How Close Can You Get to 80% of the Average Guess?

  • Thread starter Physics_wiz
  • Start date
  • Tags
    Game
In summary, a game was played where players had to guess a number between 0 and 100 and the number closest to 80% of the average of all the numbers guessed would win. After multiple rounds, it was found that the average number guessed did not decrease as expected and the game ended with franznietzsche winning the final round with a guess of 26. There was also a suggestion to make the game more interesting by introducing a random rational percentage between 0 and 100, but the game ended before this could be implemented.
  • #1
Physics_wiz
228
0
Ok here are the rules:
Guess a number (integer) between 0 and 100. The number closest to 80% of the average of all the numbers guessed by the players wins :biggrin:.

Example:
Say the numbers I got are: 10, 50, 60, 80, and 25. The average is 45 and 80% of the average is 36 so 25 would win since it's the closest to 36.

The game will keep running for about 1 day depending on how many numbers I get. Please don't post numbers as replies, just send me a PM with your number.
 
Last edited:
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
15?

<limit>
 
  • #3
You're not even close, cyrus.
I'm winning this.
 
  • #5
heartless said:
very similar topic was here,
https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=116159

True, but we're actually playing the game here! :biggrin:

Are you going to go with the most rational answer? Are people going to play rationally? Will anyone guess any crazy numbers like 100?

So many questions :wink:
 
  • #6
I will be nice and go last. Everybody just post your numbers :smile:
 
  • #7
mattmns said:
I will be nice and go last. Everybody just post your numbers :smile:

Everyone will post the numbers they want you to see so you take 80% of the average and decide on a number that will skew the average in their favor!
 
  • #8
you of course mean random numbers? or no?
 
  • #9
You can guess random numbers if you want, but if you want to win you should try to randomly guess a number that's as close to 80% of the average of all the numbers as possible :wink:.
 
  • #10
do we have any numbers so far? If no, I rather wait. I like to be last in doing things,
 
  • #11
I already opted to go last, so feel free to post your number :biggrin:
 
  • #12
I got 5 numbers so far.
 
  • #13
Physics_wiz said:
I got 5 numbers so far.

And mine is going to win :-p

~H
 
  • #14
I've just sent my magic number.

mattmns said:
I already opted to go last, so feel free to post your number :biggrin:

OK, feel free to go last, certainly you'll benefit :-p
(at first, I didn't notice that we have to pm physisc_wiz)
 
  • #15
Any last guesses before I post the results? I only got 9 numbers so far.
 
  • #16
49 .
 
  • #17
Post Results! Post Results!
 
  • #18
Post 'em :smile:
 
  • #19
Ok here are the numbers I got:
10
40
17
29
50
23
32
32
37

The average was 30 and 80% of the average = 24.

mattmns won with his guess of 23, congratulations :biggrin:.

If you want to tell us how you rationalized your number, go right ahead. We can also play another round if people are interested. It'll be interesting to see how the results of this round affect the next round.
 
Last edited:
  • #20
Uh, I was so close... :)
Congratatulalations Mattmns!
 
  • #21
Sweet! What do I win? :biggrin:

I made the guess thinking there would be a lot of people guessing low, and then some people guessing higher (40+), so I figured 23 seemed reasonable. However, it seems like I was wrong, but still won :smile:
 
  • #22
mattmns said:
Sweet! What do I win? :biggrin:
You win the respect of fellow PF'ers :approve:

So, another round?
 
  • #23
Sweet, I got second place! (29)
 
  • #24
Physics_wiz said:
You win the respect of fellow PF'ers :approve:

So, another round?

Sure, but 80% won't work the same way again. How about an unknown n% and you don't tell us what the percent is until everyone submits his or her number.
Then, a winner becomes random :)
 
  • #25
heartless said:
Sure, but 80% won't work the same way again. How about an unknown n% and you don't tell us what the percent is until everyone submits his or her number.
Then, a winner becomes random :)

sweet! I got a yes. Ok another round. Same rules. The most interesting thing about this game is to see how the results change with the same rules and previous results posted! :biggrin:

Don't forget to PM me the number, don't post it as a reply please.
 
  • #26
wait, wait, wait for me,
Let's add one more thing, how about a RNG, generating a random rational percent between 0 and 100? Then Physics_wiz can't be bribed by mattmns again :biggrin:
 
  • #27
Yep, I cheated! Did you see that thread about the most common passwords? Well, Physics_wiz's password for PF is 'password' :smile:

I am for another round :approve:

This time let's make it interesting :biggrin:
 
  • #28
I'm taking numbers with PMs until tomorrow. Send your numbers!
 
  • #29
Results

Here are the numbers I got for the second round:
38
15
26
73
42

The average was 38.8, 80% of the average = 31.04

franznietzsche won with his guess of 26, congratulations :biggrin:

I have to say that I'm surprised the average moved up instead of down, but this could just mean that the number of players wasn't enough or the rules weren't very clear. Anyways, no more rounds...thanks for participating though :biggrin:.
 
  • #30
Yeah I thought everyone would go about 10 lower or so, so I went 8 lower than my previous number and chose 15. I was way off, you guys aren't that predictable :smile:

Congrats Franz!
 
Last edited:
  • #31
Physics_wiz said:
Here are the numbers I got for the second round:
38
15
26
73
42

The average was 38.8, 80% of the average = 31.04

franznietzsche won with his guess of 26, congratulations :biggrin:

I have to say that I'm surprised the average moved up instead of down, but this could just mean that the number of players wasn't enough or the rules weren't very clear. Anyways, no more rounds...thanks for participating though :biggrin:.

I knew it would go up :approve: . Just didn't think that much.
 
  • #32
bah! i vastly underestimated the number of participants :(
 
  • #33
Oh, Physics_Wiz, we said that the percentage was to be chosen at random and that I was to going win that game. Give me back the $20!
 

FAQ: How Close Can You Get to 80% of the Average Guess?

How do I play "Guess the Number" to Win!?

To play "Guess the Number" to Win!, you will need to think of a number between 1 and 10. Then, the other player will have to guess the number you are thinking of. The player who guesses the correct number wins!

Can I play "Guess the Number" to Win! by myself?

No, "Guess the Number" to Win! is a two-player game. One player will think of a number and the other player will have to guess it.

Is there a time limit for guessing the number in "Guess the Number" to Win!?

No, there is no time limit for guessing the number in "Guess the Number" to Win!. Players can take turns guessing until someone guesses the correct number.

What happens if no one guesses the number in "Guess the Number" to Win!?

If no one guesses the number, the players can either continue playing or choose to end the game without a winner.

Can the number be any number between 1 and 10 in "Guess the Number" to Win!?

Yes, the number can be any number between 1 and 10 in "Guess the Number" to Win!. However, it is recommended to choose a number that is not too easy or too difficult to guess.

Similar threads

Maximizing Your Chance of Winning a Number Guessing Game
Replies
1
Views
2K
Can You Decode This List of Numbers into a Message?
Replies
18
Views
12K
I How much money is needed to play this simple number game?
Replies
14
Views
2K
B Which probability calculation is "more correct" in Baccarat games?
Replies
9
Views
3K
I How Many Unique Games of Commander Can Be Played?
Replies
4
Views
2K
I What is the correct expectation value for this game with redraw?
Replies
3
Views
1K
Can 1/4 of the total combinations match 6 numbers drawn from a set of 80?
Replies
2
Views
6K
Who Will Guess the Least Popular Number?
Replies
30
Views
4K
Chance of winning in a spin-off of the game "Black Jack"
Replies
12
Views
2K
How Creative Can You Get with the Theme Wet?
Replies
13
Views
2K

Hot Threads

Recent Insights

Back
Top