How Do You Compute p(Z > l2) in Exponential Distributions?

In summary, exponential probabilities refer to the mathematical concept of probability distribution for events that occur randomly over a continuous period of time. They are calculated using the formula P(x) = λ * e^(-λ * x), where λ is the rate parameter and x is the time. Unlike other types of probability distributions, exponential probabilities focus on the time between events rather than the number of events and are commonly used in fields such as finance, insurance, and reliability engineering. However, they can only be used for events that occur randomly and independently of each other.
  • #1
oscaralive
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Homework Statement



Let <d1,d2,d3...dN> be an odered set of samples from an exponential
random variable with parameter lambda.
Let <l1,l2,l3,...,lM> the same.

Let Z = min<d1,d2,...,dN> --> Z is exp with parameter lambda*N
Let U = min<l1,l2,...,lM> --> U is exp with parameter lambda*M


Homework Equations



Since we can write that:
p(Z > U) = M/(N+M), which is in fact, p(d1 > l1)= p(Z > l1)

How can I compute the following probability:

p(Z > l2), p(Z > l3),...,p(Z > lN).

The Attempt at a Solution



Until now I am "approximating" this probability by assuming that:

p(Z > l2) = (M-1)/((M-1)+N) and succesively, but I know it is wrong...

Thanks a lot in advance!
 
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  • #2


Thank you for your question. To compute the probabilities p(Z > l2), p(Z > l3),...,p(Z > lN), we can use the fact that the minimum of exponential random variables follows a distribution known as the exponential order statistic. This means that the probability of Z being greater than any particular value, such as l2, can be calculated using the following formula:

p(Z > l2) = (N+M-2)!/(N-1)!(M-1)! * (1-e^(-lambda*l2))^(N-1) * (1-e^(-lambda*l2))^(M-1)

In this formula, N and M represent the number of samples from the exponential random variable, and lambda is the parameter of the exponential distribution. This formula can be derived using the properties of order statistics and the fact that the minimum of exponential random variables follows a gamma distribution.

I hope this helps answer your question. If you have any further questions, please don't hesitate to ask. Good luck with your research!
 
  • #3


I would first clarify the context and assumptions of the problem. It seems that the samples are from two different exponential distributions, with different parameter values (lambda). It is also assumed that the samples are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.).

Given this information, I would approach the problem by using the properties of the exponential distribution and the concept of order statistics.

Firstly, since Z is the minimum of N exponential samples, it follows that Z is also exponentially distributed with parameter lambda*N. This means that we can write p(Z > l2) as 1 - p(Z < l2), which is the same as 1 - F(l2), where F is the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of Z.

We can use the CDF of an exponential distribution to calculate this probability. The CDF of an exponential distribution with parameter lambda is given by F(x) = 1 - e^(-lambda*x). Therefore, p(Z > l2) = 1 - (1 - e^(-lambda*N*l2)).

Similarly, we can calculate p(Z > l3) = 1 - (1 - e^(-lambda*N*l3)), and so on for the remaining probabilities.

In general, for an ordered set of samples from an exponential distribution with parameter lambda, the probability of the minimum being greater than a certain value x is given by 1 - (1 - e^(-lambda*N*x)).

It is important to note that this approach assumes that the samples are i.i.d. and that the minimum is being taken from a set of N samples. If these assumptions do not hold, then the approach may not be applicable.
 

FAQ: How Do You Compute p(Z > l2) in Exponential Distributions?

What are exponential probabilities?

Exponential probabilities refer to the mathematical concept of probability distribution for events that occur randomly over a continuous period of time. It is used to model scenarios where the probability of an event occurring increases or decreases exponentially.

How are exponential probabilities calculated?

Exponential probabilities are calculated using the formula P(x) = λ * e^(-λ * x), where λ is the rate parameter and x is the time. The rate parameter represents the average number of events occurring per unit of time.

What is the difference between exponential probabilities and other types of probability distributions?

Unlike other types of probability distributions, exponential probabilities focus on the time between events rather than the number of events. It assumes that the events occur randomly and independently of each other.

What are some real-life applications of exponential probabilities?

Exponential probabilities are commonly used in fields such as finance, insurance, and reliability engineering. For example, they can be used to model the time between financial transactions, the lifespan of a product, or the time between equipment failures.

Can exponential probabilities be used for events that do not occur randomly?

No, exponential probabilities are only applicable for events that occur randomly and independently of each other. If the events are dependent or have a specific pattern, other probability distributions may be more appropriate.

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