Probabilities on Non-Standard Models.

In summary, there is a possibility within a non-standard model of the Reals to have probabilities over an interval where each point has non-zero probability. This is possible through the use of a nonstandard extension of the real numbers and a nonstandard probability measure that assigns a probability of 1/H to each standard real number within the hyperfinite subset. However, this is only possible in certain cases and requires careful definition of the sum over an uncountable index.
  • #1
WWGD
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Hi, I think I read here; maybe not, that , within a non-standard model of the Reals, it is possible to have probabilities , say over an interval, so that each point has non-zero probability.

AFAIK, the transfer principle ( a.k.a elementary equivalence of models) does not disallow having a convergent uncountable sum ( tho a sum over an uncountable index has to be defined carefully). Anyone know about this and/or have a ref? Thanks,

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  • #2
It depends on what you mean. For a standard probability measure on an nonstandard set, even on a nonstandard space (for example, a Loeb measure), it is clearly impossible that every point has nonzero measure.

But for a nonstandard measure, it is possible in the following sense: One can find a nonstandard extension *R of R (the set of real numbers) such that there is a hyperfinite (i.e. *finite) subset S of *R which contains R (i.e. S contains all standard reals). This holds if the extension is an enlargement.
This hyperfinite set S has a nonstandard cardinality H, which is a hyperfinite number. One can then define a nonstandard probability measure m on *R by stipulating that m({x})=1/H for all x ε S, which includes all x ε R.
 
  • #3
Thanks, Erland, nice explanation.
 

FAQ: Probabilities on Non-Standard Models.

What are non-standard models in probability?

Non-standard models in probability refer to mathematical models that do not follow the traditional assumptions and rules of probability. These models are used to study complex and unusual situations where the standard rules of probability may not be applicable.

How are probabilities calculated on non-standard models?

Probabilities on non-standard models are calculated using alternative methods such as Bayesian probability, fuzzy logic, and subjective probability. These methods take into account the uncertainties and complexities of the situation to determine the likelihood of an event occurring.

What are some examples of non-standard models in probability?

Examples of non-standard models in probability include quantum probability, which is used in quantum mechanics to predict the behavior of subatomic particles, and event tree analysis, which is used in risk management to assess the probability of various outcomes in a complex system.

How do non-standard models impact traditional statistical analysis?

Non-standard models can challenge and expand traditional statistical analysis by providing new ways of approaching and understanding complex systems. They can also help identify flaws in traditional models and provide more accurate predictions in certain situations.

What are the limitations of using non-standard models in probability?

Non-standard models can be more complex and difficult to understand compared to traditional models, making it challenging to interpret and communicate the results. Additionally, these models may not always be applicable in all situations and may require more data and resources to accurately calculate probabilities.

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