What is the effect size for this study?

The effect size for this study is not specified, so we cannot accurately calculate the power. Effect size is a measure of the magnitude of the difference between the groups being compared. It is typically represented by the Greek letter "d" and is calculated by taking the difference between the means of the two groups and dividing it by the standard deviation. A larger effect size indicates a stronger relationship between the variables and leads to higher power.

Why is calculating power important for a study?

Calculating power is important because it helps researchers determine the likelihood of detecting a true effect in their study. A study with low power may fail to detect a significant effect, even if one truly exists, leading to a Type II error. By calculating power, researchers can ensure that their study has enough statistical power to detect a significant difference if one exists, thus increasing the validity of their results.

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