- #1
Bodge
- 144
- 0
America's oldest NPP, a BWR/2 MK-1, is in the direct path of Hurricane Irene.
The major forecast models are in good agreement on the track:
[PLAIN]http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201109_model.gif
Additionally the ECMWF - which has the best record on track this year - shows the exact same track - but with a deeper storm.
Models for hurricane tracks are becoming more accurate every year, however intensity forecasts are still not accurate enough - with a 30mph error margin at 72hrs. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2010.pdf"
Irene could be anything from a cat 1 to a cat 4 nearing New Jersey - most likely a cat 2.
Oyster Creek is 23 feet above sea level and a cat 4 as large as Irene would inundate the site.
There is at least a 1% chance of serious flooding at Oyster Creek - I hope the diesel generators are well protected.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ssurge/risk/index.shtml?gm
The major forecast models are in good agreement on the track:
[PLAIN]http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201109_model.gif
Additionally the ECMWF - which has the best record on track this year - shows the exact same track - but with a deeper storm.
Models for hurricane tracks are becoming more accurate every year, however intensity forecasts are still not accurate enough - with a 30mph error margin at 72hrs. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2010.pdf"
Irene could be anything from a cat 1 to a cat 4 nearing New Jersey - most likely a cat 2.
Oyster Creek is 23 feet above sea level and a cat 4 as large as Irene would inundate the site.
There is at least a 1% chance of serious flooding at Oyster Creek - I hope the diesel generators are well protected.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ssurge/risk/index.shtml?gm
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