- #36
Deveno
Science Advisor
Gold Member
MHB
- 2,726
- 6
me personally? i am inclined to think not, but i am not 100% certain (P < 1?). if it was experimentally indicated that "odds" were observer-dependent, it wouldn't shake my world-view.
i believe that one of the possibilities is, that there actually is an "objective reality" that does not depend on being perceived to be. but i believe there are other possibilities, too. but i think that, to an extent, my personal beliefs are by and large, irrelevant, that communication with someone else dictates i adopt the convention that we share a common super-set (something which i am entirely unable to prove).
the assumption that there is something "out there" which follows "rules" is convenient, and useful. that doesn't make it true. we proceed on the assumption that our universe is consistent, and it's a reasonable assumption to make, but that does not constitute proof.
in fact, in actual (i use the word loosely, in light of the present subject matter) games of chance, there is always some deviation between predicted outcome, and actual outcome. roll a pair of dice 100 times, and tell me if 7's come up 16 or 17 times. the law of large numbers says only this will be the average for a large number of trials, in other words we are talking about a limit. well, with limits, we only have "equality" with an "infinite" number of trials, so there is always going to be some uncertainty. do you see, how already we are straying from certainty that P = 1/6? to make a statement we are sure of...we need to assume an "ideal world"...which certainly isn't this one.
and I'm ok with that, I'm perfectly happy to only be 99% confident of a statement. you seem not to be.