Prove Weakly Stationary Process w/$E(X^2_t ) < ∞$

In summary, the conversation discusses the concept of weak stationarity in a strictly stationary process. It is shown that weak stationarity implies that the mean value function is independent of time and the autocovariance is independent of time for any given lag. The second point is clarified and it is stated that the assumption of finiteness of the second moment is necessary for the definition to make sense. The provided solutions demonstrate that the assumption holds and therefore, the process is weakly stationary.
  • #1
nacho-man
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Not 100% sure if this is the right board.

My question is to
Show that a strictly stationary process with $E(X^2_t ) < ∞$ is weakly stationary.

So weakly stationary implies two things:

- the mean value function $u_t$ does not depend on time $t$
and
- the autocovariance $\gamma_x(t+h,t)$ is independent of $t$ for each $h$

The first point is fairly intuitive, but just to clarify, the second point is saying that the ACF does not depend on the time $t$ at any point when finding the autocovariance between two different points in time for any given $h$ ?Anyway, continuing on to the question,

the solutions say:

$E[X_t]$ is independent of $t$ since the distribution of ${X_t}$ is independent of $t$ and $E[X_t]$ exists.
So that proves the first point, but isn't this just an obvious re-iteration of the first definition of a weakly stationary set?
How does the 2nd moment being finite allow us to conclude that the distribution of ${X_t}$ is independent of $t$?

The 2nd point of the solution says: the joint distribution of $X_t , X_{t+h}$ is independent of t, hence ${X_t}$ is weakly stationary.

Are these both valid solutions? It seems as if just the definition of a weakly stationary set has been provided. I feel a little confused as to why these conclusions cannot be made if $E^2[X] \nless \infty$

Any help with understanding this is very appreciated.
 
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  • #2
Hello,

The assumption of finiteness of $\mathbb E(X_t^2)$ is done because otherwise the quantities $\mathbb E(X_tX_{t+h})$ involved in the definition of weak stationarity do not necessarily make sense.

The solution is valid.
 

FAQ: Prove Weakly Stationary Process w/$E(X^2_t ) < ∞$

What is a weakly stationary process?

A weakly stationary process is a type of stochastic process in which the mean and variance of the process do not change over time. This means that the mean and variance are constant at any given time interval, but they may vary across different time intervals.

How is weak stationarity different from strict stationarity?

Weak stationarity is a less strict requirement than strict stationarity. In a strictly stationary process, the joint distribution of any set of time points is the same as the joint distribution of the same set of points shifted in time. In contrast, a weakly stationary process only requires that the first and second moments of the process remain constant over time.

What does it mean for a weakly stationary process to have finite second moment?

A weakly stationary process with finite second moment means that the expected value of the squared value of the process at any given time point is finite. This indicates that the process does not have extreme or erratic fluctuations, as the squared values are not getting infinitely large.

How can I prove that a process is weakly stationary?

To prove that a process is weakly stationary, you can use statistical tests such as the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test or the Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin test. These tests compare the mean and variance of the process at different time intervals to determine if they are statistically constant.

Why is weak stationarity important in time series analysis?

Weak stationarity is important in time series analysis because it allows us to make predictions about future values of a process based on its past behavior. This is because a weakly stationary process is assumed to have a consistent mean and variance, making it more predictable than a non-stationary process. Additionally, many popular time series models, such as ARIMA, require the data to be weakly stationary in order to be valid.

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