How Do We Optimize Weights in a Linear Estimator for Minimum Error?

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In summary: N}This shows that the mean value of \mu is indeed u. Additionally, the error term becomes:E[(u- \mu)^2] = u^2 E[(1 - \frac{1}{N})^2] = u^2 (1 - \frac{1}{N})^2Since the expression inside the parentheses is always positive, this error term is minimized when N is maximized. This means that our solution is valid.In summary, to find the weights W(i) that minimize the error term and have a mean value of u, we can set the weights to be equal to \frac{1}{N}. I hope this helps. Please let me know if you have any
  • #1
purplebird
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I know I already posted this but I made a mistake in the original post which I realized now and I am reposting the correct problem as i am not able to edit it.

Homework Statement


Given
X(i) = u + e(i) i = 1,2,...N
such that e(i)s are statistically independent and u is a parameter
mean of e(i) = 0
and variance = [tex]\sigma(i)[/tex]^2

Find W(i) such that the linear estimator

[tex]\mu[/tex] = [tex]\sum[/tex]W(i)X(i) for i = 1 to N

has

mean value of [tex]\mu[/tex]= u

and E[(u- [tex]\mu[/tex])^2 is a minimum


The Attempt at a Solution



For a linear estimator:

W(i) = R[tex]^{}-1[/tex]b

where b(i)= E([tex]\mu[/tex](i) X(i)) and R(i) = E(X(i)X(j))

I do not know how to proceed beyond this. Thanks for your help
 
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  • #2

Thank you for your post and for posting the corrected problem. I will do my best to assist you with finding the solution.

Based on the given information, we can approach the problem in the following steps:

Step 1: Define the problem

The problem is to find the weights W(i) such that the linear estimator \mu = \sumW(i)X(i) has a mean value of u and minimizes the error term E[(u- \mu)^2].

Step 2: Express the linear estimator in terms of the given variables

We can rewrite the linear estimator as:

\mu = \sum W(i) (u + e(i)) = u \sum W(i) + \sum W(i) e(i)

Step 3: Simplify the expression

Since the mean of e(i) is 0, the second term in the above expression becomes 0. Therefore, we can rewrite the linear estimator as:

\mu = u \sum W(i)

Step 4: Solve for W(i)

To ensure that the mean value of \mu is u, we can set the sum of weights \sum W(i) to be equal to 1. Therefore, we have:

\sum W(i) = 1

We can also express the error term as:

E[(u- \mu)^2] = E[(u - u \sum W(i))^2] = u^2 E[(1 - \sum W(i))^2]

To minimize this error term, we can use the method of Lagrange multipliers and minimize the following expression:

L = u^2 E[(1 - \sum W(i))^2] - \lambda(\sum W(i) - 1)

Taking the derivative of L with respect to W(i) and setting it equal to 0, we get:

-2u^2 E[1 - \sum W(i)] + \lambda = 0

Solving for \lambda and substituting it back into the equation, we get:

\sum W(i) = \frac{1}{N}

Therefore, the weights W(i) are:

W(i) = \frac{1}{N}

Step 5: Check the solution

We can check the solution by substituting the weights back into the linear estimator and verifying that it has a mean value of u and minimizes the error term.

\mu = u \sum W(i) = u \frac
 

FAQ: How Do We Optimize Weights in a Linear Estimator for Minimum Error?

What is a linear estimator?

A linear estimator is a mathematical model used in statistics to estimate the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. It assumes that the relationship can be described by a linear equation.

How are the weights of a linear estimator determined?

The weights of a linear estimator are determined through a process called linear regression. This involves finding the line of best fit that minimizes the distance between the predicted values and the actual values of the dependent variable.

What do the weights of a linear estimator represent?

The weights of a linear estimator represent the slope of the line of best fit. They indicate the strength and direction of the relationship between the dependent variable and each independent variable.

Are the weights of a linear estimator always accurate?

No, the weights of a linear estimator are not always accurate. They are estimates based on a sample of data and may not accurately reflect the true relationship between the variables in the entire population.

How can the weights of a linear estimator be used to make predictions?

The weights of a linear estimator can be used in the linear equation to make predictions of the dependent variable based on the values of the independent variables. The predicted values may not be exact, but they provide a good estimate of the expected outcome.

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