Is degree of certainty a valid theory in probability?

In summary, the conversation is about a link found by the speaker that discusses the concept of "degree of certainty" in probability. The person in the conversation is skeptical about this theory as it does not appear in any of their math books. They also note that the link does not provide a clear definition of "degree of certainty." However, in paragraph 4 of the link, the speaker finds a formula that mentions "degree of certainty" but does not provide a clear explanation of it.
  • #1
sneez
312
0
i found this link and this guy claims there is something called degree of certainty in probability. However, it does not show up in any math book i own. is it valid theory or at least sound?

link with description: http://www.saliu.com/Saliu2.htm

sneez
 
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  • #2
It looks like he just means "probability."
 
  • #3
Unfortunately, while his formula involves "degree of certainty" and, in several examples, he gives the "degree of certainty", he never bothers to actually define "degree of certainty"!
 
  • #4
i found degree of certainty in paragraph 4:
4. Ion Saliu's Paradox Or Problem Of N Trials
...[..]...

A step in the Fundamental Formula of Gambling leads to this relation:

DC = 1 — 1/e

The limit {1 — (1/e)} is approximately 0.63212055...
 

FAQ: Is degree of certainty a valid theory in probability?

What is a sound theory?

A sound theory is a well-supported and tested explanation for a natural phenomenon that is backed by evidence and logical reasoning.

How do scientists determine if a theory is sound?

Scientists use the scientific method to test and gather evidence to support a theory. This includes making observations, conducting experiments, and analyzing data to determine if the theory is consistent with the evidence.

Can a sound theory change over time?

Yes, as new evidence and technology become available, a sound theory may evolve and change. This is a normal and expected part of the scientific process.

Are all scientific theories sound?

No, not all scientific theories are sound. Some may lack sufficient evidence or have been disproven by new evidence. However, sound theories are accepted by the scientific community as the most accurate explanation for a natural phenomenon at that time.

Is a sound theory the same as a fact?

No, a sound theory is not the same as a fact. A fact is a statement that is indisputably true, while a sound theory is a well-supported explanation that is subject to change as new evidence emerges.

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