Expected Value of Positive-Valued RV

In summary, the conversation discusses the proof that if X is a positive-valued RV, then E(X^k) ≥ E(X)^k for all k≥1, with the attempt at a solution being a counterexample using X = {1,2,4,8,16,...} and a distribution function m(X) = {1/2,1/4,1/16,1/32,...}. The conversation also touches on the concept of extended real numbers and the two types of "EX does not exist." It concludes with the suggestion to add convergence hypotheses and the mention of Jensen's Inequality in relation to the proof. Additionally, it is mentioned that it may also be necessary to show that if EX does
  • #1
TranscendArcu
285
0

Homework Statement


Prove that if X is a positive-valued RV, then E(X^k) ≥ E(X)^k for all k≥1

The Attempt at a Solution


Why do I feel like this is a counter-example:

X = {1,2,4,8,16,...} (A positive-valued RV)
m(X) = {1/2,1/4,1/16,1/32,...} (A distribution function that sums to one)

Yet clearly,

[tex]E[X] = \sum _{k=1} ^{∞} \frac{1}{2^k} {2}^{k-1} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + ... = ∞[/tex]

So the expected value diverges (ie. doesn't exist). So I can't do the proof because for this RV, the expectation DNE.
 
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  • #2
TranscendArcu said:

Homework Statement


Prove that if X is a positive-valued RV, then E(X^k) ≥ E(X)^k for all k≥1

The Attempt at a Solution


Why do I feel like this is a counter-example:

X = {1,2,4,8,16,...} (A positive-valued RV)
m(X) = {1/2,1/4,1/16,1/32,...} (A distribution function that sums to one)

Yet clearly,

[tex]E[X] = \sum _{k=1} ^{∞} \frac{1}{2^k} {2}^{k-1} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + ... = ∞[/tex]

So the expected value diverges (ie. doesn't exist). So I can't do the proof because for this RV, the expectation DNE.

This is also an allowable case if you accept that ∞ ≥ ∞, and that EX = ∞ implies EX^k = ∞ for any k > 1.

However, in the case that EX < ∞ and EX^k < ∞, can you do the proof then?

RGV
 
  • #3
TranscendArcu said:

Homework Statement


Prove that if X is a positive-valued RV, then E(X^k) ≥ E(X)^k for all k≥1

The Attempt at a Solution


Why do I feel like this is a counter-example:

X = {1,2,4,8,16,...} (A positive-valued RV)
m(X) = {1/2,1/4,1/16,1/32,...} (A distribution function that sums to one)

Yet clearly,

[tex]E[X] = \sum _{k=1} ^{∞} \frac{1}{2^k} {2}^{k-1} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} + ... = ∞[/tex]

So the expected value diverges (ie. doesn't exist). So I can't do the proof because for this RV, the expectation DNE.

Why can't you? Both [itex]E[X^2][/itex] and [itex]E[X]^2[/itex] are infinite, right?
 
  • #4
So I went and got this from Wikipedia:

Skjermbilde_2012_07_28_kl_4_39_15_PM.png


I wouldn't have much of a problem accepting ∞ ≥ ∞ if I thought that the expectation of such an RV even existed. Since the expectation diverges in my example, it seems meaningless to me to discuss comparisons of its nonexistent expected value.
 
  • #5
I suspect you have over-complicated things... surely it is not true, in general, that the sum of powers is equal to the power of the sum - especially if all elements in the sum are positive? Consider if X is drawn from a set of two values for instance...

That's if I've read it correctly that you have to show:
[tex]E(X^k)=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^{N}(x_i)^k = \bigg ( \frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^{N}x_i \bigg )^k = \bigg ( E(X) \bigg ) ^k

[/tex]
 
  • #6
TranscendArcu said:
So I went and got this from Wikipedia:

Skjermbilde_2012_07_28_kl_4_39_15_PM.png


I wouldn't have much of a problem accepting ∞ ≥ ∞ if I thought that the expectation of such an RV even existed. Since the expectation diverges in my example, it seems meaningless to me to discuss comparisons of its nonexistent expected value.

Opinions vary, and not all books would agree with that Wiki article. Of course, the expectation does not exist (as a real number), but in such a case we sometimes write EX = ∞ and pretend that ∞ is in an extended real number field.

Note that there are essentially two kinds of "EX does not exist": (1) EX = ∞; and (2) for X in all of ℝ, with X = X+ - X-, with X± ≥ 0 and EX+ = EX- = ∞ (that is, EX would be of the form ∞ - ∞).

Anyway, if you don't like this, add finiteness statements to the hypotheses. That still leaves you with something to prove.

RGV
 
  • #7
Simon Bridge said:
I suspect you have over-complicated things... surely it is not true, in general, that the sum of powers is equal to the power of the sum - especially if all elements in the sum are positive? Consider if X is drawn from a set of two values for instance...

That's if I've read it correctly that you have to show:
[tex]E(X^k)=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^{N}(x_i)^k = \bigg ( \frac{1}{N}\sum_{i=1}^{N}x_i \bigg )^k = \bigg ( E(X) \bigg ) ^k

[/tex]
I don't think that's what I'm trying to show. I want to show a weak inequality, as opposed to a strict equality. Also, you seem to have assumed a uniform pdf (ie. the 1/N), which does not seem a fair assumption to me.
 
  • #8
Ray Vickson said:
Opinions vary, and not all books would agree with that Wiki article. Of course, the expectation does not exist (as a real number), but in such a case we sometimes write EX = ∞ and pretend that ∞ is in an extended real number field.

Note that there are essentially two kinds of "EX does not exist": (1) EX = ∞; and (2) for X in all of ℝ, with X = X+ - X-, with X± ≥ 0 and EX+ = EX- = ∞ (that is, EX would be of the form ∞ - ∞).

Anyway, if you don't like this, add finiteness statements to the hypotheses. That still leaves you with something to prove.

RGV
Yes, I think I'll have to add convergence hypotheses. In which case, the proof is immediate from Jensen's Inequality.
 
  • #9
TranscendArcu said:
Yes, I think I'll have to add convergence hypotheses. In which case, the proof is immediate from Jensen's Inequality.

I think you also need to show that EX = ∞ implies EX^k =∞ for all k > 1; that is, if EX does not exist then neither does EX^k.

RGV
 

FAQ: Expected Value of Positive-Valued RV

What is the expected value of a positive-valued random variable?

The expected value of a positive-valued random variable is a measure of the average value that can be expected to occur from a given set of possible outcomes. It is calculated by multiplying each possible outcome by its respective probability and adding all of these values together.

How is the expected value of a positive-valued random variable different from the expected value of a negative-valued random variable?

The expected value of a positive-valued random variable is always greater than or equal to zero, while the expected value of a negative-valued random variable is always less than or equal to zero. This is because the values of a positive-valued random variable are always positive, while the values of a negative-valued random variable are always negative.

How can the expected value of a positive-valued random variable be used in decision-making?

The expected value of a positive-valued random variable can be used to make informed decisions by providing a measure of the potential outcomes and their likelihood. It can help to determine the best course of action in situations where there are multiple possible outcomes with different probabilities.

Can the expected value of a positive-valued random variable be negative?

No, the expected value of a positive-valued random variable cannot be negative. This is because the expected value is calculated by multiplying each possible outcome by its respective probability, which will always result in a positive value for a positive-valued random variable.

How does the expected value of a positive-valued random variable relate to the concept of risk?

The expected value of a positive-valued random variable can be used as a measure of risk. Higher expected values indicate a higher degree of risk, as there is a greater potential for a larger outcome. Conversely, lower expected values indicate lower risk, as the potential outcomes are more limited.

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