Probability- Expected value of e^x

In summary: And, by the way, I don't think you substitute t = 1 into the moment generating function of a random variable to get the mean of the random variable.
  • #1
Roni1985
201
0

Homework Statement


Find E[e^x] where x~N([tex]\mu[/tex], sigma squared)

Homework Equations


The Attempt at a Solution



It looks like a moment generating function.
Here is what I did:
Assume X= [tex]\mu[/tex] + [tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z

E[etx]= E[et([tex]\mu[/tex]+[tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z)]

I simplified it and used the fact of moment generating functions and got
=exp{[tex]\sigma[/tex]2*t2/2+[tex]\mu[/tex]*t}
I plugged in t=1 and that was my answer.

Do you think it makes sense?
Is there a better/faster way?

Thanks.
 
Last edited:
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
Your statement of the problem appear garbled. Did it just say "Find the expectation of e^x", without telling you how x was distributed?

You say that you assume x is normally distributed. Why did you write it as
[tex] \mu + \sigma * N(\mu,\sigma_2)[/tex] ?

It's just a general to write it as [tex] \mu + \sigma N(0,1) [/tex]
 
  • #3
Stephen Tashi said:
Your statement of the problem appear garbled. Did it just say "Find the expectation of e^x", without telling you how x was distributed?

You say that you assume x is normally distributed. Why did you write it as
[tex] \mu + \sigma * N(\mu,\sigma_2)[/tex] ?

It's just a general to write it as [tex] \mu + \sigma N(0,1) [/tex]

You are totally right... hold on... editing my question
 
Last edited:
  • #4
Roni1985 said:
Here is what I did:
Assume X= [tex]\mu[/tex] + [tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z
E[etx]= E[et([tex]\mu[/tex]+[tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z)]

I simplified it and used the fact of moment generating functions

Explain what you mean by "the fact of moment generating functions".

and got
=exp{[itex]\sigma[/itex]2*t2/2+[itex]\mu[/itex]*t}


I plugged in t=1 and that was my answer.

Do you think it makes sense?

It doesn't make sense to me. You didn't really say what your answer was.
 
  • #5
Stephen Tashi said:
Explain what you mean by "the fact of moment generating functions".
It doesn't make sense to me. You didn't really say what your answer was.

This is my final answer:
exp{sigma^2/2+[tex]\mu[/tex]}

How would you approach this question?
 
  • #6
The moment generating function for the random variable

[tex] e^x = e^{(\mu + \sigma z)} [/tex]

is

[tex] E( e^{t e^{\mu + \sigma z}}) [/tex]

which looks difficult to compute.

It seems simpler to compute the expected value from the definition of expected value.

[tex] E( e^x) = E(e^{\mu + \sigma z}) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{\mu + \sigma z} e^{ \frac{-z^2}{2} } dz [/tex]
 
  • #7
Stephen Tashi said:
The moment generating function for the random variable

[tex] e^x = e^{(\mu + \sigma z)} [/tex]

is

[tex] E( e^{t e^{\mu + \sigma z}}) [/tex]

which looks difficult to compute.

It seems simpler to compute the expected value from the definition of expected value.

[tex] E( e^x) = E(e^{\mu + \sigma z}) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{\mu + \sigma z} e^{ \frac{-z^2}{2} } dz [/tex]

Got it... the moment generating function of a normally distributed r.v. solves the same integral.

Thanks very much for the help... appreciate it.

Roni.
 
  • #8
Roni1985 said:
Got it... the moment generating function of a normally distributed r.v. solves the same integral.

You'll have to explain that to me Roni, I don't see it.

And, by the way, I don't think you substitute t = 1 into the moment generating function of a random variable to get the mean of the random variable.
 

FAQ: Probability- Expected value of e^x

What is the definition of "expected value" in probability?

The expected value of a random variable is the long-term average value of the variable if the experiment is repeated many times. It is calculated by multiplying each possible outcome by its probability and summing these values.

How is the expected value of e^x calculated?

The expected value of e^x can be calculated by taking the integral of e^x from -infinity to +infinity, multiplied by the probability density function of x.

What does the expected value of e^x represent in a probability distribution?

The expected value of e^x represents the most likely or average outcome of a random variable following a probability distribution.

Can the expected value of e^x be negative?

Yes, the expected value of e^x can be negative if the probability distribution has a significant portion of negative values or if the values are highly skewed towards negative values.

What other measures of central tendency are used in probability besides expected value?

In addition to expected value, other measures of central tendency commonly used in probability include median, mode, and weighted mean.

Back
Top