Dark energy might not be constant after all

In summary, recent research suggests that dark energy, previously thought to be a constant force driving the universe's accelerated expansion, may actually vary over time. This challenges longstanding cosmological models and could have significant implications for our understanding of the universe's fate and the fundamental nature of dark energy itself.
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Filip Larsen
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https://arstechnica.com/science/2024/04/dark-energy-might-not-be-constant-after-all/
https://www.desi.lbl.gov/2024/04/04...recise-measurement-of-the-expanding-universe/

Interesting preliminary indications from DESI (which I did not know about until now).

The Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI)​

The Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) will measure the effect of dark energy on the expansion of the universe. It will obtain optical spectra for tens of millions of galaxies and quasars, constructing a 3D map spanning the nearby universe to 11 billion light years.
 
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One question:
In https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.03002.pdf
it is written in the abstract:

1712489258029.png


"upper limit Sum mν < 0.072 (0.113) eV at 95% confidence for a Sum mν > 0 (Sum mν > 0.059) eV prior."

To which value we can believe more, 0.072 eV, or to 0.113 eV?
 
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exponent137 said:
One question:
In https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.03002.pdf
it is written in the abstract:

View attachment 342927

"upper limit Sum mν < 0.072 (0.113) eV at 95% confidence for a Sum mν > 0 (Sum mν > 0.059) eV prior."

To which value we can believe more, 0.072 eV, or to 0.113 eV?
As noted in the main text,
1712490589503.png
 
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So, is 0.113 eV the more correct answer? Let us ignore IH. What is the point of 0.072 eV? To show that the results are more precise?
 
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  • #5
exponent137 said:
So, is 0.113 eV the more correct answer? Let us ignore IH. What is the point of 0.072 eV? To show that the results are more precise?
It's not that it's 'more correct'. The result is dependent on what one assumes is the correct lower bound for the sum of neutrino masses. If you assume one thing, it's that. If you assume another, it's the other thing.
They have to assume something, because it's not known. But there are good reasons to pick some specific values, for which they show the corresponding results.

The relevant bit is in section 7.1 (second paragraph).
 
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exponent137 said:
One question:
In https://arxiv.org/pdf/2404.03002.pdf
it is written in the abstract:

View attachment 342927

"upper limit Sum mν < 0.072 (0.113) eV at 95% confidence for a Sum mν > 0 (Sum mν > 0.059) eV prior."

To which value we can believe more, 0.072 eV, or to 0.113 eV?
The second. The merely non-zero Bayesian prior for the sum of the three neutrino masses is contrary to the whole point of using Bayesian statistics (which is to incorporate information that you already know in a prior), and should just be ignored as meaningless.
 
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Bandersnatch said:
It's not that it's 'more correct'. The result is dependent on what one assumes is the correct lower bound for the sum of neutrino masses. If you assume one thing, it's that. If you assume another, it's the other thing.
They have to assume something, because it's not known. But there are good reasons to pick some specific values, for which they show the corresponding results.

The relevant bit is in section 7.1 (second paragraph).

I read. One option is for the degenerate case. I suppose that this option is contrary to the measured mass differences of neutrinos? If it is in contradiction with measurements, why it is used? Maybe because it gives some simplified information?
 
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FAQ: Dark energy might not be constant after all

What is dark energy?

Dark energy is a mysterious form of energy that makes up about 68% of the universe. It is thought to be responsible for the accelerated expansion of the universe, counteracting the gravitational forces of matter. Its exact nature remains one of the biggest questions in cosmology.

Why is the idea that dark energy might not be constant significant?

If dark energy is not constant, it could imply that the expansion of the universe is influenced by varying energy densities over time. This challenges the current understanding of cosmology, which assumes dark energy has a constant density, known as the cosmological constant, and could lead to new physics beyond the standard model of cosmology.

What evidence suggests that dark energy might not be constant?

Recent observations of distant supernovae, cosmic microwave background radiation, and large-scale structure of the universe have provided hints that the properties of dark energy might change over time. These observations indicate that the rate of expansion may have varied throughout the history of the universe.

What are the implications of variable dark energy for the fate of the universe?

If dark energy varies, it could significantly alter predictions about the ultimate fate of the universe. Scenarios could range from a continued accelerated expansion to a potential slowing down or even a reversal of expansion, leading to different outcomes such as the Big Crunch or a stable universe.

How do scientists study dark energy and its potential variability?

Scientists study dark energy through various methods, including observational cosmology, analyzing the light from distant supernovae, galaxy clustering, and the cosmic microwave background. They also use theoretical models to explore how different forms of dark energy might behave over time, comparing predictions with observational data.

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