- #36
mheslep
Gold Member
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- 729
Note that scenario A is predicted by Hansen's model given his preconditions:Andre said:...For instance in 1988 Hansen predicted a temperature rise of about one degree celsius by now.
and http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/hadcrut3gl.txt
See the averages of the last few years:
2006 - 0.422
2007 - 0.405
2008 - 0.324
And 0.370 for January 2009.
A: "the assumed annual growth averages about 1.5% of current emissions, so the net greenhouse forcing increases exponentially". Emissions have increased by that and more, so A is his predicted model.
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