Probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order

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In summary, the conversation discusses the probability of picking five letters in alphabetic order from a bag of 26 tiles. The solution involves finding the total number of possible 5-letter sequences and the number of those sequences that are in alphabetic order, which is 1 for every combination of five letters. This results in a probability of 1/120, regardless of the number of tiles in the bag.
  • #1
xcrunner448
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Homework Statement



There are 26 tiles in a bag, each with a different letter on it. You draw 5, without replacement. What is the probability that you pick the five letters in alphabetic order (e.g. C-H-R-T-W)

The Attempt at a Solution



The only way I could think of to do this was to find the total number of possible 5 letter sequences and the number of those sequences that are in alphabetic order, and then divide the two. There are 26P5=7893600 different sequences of letters. But I have not been able to think of a good way to calculate the number of those that are in alphabetic order. Any suggestions would be appreciated. Thank you!
 
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  • #2
First try it with only 5 letters in the bag, then 6 letters. Try to see a pattern you can extend to 26 letters.
 
  • #3
For every set of five letters, there is only one way to arrange it in alphabetic order. So the number of ways to choose five letters in alphabetic order is the same as the number of ways to choose five letters from 26.
 
  • #4
Ah, that makes sense. So for each possible combination of 5 letters there are 5!=120 possible arrangements and only 1 that is in alphabetic order, so the probability is 1/120. It's interesting that it doesn't even matter how many tiles are in the bag, only how many you are picking at a time. Thanks, Dick.
 

Related to Probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order

1. What is the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order in a word of 5 letters?

The probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order in a word of 5 letters is 1/120 or approximately 0.0083. This means that there is a 0.83% chance of selecting a word with letters in alphabetical order out of all possible combinations.

2. How is the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order calculated?

The probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order is calculated by dividing the number of combinations with letters in alphabetical order by the total number of possible combinations. For a word of 5 letters, the total number of possible combinations is 26*25*24*23*22 = 7893600, while the number of combinations with letters in alphabetical order is 5*4*3*2*1 = 120. Therefore, the probability is 120/7893600 = 1/120 or approximately 0.0083.

3. Is the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order the same for all words?

No, the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order varies depending on the length and arrangement of the letters in a word. For example, the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order in a word of 3 letters is 1/6 or approximately 0.167, which is higher than the probability for a word of 5 letters. Additionally, the probability is higher for words with repeating letters, as it reduces the number of possible combinations.

4. Can the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order be greater than 1?

No, the probability of an event can never be greater than 1. This would mean that the event is certain to occur, which is not possible in the case of selecting letters in alphabetic order. The maximum probability for this event is 1, which would occur if all possible combinations had letters in alphabetical order.

5. How does the probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order relate to the concept of randomness?

The probability of selecting letters in alphabetic order is a measure of how likely it is to randomly select a word with letters in alphabetical order from a given set of letters. The lower the probability, the more random the selection process is considered to be. Therefore, a lower probability indicates a greater level of randomness in the selection process.

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