Conditional normal distribution

In summary, a member of the group, who is familiar with statistics, is seeking help in deriving the conditional distribution of a multivariate normal distribution with two groups of variables - one group with known values below zero and the other group with known values above zero. They are interested in the distribution of the positive vector components based on the information that the others are below zero. They mention the possibility of applying the Bayes rule to solve this problem.
  • #1
jstar
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Hi all

First of all, I am new here but I am not new to statistics. But I need your help:smile:

I do have a multivariate normal distribution: x~p(mu,sig)

the vector x has to groups of variables, those that I know are below zero (x_bz), and those that I know are above zero (x_az).
I am interested in the conditional distribution of the x above zero: p(x_az|x_bz<0). Can someone help me derive this distribution or is this a known distribution I was to stupid to find?

thanks for all input, J
 
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  • #2
the vector x has to groups of variables, those that I know are below zero (x_bz), and those that I know are above zero (x_az).
You mean, some of the vector components have positive realizations while some other components have negative realizations, is that correct?
 
  • #3
yes, I do know the signs and would like to know how the positive vector components are distributed conditional on the information that the others are below zero (but I do not know what value they hold - only the signs).

so what I want is to condition the multivariate normal distribution on an intervall - and not as usually on a single value or vector:

p(x_az|x_bz<0) <> p(x_az|x_bz=0).

and then truncate the resulting distribution above zero (which should be the easier part, I think/hope)

thank for any idea
 
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  • #4
Have you thought of applying the Bayes rule?
 

FAQ: Conditional normal distribution

What is a conditional normal distribution?

A conditional normal distribution is a probability distribution that describes the likelihood of a variable occurring within a certain range of values, given that another variable has a specific value. It is a type of statistical model used to analyze and understand relationships between variables.

How is a conditional normal distribution different from a regular normal distribution?

A regular normal distribution describes the probability of a single variable occurring within a certain range of values. In contrast, a conditional normal distribution considers the influence of another variable on the probability of the first variable occurring within that range.

What is the formula for calculating a conditional normal distribution?

The formula for calculating a conditional normal distribution involves using the mean and standard deviation of both variables. It is written as P(X | Y) = (1 / (sigma * sqrt(2*pi))) * exp(-(x - mu)^2 / (2 * sigma^2)), where X is the first variable, Y is the second variable, mu is the mean, and sigma is the standard deviation.

Can a conditional normal distribution be used for any two variables?

Yes, a conditional normal distribution can be used for any two variables that have a linear relationship. This means that the variables are correlated, and changes in one variable can be explained by changes in the other variable.

What are some real-world applications of a conditional normal distribution?

Conditional normal distributions are commonly used in finance, economics, and social sciences to model relationships between variables. They are also used in predictive analytics to forecast trends and make informed decisions based on data. Additionally, they can be used in machine learning algorithms to improve accuracy and make more informed predictions.

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