Ken's Question from Yahoo Answers: Probability Question For Verification?

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In summary, the probability of choosing a point at random in a unit disc, centred at (0,0), that satisfies the inequalities |x-y| < 1 and |x+y| < 1 is 2/pi. This is because the region defined by these inequalities is an inscribed square with an area of 2, while the area of the entire circle is pi. Therefore, the probability is the ratio of these two areas. This is confirmed by a scatter plot of randomly sampled points, which shows the points satisfying the inequalities in black.
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Question:
"A point \({\rm{P}}(x,y)\) is chosen at random in a unit disc, centred at \((0,0)\).

The probability required is that the point chosen is such that both \(| x -y| \lt 1\) and \(|x+y| \lt 1\) .

Is the answer \(2/\pi\) or \(1-2/\pi\)?

Thank you."Answer:
I take disc to be a disc of radius 1 centred at the origin.

The region defined by the inequalities \(|x-y| \lt 1\) and \(|x+y| \lt 1\) is an inscribed square to the circle, which has side \(\sqrt{2}\) and hence area \(2\). The area of the circle is \(\pi\), so the probability that a point sampled uniformly on the unit disc satisfies the inequalities is the ratio of these two area: \(2/\pi\).

To convince yourself that the required region is the interior of the square rather than the exterior consider the point \((0,0)\), does it satisfy the inequalities. It it does then you want the interior of the square rather than the exterior.

Below is a scatter plot showing random points uniformly sampled on the unit disc and in black those satisfying the inequalities:

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/AsrqIRhjcPwGKPW6RSzDwZRoH0ryjndkugx09Ohv2VkvdbS60GwQ4Gtv2A4qZZSiWoBqxPZVPw
 
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So, the answer is indeed \(2/\pi\). I hope this helps!
 

FAQ: Ken's Question from Yahoo Answers: Probability Question For Verification?

What is the question about?

The question is about probability and verification. Specifically, it asks about the probability of three events occurring in a given scenario and how to verify the accuracy of the probability calculation.

What is the importance of this question?

This question is important because probability is a fundamental concept in many fields of science, including mathematics, physics, and biology. Understanding how to calculate and verify probabilities is crucial in making accurate predictions and decisions.

What are the three events mentioned in the question?

The three events mentioned in the question are a coin landing on heads, a die rolling a 6, and a card being a spade. These events are independent of each other and have a specific probability of occurring in a given scenario.

How can one verify the probability of these events?

To verify the probability of these events, one can use the formula for calculating the probability of independent events. This involves multiplying the individual probabilities of each event occurring. Additionally, one can also conduct experiments or simulations to test the accuracy of the calculated probability.

What real-life applications does this question have?

This question has many real-life applications, such as predicting the outcome of sports events, analyzing stock market data, and making decisions in risk management. Probability is also used in fields such as epidemiology, weather forecasting, and genetics.

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