Geometric Distribution and probability

In summary, the Geometric Distribution is a probability distribution that models the number of trials it takes to achieve a success in a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials. It differs from the Binomial Distribution in that it models the number of trials until the first success rather than the number of successes in a fixed number of trials. The formula for calculating the probability of success in the Geometric Distribution is P(X=k) = (1-p)<sup>k-1</sup> * p. It cannot be used for continuous data and is only applicable for discrete data. In real life, the Geometric Distribution can be used to model various scenarios such as the number of attempts it takes to pass a driving test or make a free throw, as well
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Homework Statement



Assume that each of your calls to a popular radio station has a probability of 0.02 of connecting, that is, of not obtaining a busy signal. Assume that your calls are independent.

What is the probability that it requires more than five calls for you to connect?

Homework Equations



f(x) = (1 - p)^x-1*p


The Attempt at a Solution



P(X > 5) = 1 - P(X <= 5)
= 1 - [P(X=1) + P(X=2) + P(X=3) +P(X=4)+P(X=5)]
= 1 - [.98^0(.02)+.98^1(.02)+.98^2(.02)+.98^3(.02)+.98^4(.02)]
= 1 - [(.02)(.98^0 + .98^1 + .98^2 + .98^3 + .98^4)]
= 0.9239
 
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  • #2
Well it seems ok, assuming you computed the values correctly.
 

FAQ: Geometric Distribution and probability

1. What is the Geometric Distribution?

The Geometric Distribution is a probability distribution that models the number of trials it takes to achieve a success in a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials.

2. How is the Geometric Distribution different from the Binomial Distribution?

The Binomial Distribution models the number of successes in a fixed number of trials, while the Geometric Distribution models the number of trials until the first success.

3. What is the formula for calculating the probability of success in the Geometric Distribution?

The formula is P(X=k) = (1-p)k-1 * p, where k is the number of trials and p is the probability of success in each trial.

4. Can the Geometric Distribution be used for continuous data?

No, the Geometric Distribution is only applicable for discrete data, where the number of trials is a whole number.

5. How is the Geometric Distribution used in real life?

The Geometric Distribution can be used to model the number of attempts it takes for a person to pass a driving test, or the number of attempts it takes for a basketball player to make a free throw. It can also be used in quality control to determine the probability of a defective product in a certain number of trials.

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