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Wikipedia article (still rapidly evolving of course)
USGS estimates 1000-10,000 deaths as most likely scenario, most likely the deadliest earthquake this year: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000f65h/executive
Edit: An hour later the most likely scenario is now over 100,000 deaths. That could make it the deadliest earthquake since the 2010 Haiti earthquake 100 km away.
Larger magnitude than the 2010 earthquake,but weaker shaking (edit: not with updated estimates) and farther away from the capital.
USGS estimates 1000-10,000 deaths as most likely scenario, most likely the deadliest earthquake this year: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us6000f65h/executive
Edit: An hour later the most likely scenario is now over 100,000 deaths. That could make it the deadliest earthquake since the 2010 Haiti earthquake 100 km away.
Larger magnitude than the 2010 earthquake,
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