Find the expectation and covariance of a stochastic process

In summary, a stochastic process is a mathematical model used to describe the evolution of a system or random phenomenon over time. It is defined by a collection of random variables indexed by time and their underlying probability distribution. The expectation of a stochastic process is the average value it is expected to take over a certain time period and is calculated by taking the sum of all values and dividing it by the number of values. Covariance is a measure of the relationship between two random variables in a stochastic process, indicating the direction and strength of their relationship. It is calculated by taking the average of the product of the deviations of the variables from their respective expectations.
  • #1
i_a_n
83
0
The problem is:Let $W(t)$, $t ≥ 0$, be a standard Wiener process. Define a new stochastic process $Z(t)$ as $Z(t)=e^{W(t)-(1/2)\cdot t}$, $t≥ 0$. Show that $\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = 1$ and use this result to compute the covariance function of $Z(t)$. I wonder how to compute and start with the expectation cause it is not any case with a formula to use. Thanks in advance!
 
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  • #2
From the definition of the Wiener process we have that $W(t) \sim N(0,t)$. Calculating the expected value gives
$$\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = e^{\frac{-1}{2}t} \mathbb{E}[e^{W(t)}]$$
To complete the proof use the moment generating function of the normal distribution.

I guess with the covariance function you mean $\mbox{cov}(Z(t),Z(s))$ for $s,t \geq 0$?
 
  • #3
ianchenmu said:
The problem is:Let $W(t)$, $t ≥ 0$, be a standard Wiener process. Define a new stochastic process $Z(t)$ as $Z(t)=e^{W(t)-(1/2)\cdot t}$, $t≥ 0$. Show that $\mathbb{E}[Z(t)] = 1$ and use this result to compute the covariance function of $Z(t)$. I wonder how to compute and start with the expectation cause it is not any case with a formula to use. Thanks in advance!

I suggest You reading this excellent written by Steven R. Dunbar ...

http://www.math.unl.edu/~sdunbar1/MathematicalFinance/Lessons/StochasticCalculus/GeometricBrownianMotion/geometricbrownian.pdf

... which describes the properties of the 'Geometric Brownian Motion'. This process is described by the formula ...

$\displaystyle Z(t) = Z_{0}\ e^{\mu\ t + \sigma\ W(t)}\ (1)$

... where W(t) is a standard Brownian Motion. The mean and the variance are...

$\displaystyle E \{ Z(t)\} = Z_{0}\ e^{(\mu + \frac{\sigma^{2}}{2})\ t}\ (2)$

$\displaystyle Var \{Z(t) \} = Z_{0}^{2}\ (e^{\sigma^{2}\ t} - 1)\ e^{(2\ \mu\ + \sigma^{2})\ t}\ (3)$

Kind regards

$\chi$ $\sigma$
 

FAQ: Find the expectation and covariance of a stochastic process

What is a stochastic process?

A stochastic process is a mathematical model used to describe the evolution of a system or random phenomenon over time. It is a collection of random variables indexed by time, where the values of the variables are determined by some underlying probability distribution.

What is the expectation of a stochastic process?

The expectation of a stochastic process is the average value that the process is expected to take over a certain time period. It is also known as the mean or the first moment of the process.

How is the expectation of a stochastic process calculated?

The expectation of a stochastic process is calculated by taking the average value of the random variables over a specified time period. This can be done by taking the sum of all the values and dividing it by the number of values in the process.

What is covariance in relation to a stochastic process?

Covariance is a measure of the relationship between two random variables in a stochastic process. It measures how much the variables vary together and indicates the direction of their relationship (positive, negative, or none).

How is covariance calculated for a stochastic process?

Covariance is calculated by taking the average of the product of the deviations of the two variables from their respective expectations. It can be expressed as a formula: Cov(X,Y) = E[(X - E[X])(Y - E[Y])].

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