Probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone

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In summary, the probability of exactly one shot landing in each zone of a circular target with radii in the ratio of 1:1/2:1/3 is equal to 5/432. However, the author's answer of 5/72 accounts for all possible permutations, assuming no misses.
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WMDhamnekar
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TL;DR Summary
Suppose a circular target is divided into three zones bounded by concentric circles of radius 1/3, 1/2, and 1, as illustrated in the following diagram.
If three shots are fired at random at the target, what is the probability that exactly one shot lands in each zone?
1664778873790.png

My attempt to answer this question: With the radii in the ratio ## 1: \frac12: \frac13 ##, the area of the corresponding circles will be in the ratio of ##1: \frac14: \frac19 ##. The areas of the three rings will be in the ratio of ## \frac34 : \frac{5}{36}: \frac19 ##
So, if three shots are fired at random at the target, the probability that exactly one shots lands in each zone is equal to ## \frac34 \times \frac{5}{36} \times \frac19 = \frac{5}{432}## But author said the answer is ##\frac{5}{432}\times 3! = \frac{5}{72}## How is that?

Would any member of physics forum provide me a satisfactory explanation?
 
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WMDhamnekar said:
Summary: Suppose a circular target is divided into three zones bounded by concentric circles of radius 1/3, 1/2, and 1, as illustrated in the following diagram.
If three shots are fired at random at the target, what is the probability that exactly one shot lands in each zone?

View attachment 314939
My attempt to answer this question: With the radii in the ratio ## 1: \frac12: \frac13 ##, the area of the corresponding circles will be in the ratio of ##1: \frac14: \frac19 ##. The areas of the three rings will be in the ratio of ## \frac34 : \frac{5}{36}: \frac19 ##
So, if three shots are fired at random at the target, the probability that exactly one shots lands in each zone is equal to ## \frac34 \times \frac{5}{36} \times \frac19 = \frac{5}{432}## But author said the answer is ##\frac{5}{432}\times 3! = \frac{5}{72}## How is that?

Would any member of physics forum provide me a satisfactory explanation?
You've calculated the probability that the first shot lands in the outer area, the second lands in the middle area and the third lands in the inner area. That is not the only way you can have one in each area.
 
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PeroK said:
You've calculated the probability that the first shot lands in the outer area, the second lands in the middle area and the third lands in the inner area. That is not the only way you can have one in each area.
Using above comment, there are 6 possible permutations, giving the correct answer. Assuming no misses.
 
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FAQ: Probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone

What is the definition of "Probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone"?

The probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone refers to the likelihood of a single shot being fired within each of a series of concentric circles or rings, also known as annular zones.

How is the probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone calculated?

The probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone is calculated by dividing the total number of possible outcomes where one shot is fired in each zone by the total number of possible outcomes for all shots fired. This can be represented by the formula P = (n!/r!(n-r)!)/nr, where n is the total number of shots and r is the number of annular zones.

What factors can affect the probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone?

The probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone can be affected by various factors such as the accuracy of the shooter, the size and number of annular zones, and any external factors that may impact the trajectory of the shots.

How can the probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone be increased?

The probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone can be increased by improving the accuracy of the shooter, reducing the number or size of the annular zones, and minimizing any external factors that may affect the shots.

Why is the probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone important in scientific research?

The probability of firing exactly one shot in each annular zone is important in scientific research because it can help determine the reliability and validity of experimental results. It can also provide insights into the precision and accuracy of measurement tools and techniques used in the research.

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