Difference between correlation/causation and post hoc ergo propter hoc

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In summary, the two fallacies are not equivalent. One ignores time on the left side, while the other accounts for time.
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Simfish
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Correlation <=> Causation and post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy

The difference is that the latter implies a temporal element, whereas correlation <=> causation doesn't always imply a temporal element. On the other hand, does every action have to take a time? After all, a causation must take time. So while one can conceive of a situation where the two expressions are not equivalent; are the two expressions are equivalent in our world?
 
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Simfishy said:
Correlation <=> Causation and post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy

The difference is that the latter implies a temporal element, whereas correlation <=> causation doesn't always imply a temporal element.

...which makes them similar yet slightly different fallacies.


Simfishy said:
On the other hand, does every action have to take a time?

Any action involves a change (the terms are somewhat synonymous) and any change takes time (the concepts are somewhat equivalent) so yes, every action takes time.


Simfishy said:
So while one can conceive of a situation where the two expressions are not equivalent; are the two expressions are equivalent in our world?

You've answered your question. The first fallacy ignores time on the left side therefore it is different from the second fallacy which does account for time. Also, "our world" is the only one that counts, imaginary worlds are not relevant.
 
  • #3
"Correlation <=> Causation"

Correlation does not necessarily cause an action. For instance fire will not burn without the presence of oxygen, fuel and heat. neither Oxygen nor fuel cause the fire to burn but there is a Correlation of 1 (one) to their presence and fire. Heat may cause a fire to burn but only in the presence of oxygen AND fuel.

Therefore: "Correlation <=> Causation" does not hold in our world or universe.
 
  • #4
Simfishy said:
Correlation <=> Causation and post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy

The difference is that the latter implies a temporal element, whereas correlation <=> causation doesn't always imply a temporal element.
No! - just because one event comes after another, that doesn't necessarily mean the first event caused the second one. That's the main fallacy.
 
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  • #5
Royce and Russ: isn't the question about the DIFFERENCE between both fallacies? (Simfishy will correct me if I misunderstood.)
 
  • #6
Yeah, out of whack perfectly clarified my question. Thanks. :)
 
  • #7
Oh, ok - yeah, the second is just a special case of the first.
 
  • #8
Okay, now I've thought about it and changed.

While the logical truths "correlation does not imply causation" and "post hoc does not imply procter hoc" are logically equivalent, the two fallacies are not equivalent.

Event A can be concurrent with Event B. Thus, it is impossible that Event A can cause Event B. However, it does not stop a person H from invoking fallacy A, while steering clear of fallacy B. H may not understand logic, but H at least is able to make one fallacy while steering clear of the other.

It seems that a lot of conspiracy theories suffer from this. But maybe not => since conspiracy theories trace both events to a common cause (but clearly indicate that while event A and event B may have a common cause, they do not in turn cause one another).
 
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FAQ: Difference between correlation/causation and post hoc ergo propter hoc

What is the difference between correlation and causation?

Correlation refers to a relationship between two variables where a change in one variable is associated with a change in the other variable. Causation, on the other hand, refers to a relationship where one variable directly influences the other and is the reason for the change.

Why is it important to understand the difference between correlation and causation?

Understanding the difference between correlation and causation is crucial because a correlation between two variables does not necessarily mean that one variable causes the change in the other. It is important to determine causation in order to make accurate predictions and informed decisions.

What is post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy?

Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a Latin phrase meaning "after this, therefore because of this". This fallacy occurs when someone assumes that because one event happened after another event, the first event must have caused the second event. It is a logical fallacy that can lead to incorrect conclusions about causation.

How can you distinguish between correlation and causation?

To distinguish between correlation and causation, it is important to consider other factors and use appropriate research methods. Correlation can be measured through statistical analysis, while causation requires experimental designs and control groups to establish a cause-and-effect relationship.

Why is post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy problematic in scientific research?

The post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy is problematic in scientific research because it can lead to false conclusions and incorrect theories. It can also hinder the progress of scientific knowledge and lead to ineffective or harmful interventions based on faulty assumptions of causality.

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