Probability of One Adult Winner in Random Lucky Draw: Homework Solution

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In summary, the conversation is about a question involving a lucky draw with 15 men, 10 ladies, and 8 girls and boys. The question asks to find the probability that among the two winners, only one is an adult. The poster initially attempted to solve the problem using equations, but was incorrect. The expert helping them explains that there are actually 25 adults and 8 "non" adults, and asks for clarification on the probability of choosing an adult/non-adult for the first and second winners. The expert then asks for the probability of exactly one of the winners being an adult.
  • #1
icystrike
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Homework Statement


The question goes like this:
15 men , 10 ladies , 8 girls and boys took part in a lucky draw , A winner was picked at random, after which another winner was picked from the remaining people.

Find the probability that among the two winners , only one of the is an adult.

I understand already! thanks for the PM



Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


I was trying to let An be the nth adult and Cn be the nth Children

and my answer is A1C2+C1C2 or C1A2+C1C2
whereby my answer will be 25/40*15/39+15/40*15/39 or 15/40*25/39+15/40*15/39
however i am wrong..
 
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  • #2


You seem to be under the false impression that there are 40 people here
 
  • #3
Are there 8 girls and 8 boys = 16 kids or 8 kids, both girls and boys?
 
  • #4


futurebird said:
Are there 8 girls and 8 boys = 16 kids or 8 kids, both girls and boys?
The problem said " 8 girls and boys", NOT "8 girls and 8 boys". There are 25 adults and 8 "non" adults. (Even if you assumed 8 girls and 8 boys, that would be a total of 25+ 16= 41, not 40.)

You say in your first post, "my answer is A1C2+C1C2 or C1A2+C1C2
whereby my answer will be 25/40*15/39+15/40*15/39 or 15/40*25/39+15/40*15/39
however i am wrong.."

Without giving any idea HOW you got that answer.

What is the probability that the first person chosen is NOT an adult? Given that, what is the probability that the second person chosen IS an adult?

What is the probability that the first person chosen IS an adult? Given that, what is the probability that the second person chosen is NOT an adult?

So what is the probabilty that exactly one of the people chosen is an adult?
 

FAQ: Probability of One Adult Winner in Random Lucky Draw: Homework Solution

1. What is "Lucky draw Probability"?

"Lucky draw Probability" is a concept in probability theory that refers to the likelihood of a specific outcome occurring in a random or chance-based event, such as a lottery or raffle. It is used to determine the chances of winning a prize in a lucky draw.

2. How is the probability of winning calculated in a lucky draw?

The probability of winning in a lucky draw is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes (winning tickets) by the total number of possible outcomes (total number of tickets). For example, if there are 100 tickets in the draw and 5 of them are winning tickets, the probability of winning is 5/100 or 1/20.

3. Can the probability of winning in a lucky draw be increased?

Technically, the probability of winning in a lucky draw cannot be increased. However, you can increase your chances of winning by purchasing more tickets or by participating in multiple lucky draws. Keep in mind, however, that this does not guarantee a win as the probability is still based on chance.

4. What factors can affect the probability of winning in a lucky draw?

The probability of winning in a lucky draw is affected by the total number of tickets, the number of winning tickets, and the number of tickets purchased by an individual. It can also be influenced by external factors such as the method of drawing the winning ticket or any biases in the selection process.

5. How is "Lucky draw Probability" used in real-life situations?

"Lucky draw Probability" is commonly used in various real-life situations, such as lotteries, raffles, and other prize giveaways. It is also used in statistical analysis to determine the likelihood of certain outcomes in chance-based events. Additionally, it is used in decision-making processes to assess the risks and potential outcomes of different options.

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