Solve Probability Question: Tossing 3 Heads in a Row out of 64 Tosses

In summary, the question is asking for the probability of getting 3 heads in a row out of 64 tosses. To solve this, we need to consider the probability of getting 3 heads in a row in a smaller number of tosses, such as 3. Then, we can use this probability to calculate the probability in larger groups of tosses. The final probability is very close to 1.
  • #1
Yura
39
0
hi, i posted this question in the probability forum here but no one is even browsing that one.

my brother needs to know this but I'm in exam block right now and can only think of the physics I am studying this term. i can't remember how to figure this out anymore i just know i'll probably have to use nCr and nPr.
heres the question:
how do i find the probability of getting tossing 3 heads in a row out of 64 tosses?

thanks, much appreciated.
 
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  • #2
Do you mean getting 3 heads and 61 tails or 3 heads in a row?
 
  • #3
My interpretation was getting 3 heads in a row (at least once or exactly once? Exactly three or would 4 heads in a row also count?) anywhere in the 61 flips. Looks to me like a very hard problem with a lot of calculation involved.
 
  • #4
I will assume the problem is having at least 3 consecutive heads at least once.
In 3 flips you have the following possibilities:
TTT
TTH
THT
THH
HTT
HTH
HHT
HHH
So you have a 1 in 8 probability to get threee heads in a row with 3 flips.
You have 62 groups of three consecutive flips in 64 tosses:
1 2 3 - 2 3 4 - ... - 62 63 64.
You have 1/8 probability of getting 3 heads in the first group and 7/8 of not getting it.
The probability of getting the 3 heads in the second group given that you did not get it in the first is
7/8 * 1/8 = 7/64
So you have a 57/64 chance of not getting 3 heads in the first 2 groups.
The probability of getting the 3 heads in the third group given that you did not get it in the first two is:
57/64 * 1/8 = 57/512
and so on...
The total probability is the sum 1/8 + 7/64 + 57/512 + ... very near 1.
 
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FAQ: Solve Probability Question: Tossing 3 Heads in a Row out of 64 Tosses

What is probability?

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, with 0 representing impossibility and 1 representing certainty.

How do you calculate probability?

To calculate the probability of an event, you divide the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. This can be represented as P(event) = favorable outcomes / total outcomes.

What is the difference between theoretical and experimental probability?

Theoretical probability is based on mathematical calculations and assumes that all outcomes are equally likely. Experimental probability is based on actual data from conducting experiments or collecting data.

How do you interpret probability?

Probability can be interpreted as a proportion or percentage. For example, a probability of 0.5 can be interpreted as a 50% chance of the event occurring.

How can probability be applied in real life?

Probability is used in many fields, including science, finance, and sports. It can help us make predictions and decisions based on the likelihood of certain outcomes. For example, probability is used in weather forecasting, predicting stock market trends, and determining the odds of winning a game or competition.

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