Rolling 4 Identical Numbers: Probability

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  • #1
csc2iffy
76
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Homework Statement



If someone could just check my work, thanks!
If five dice are rolled once each, what is the probability of rolling exactly 4 identical numbers?

Homework Equations


The Attempt at a Solution



This is what I have:
(1)(1/6)(1/6)(1/6)(5/6)=5/1296
 
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  • #2
csc2iffy said:

Homework Statement



If someone could just check my work, thanks!
If five dice are rolled once each, what is the probability of rolling exactly 4 identical numbers?

Homework Equations


The Attempt at a Solution



This is what I have:
(1)(1/6)(1/6)(1/6)(5/6)=5/1296

That's the probability of doing it in a specific way. Say, first four identical, last one not identical. The problem doesn't specify any particular way.
 
  • #3
Ok, so would it be this instead?
(6)(1/6)3(5/6)
 
  • #4
csc2iffy said:
Ok, so would it be this instead?
(6)(1/6)3(5/6)

No. Why '6'? How many ways are there to choose the four identical dice out of five dice?
 
  • #5
i'm not sure, this is one of my study guide questions and this is why I'm asking...
 
  • #6
csc2iffy said:
i'm not sure, this is one of my study guide questions and this is why I'm asking...

How many ways to choose 4 objects from 5? It's a binomial coefficient. It's a combinatorial thing. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_coefficient
 
Last edited:
  • #7
I took a break from this problem but here is my newest attempt:
choose(5,4) = 5
so is it... 5(1/6)3(5/6)?
 
  • #8
csc2iffy said:
I took a break from this problem but here is my newest attempt:
choose(5,4) = 5
so is it... 5(1/6)3(5/6)?

Well, yes. Doesn't that seem more right to you than the first try?
 
  • #9
csc2iffy said:

Homework Statement



If someone could just check my work, thanks!
If five dice are rolled once each, what is the probability of rolling exactly 4 identical numbers?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



This is what I have:
(1)(1/6)(1/6)(1/6)(5/6)=5/1296

I think your basic approach is risky: you need to develop the answer step-by-careful step, rather than flailing around and writing down some almost random answers. If you need to keep asking "Am I right"?..."OK, what about now?..." it indicates that you are not at all confident about what you are doing. You would likely be more confident if you were more systematic. Ask yourself the following: suppose the 4 identical numbers are all 1. What would be the probability of that (that is, of getting 4 1's and 2 non-1's)? Think about getting four 2's (instead of 4 1's), then four 3's, etc. Does it matter what the number is? Can you put this all together?

RGV
 

FAQ: Rolling 4 Identical Numbers: Probability

What is the probability of rolling four identical numbers with four six-sided dice?

The probability of rolling four identical numbers with four six-sided dice is 1 in 1296, or approximately 0.077%. This is because there are 1296 possible outcomes when rolling four dice (6^4), and only 1 of those outcomes results in four identical numbers.

How does the probability change if I roll four identical numbers with four eight-sided dice?

The probability of rolling four identical numbers with four eight-sided dice is 1 in 4096, or approximately 0.024%. This is because there are 4096 possible outcomes when rolling four dice (8^4), and only 1 of those outcomes results in four identical numbers.

Is it possible to roll four identical numbers with four ten-sided dice?

Yes, it is possible to roll four identical numbers with four ten-sided dice. The probability of this occurring is 1 in 10,000, or approximately 0.01%. This is because there are 10,000 possible outcomes when rolling four dice (10^4), and only 1 of those outcomes results in four identical numbers.

What is the difference in probability between rolling four identical numbers with four six-sided dice and four ten-sided dice?

The probability of rolling four identical numbers with four six-sided dice is 1 in 1296, while the probability of rolling four identical numbers with four ten-sided dice is 1 in 10,000. This means that it is approximately 7.7 times more likely to roll four identical numbers with four six-sided dice compared to four ten-sided dice.

Does the probability change if I roll four identical numbers with more than four dice?

Yes, the probability changes as the number of dice increases. The more dice you have, the lower the probability of rolling four identical numbers becomes. This is because the number of possible outcomes increases with each additional die, making it less likely for all of them to be the same number.

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