- #1
darrin016
- 21
- 0
Feel free to move if this is in the Erin section.
I'm no mathematician. Second year of college going to my astrophysics degree.
Something I don't understand is this
Probability law. The following is copied from Wikipedia
"For example, if the chance of rain in Moscow on a particular day in the future is 0.4 and the chance of an earthquake in San Francisco on that same day is 0.00003, then the chance of both happening on that day is 0.4 × 0.00003 = 0.000012, assuming that they are indeed independent."
They also have a equation for a monkey typing the word banana. 1/50 for 50 keys on a board. Banana has 6 letters so it was explained as
1/50 *1/50 six times. And that was the solution to the chances of the monkey randomly typing the word banana. I disagree. Yes that is the chance it hits the keys. But this equation doesn't take into consideration the variable of it actually happening in the correct order. I feel that 1/50 X 6 just gives us the answer for the probability of the monkey randomly hitting the letters b a n a n a but not in a specific order. I believe spelling the word banana would be even less of a chance that 1/50 6 times added together. Maybe something like
1/50 x 1/50 x 1/50 x 1/50 x1/50 x1/50 x 1/48 for all the possible ways the letters can fall.. Does this make sense to anyone?
I'm no mathematician. Second year of college going to my astrophysics degree.
Something I don't understand is this
Probability law. The following is copied from Wikipedia
"For example, if the chance of rain in Moscow on a particular day in the future is 0.4 and the chance of an earthquake in San Francisco on that same day is 0.00003, then the chance of both happening on that day is 0.4 × 0.00003 = 0.000012, assuming that they are indeed independent."
They also have a equation for a monkey typing the word banana. 1/50 for 50 keys on a board. Banana has 6 letters so it was explained as
1/50 *1/50 six times. And that was the solution to the chances of the monkey randomly typing the word banana. I disagree. Yes that is the chance it hits the keys. But this equation doesn't take into consideration the variable of it actually happening in the correct order. I feel that 1/50 X 6 just gives us the answer for the probability of the monkey randomly hitting the letters b a n a n a but not in a specific order. I believe spelling the word banana would be even less of a chance that 1/50 6 times added together. Maybe something like
1/50 x 1/50 x 1/50 x 1/50 x1/50 x1/50 x 1/48 for all the possible ways the letters can fall.. Does this make sense to anyone?