Probability question on buckets and balls

In summary: These probabilities can be determined by looking at the combinations and counting how often each one appears. In summary, there is a 50% chance of encountering either of the two desired outcomes when picking up four balls from a bucket containing five balls.
  • #1
Amine_prince
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< Mentor Note -- thread moved to HH from the technical physics forums, so no HH Template is shown >

i am doubting my solution to this problem , therefore i hope someone assists me a bit . it's simple ,
there is a bucket that contains 5 red balls and 3 white balls , a player picks up 4 balls out of the bucket without returning any . what's the probability of having two red balls and two white balls .
 
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  • #2
Amine_prince said:
i am doubting my solution to this problem , therefore i hope someone assists me a bit . it's simple ,
there is a bucket that contains 5 red balls and 3 white balls , a player picks up 4 balls out of the bucket without returning any . what's the probability of having two red balls and two white balls .
What is your solution, and how did you derive it?
 
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  • #3
Samy_A said:
What is your solution, and how did you derive it?
I cannot write this properly on the forum so let A(n,p) stand for an arrangement
my solution is (A(5,2)*A(3,2))/A(8,4) * 6 , though it gives incorrect results so it's incorrect .
 
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  • #4
Amine_prince said:
I cannot write this properly on the forum so let A(n,p) stand for an arrangement
my solution is (A(5,2)*A(3,2))/A(8,2) * 6 , though it gives incorrect results so it's incorrect .
I can see how you get ##\binom {5}{2} \binom{3}{2}## in the numerator.
I don't understand the logic behind ##\binom{8}{2}## in the denominator, nor where the 6 comes from (also not clear whether the 6 is supposed to be in the numerator or the denominator).
 
  • #5
Samy_A said:
I can see how you get ##\binom {5}{2} \binom{3}{2}## in the numerator.
I don't understand the logic behind ##\binom{8}{2}## in the denominator, nor where the 6 comes from (also not clear whether the 6 is supposed to be in the numerator or the denominator).
6 is in the numerator and sorry that's not A(8,2) i meant to write A(8,4) it's the total number of possible arrangements
6 -> (r,w,w,r) (w,r,r,w) (r,r,w,w) (w,w,r,r) (r,w,r,w) (w,r,w,r)
 
  • #6
Amine_prince said:
6 is in the numerator and sorry that's not A(8,2) i meant to write A(8,4) it's the total number of possible arrangements
6 -> (r,w,w,r) (w,r,r,w) (r,r,w,w) (w,w,r,r) (r,w,r,w) (w,r,w,r)
Ok, that explains the ##\binom {8}{4}##.
Well, ##\binom {x}{y}## doesn't assume a specific order, so there is no reason to multiply by 6.
 
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  • #7
Samy_A said:
Ok, that explains the ##\binom {8}{4}##.
Well, ##\binom {x}{y}## doesn't assume a specific order, so there is no reason to multiply by 6.
thank you sir , though i can't just let this one go .. i used two Arrangements not one and then multiplied them together .
can you please kindly explain to me how can the first format encapsulate all the possibilities ?
thank you .
 
  • #8
i still can't quite grasp why the 6 is not necessary sir .
so l'ets say the event wasn't the one i stated and was instead the player get's a red ball a white ball a red ball and then an other white ball , the number of possible combinations for that is A(5,2)*A(3,2) , the thing is that only includes a single order not all of them ,
can you please explain to me why the 6 is not necessary sir ? the 6 is C(4,2)
 
  • #9
As I see it, there are ##\binom{8}{4}## ways to pick 4 balls. That's our denominator.
How many ways are there to pick 2 red balls? ##\binom{5}{2}##.
How many ways are there to pick 2 white balls? ##\binom{3}{2}##.
So the total number of good combinations, those with 2 red balls and 2 white balls, is the product of these two: ##\binom{5}{2}\binom{3}{2}##. That's our numerator.
 
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  • #10
Amine_prince said:
< Mentor Note -- thread moved to HH from the technical physics forums, so no HH Template is shown >

i am doubting my solution to this problem , therefore i hope someone assists me a bit . it's simple ,
there is a bucket that contains 5 red balls and 3 white balls , a player picks up 4 balls out of the bucket without returning any . what's the probability of having two red balls and two white balls .

One sure-fire way to do such a problem is to look at all the possibilities; it is not the fastest or most efficient way, but at least it produces correct results.
First of all, how many (favorable) outcomes are there? These are all the strings of 2Rs and 2Ws, so for example, we can have RRWW or RWRW or RWWR or ... . Here, the string RRWW means the first two are red and the next two are white, etc.

So, as I said, you can first determine the number of distinct outcomes of that type, recalling that the red balls are all the same as are all the white balls.

Next, for a typical outcome such as RRWW, what is its probability? What about for RWW? Ditto for RWWR, etc.

Now just add up all the results.

BTW: I said this is not the fastest way; but after you do one or two examples this way and notice the pattern, it does, indeed, become the fastest way, or at least as fast as any other method.
 

FAQ: Probability question on buckets and balls

1. What is the probability of drawing a red ball from a bucket with 5 red balls and 10 blue balls?

The probability would be 5/15 or 1/3, since there are 5 red balls out of a total of 15 balls in the bucket.

2. If I have 3 buckets with 10 balls each, and each bucket has a different ratio of red to blue balls, what is the overall probability of drawing a red ball?

The overall probability would depend on the ratios in each bucket. You would need to calculate the probability for each bucket and then find the weighted average based on the number of balls in each bucket.

3. Can the probability of drawing a specific colored ball change if you remove or add balls to the bucket?

Yes, the probability would change if you change the total number of balls or the number of balls of a specific color in the bucket. The more balls you add or remove, the greater the impact on the probability.

4. Is there a way to increase the probability of drawing a specific colored ball from a bucket?

Yes, you could increase the number of balls of that color in the bucket, or decrease the total number of balls in the bucket. This would increase the overall probability of drawing that specific colored ball.

5. How does the number of balls in a bucket affect the probability of drawing a specific colored ball?

The more balls in a bucket, the lower the probability of drawing a specific colored ball. This is because the more balls there are, the more competition there is for that specific colored ball. However, if the number of balls of that color increases along with the total number of balls, the probability would remain the same.

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