Solving Uncertainties: Explaining My Mistakes

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In summary, Fallen Angel seems to be struggling to understand the questions. She has some questions about uncertainties that she is not able to answer, and would like help from others.
  • #1
TheFallen018
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Hello,

I've been doing this quiz that is mostly based around uncertainties. I've got a few questions that I've got wrong, and was wondering if someone could give each a brief explanation. There's a few to go over, so if you'd be willing, I would be very grateful.

I've had a crack at these questions, but my understanding seems to be lacking. I could probably keep going on the questions until I get them right, but I don't feel like that would help my understanding much.

Here's the first question. Apparently two of these answers are correct.
View attachment 8292

Here is question two. Two of these are wrong. I think that part b and c need to be swapped, but I'm not clear on why.
View attachment 8293
View attachment 8294


The next part has one wrong. I can't tell where the error is, so my understanding of how uncertainties work is clearly missing something here.
View attachment 8295
View attachment 8296

This one bothered me, because I can't see how some of the questions make sense, so some explanation on what I did wrong here would go a long way. I measured the standard deviation to be about 0.76, and the standard error in the mean to be about 0.17. The first question seemed strange because with just those measurements the standard deviation was already well below 1m. There are 2 wrong here.
View attachment 8297
View attachment 8298

Sorry for all of these questions. I really appreciate the time you've taken to read this far.

Thank-you. :)
 

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  • #2
Hi Fallen Angel,

To be honest, I'm not inclined to generally explain how uncertainties work.
It's just too broad of a topic, and it's what you're supposed to learn from your textbook.
It appears that others here feel the same way, since no one else has responded yet.

If only you'd have more explicit questions I'd help you...
 
  • #3
I like Serena said:
Hi Fallen Angel,

To be honest, I'm not inclined to generally explain how uncertainties work.
It's just too broad of a topic, and it's what you're supposed to learn from your textbook.
It appears that others here feel the same way, since no one else has responded yet.

If only you'd have more explicit questions I'd help you...

Sorry about that. I was writing this up late at night and I guess I was trying to keep from writing a small essay. I'll go through my reasoning for each, but I'm sure you'll find my reasoning to be quite flawed. I would like it if you could pick me up on where my reasoning falls short so that I can improve my understanding of these questions.

Question 1a
If the result of a calculation is 1453.1 with an uncertainly of 0.5, it should be recorded as 1453.1 ± 0.5
I answered true to this, because the decimal places match, so this should be correct notation.

Question 1b
If the result of a calculation is 1453.0 with an uncertainly of 0.1, it should be recorded as 1453 ± 0.1 because a zero after the decimal point has no meaning.
I answered false to this, because the decimal place in the value is important as it shows precision. Also, as before, the decimal places need to match.

Question 1c
A result of 0.0028 ± 0.0002 means that the true value must lie in the range 0.0026 to 0.0030
Perhaps this one seemed too straightforward here, and misled me. I answered true to this one. It seemed that the +- should give the values between the range [0.0026,0.0030]

Question 1d
If Emma obtains the result 580 ± 50, and Kim obtains the result 640 ± 40 for the same quantity, the results agree within experimental uncertainty
I answered incorrect to this, as the values for the second one could be much higher for the first. However, upon re-thinking this one, I think it would make sense fot this to be correct, as the values overlap, and the true value would lie within the overlap.

Question 2a
The uncertainty in the value of x + y is the same as the uncertainty in the value of x - y.
I answered true to this, because since uncertainty is +-, it shouldn't matter if we are adding or subtracting. The uncertainty will add either way.

However, this one really bothered me because I've seen people do this so many different ways. Different online calculators have different ways of doing it. Some ways I've seen would say that they are the same because the uncertainty is larger in the first that the whole of the second value. Some add the values together, but don't add the uncertainty, and some add both. Some don't add anything. Some explanation here would be great.

Question 2b
In part (ii), since the value for y is smaller than the uncertainty in x, the value of s is equal to the value of x.
View attachment 8300

I answered incorrect to this one, because the uncertainty could be either positive or negative. However adding y to x will result in x being increased positively. Therefore, I considered this to be false.

Question 2c
In part (ii), the uncertainty in s could be reduced by reducing the uncertainty in y without reducing the uncertainty in x
I answered true to this, because adding two numbers with uncertainties should increase the uncertainty. However, if I was incorrect in Question 2b, then I would probably be incorrect in this one too.

Question 3a
The relative uncertainty in the current is smaller than the relative uncertainty in the resistance.
View attachment 8301
I calculated the relative uncertainty to be about 8.8%. This is from ∆x/x = 0.05/0.57 ≈ 0.088. The relative uncertainty for the resistance is 0.2/10=0.02. Therefore the current has a higher relative uncertainty. I answered false to this one.

Question 3b
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced by halving the uncertainly in the current without changing the precision of the measurement of resistance.
Since voltage is given by V=IR, we need to multiply these together. I answered true to this, because decreasing uncertainty from one side should decrease the uncertainty in the final answer.

Question 3c
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced by halving the uncertainly in the resistance without changing the precision of the measurement of current.
I answered true to this as well, based on the same logic as the previous question. However, I am guessing that this may be false because the current has the larger uncertainty, and so decreasing uncertainty in the resistance may have a negligible effect. I'm not sure though.

Question 3d
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced only if both resistance and current are measured more precisely.
I answered false to this, as this contradicted my logic for the previous two questions. Reducing uncertainty in at least the current should decrease the uncertainty in the voltage.

Question 4a
If another 20 trials were measured, the standard deviation of the measurements would probably be less than 1.0 m.
View attachment 8302
I answered true to this, because I calculated the standard deviation to be about 0.76. This was already well under 1 meter, so more measurements would almost certainly keep the standard deviation under a meter.

Question 4b
If another 20 trials were measured, the mean would certainly lie between 4.8 m and 5.2 m.
I answered true to this, because I calculated the mean to be about 5.04m. Since this is between 4.8m and 5.2m I concluded that this should not change much with more measurements, provided they are not wildly different. Therefore, I answered true.

Question 4c
Omitting the last column of measurements would not change the result, so the student does not need more measurements.
I answered false to this, but I'm not sure about it. I answered false because although a small number of measurements should give you a good idea, I would have thought more measurements will always make a more complete picture.

Question 4d
It is easy to read a tape measure to the nearest millimeter, so the readings should be more precise.
I answered false to this, because I thought that the taking averages should more or less cancel out some degree of precision here. Perhaps I'm wrong.
If you've the time, I'd appreciate a few pointers on where my thought process is wrong. Apologies for the long post. Thank you
 

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  • #4
TheFallen018 said:
Sorry about that. I was writing this up late at night and I guess I was trying to keep from writing a small essay. I'll go through my reasoning for each, but I'm sure you'll find my reasoning to be quite flawed. I would like it if you could pick me up on where my reasoning falls short so that I can improve my understanding of these questions.

Question 1a
If the result of a calculation is 1453.1 with an uncertainly of 0.5, it should be recorded as 1453.1 ± 0.5
I answered true to this, because the decimal places match, so this should be correct notation.

Question 1b
If the result of a calculation is 1453.0 with an uncertainly of 0.1, it should be recorded as 1453 ± 0.1 because a zero after the decimal point has no meaning.
I answered false to this, because the decimal place in the value is important as it shows precision. Also, as before, the decimal places need to match.

All correct.

TheFallen018 said:
Question 1c
A result of 0.0028 ± 0.0002 means that the true value must lie in the range 0.0026 to 0.0030
Perhaps this one seemed too straightforward here, and misled me. I answered true to this one. It seemed that the +- should give the values between the range [0.0026,0.0030]

It's an 'uncertainty'. It means that it's not guaranteed that the true value is in the interval, only that it is likely.
More specifically, it's supposed to be 67% likely.

TheFallen018 said:
Question 1d
If Emma obtains the result 580 ± 50, and Kim obtains the result 640 ± 40 for the same quantity, the results agree within experimental uncertainty
I answered incorrect to this, as the values for the second one could be much higher for the first. However, upon re-thinking this one, I think it would make sense fot this to be correct, as the values overlap, and the true value would lie within the overlap.

It depends a bit on how your book defines 'agreeing results within experimental uncertainty.'
I suspect it is intended to be true because the two intervals overlap.
TheFallen018 said:
Question 2a
The uncertainty in the value of x + y is the same as the uncertainty in the value of x - y.
I answered true to this, because since uncertainty is +-, it shouldn't matter if we are adding or subtracting. The uncertainty will add either way.

Correct.

TheFallen018 said:
However, this one really bothered me because I've seen people do this so many different ways. Different online calculators have different ways of doing it. Some ways I've seen would say that they are the same because the uncertainty is larger in the first that the whole of the second value. Some add the values together, but don't add the uncertainty, and some add both. Some don't add anything. Some explanation here would be great.

Suppose $x=20\pm 3$ and $y=10\pm 4$.
Then $x+y = (20+10)\pm \sqrt{3^2+4^2} = 30 \pm 5$.
And $x-y = (20-10)\pm \sqrt{3^2+4^2} = 10 \pm 5$.
We find the uncertainty of a sum or difference by adding the squares of the uncertainties.
We can simplify it a bit though if one uncertainty is significantly bigger than the other. In that case we can simply pick the biggest. This applies to the next question.

TheFallen018 said:
Question 2b
In part (ii), since the value for y is smaller than the uncertainty in x, the value of s is equal to the value of x.
https://www.physicsforums.com/attachments/8300

I answered incorrect to this one, because the uncertainty could be either positive or negative. However adding y to x will result in x being increased positively. Therefore, I considered this to be false.

(a) To find $s$ we just need to add the values don't we? For (ii) that is $s=x+y=5+200=205$.
And uncertainties are always positive.
In this case:
$$\Delta s = \sqrt{1^2+10^2} \approx 10$$
Here we can see that we can simply pick the biggest uncertainty because 10 is so much bigger than 1.
The result is the same.

So $s=x+y=205 \pm 10$.
This is different from $200 \pm 10$, so we cannot just throw $x$ away.
It would mean that we make a 'rounding' mistake.

It's a bit of an edge case though since we usually keep only one digit in an uncertainty.
If we reduce the uncertainty to 1 digit, we would only 'just' be making a rounding mistake.

TheFallen018 said:
Question 2c
In part (ii), the uncertainty in s could be reduced by reducing the uncertainty in y without reducing the uncertainty in x
I answered true to this, because adding two numbers with uncertainties should increase the uncertainty. However, if I was incorrect in Question 2b, then I would probably be incorrect in this one too.

It is indeed true. If we reduce one of the uncertainties, the resulting uncertainty will also be decreased.
This has the most effect if we reduce the biggest uncertainty.
Since the uncertainty of y is so much bigger than x, the resulting uncertainty is really just the uncertainty of y though.

Phew. That's a lot of questions.
Let me get back to the remaining questions later.
Btw, usually we prefer to have a maximum of 2 questions in a thread, because otherwise it's just too much...

TheFallen018 said:
Question 3a
The relative uncertainty in the current is smaller than the relative uncertainty in the resistance.
View attachment 8301
I calculated the relative uncertainty to be about 8.8%. This is from ∆x/x = 0.05/0.57 ≈ 0.088. The relative uncertainty for the resistance is 0.2/10=0.02. Therefore the current has a higher relative uncertainty. I answered false to this one.

Question 3b
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced by halving the uncertainly in the current without changing the precision of the measurement of resistance.
Since voltage is given by V=IR, we need to multiply these together. I answered true to this, because decreasing uncertainty from one side should decrease the uncertainty in the final answer.

Question 3c
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced by halving the uncertainly in the resistance without changing the precision of the measurement of current.
I answered true to this as well, based on the same logic as the previous question. However, I am guessing that this may be false because the current has the larger uncertainty, and so decreasing uncertainty in the resistance may have a negligible effect. I'm not sure though.

Question 3d
The uncertainty in voltage can be reduced only if both resistance and current are measured more precisely.
I answered false to this, as this contradicted my logic for the previous two questions. Reducing uncertainty in at least the current should decrease the uncertainty in the voltage.

Question 4a
If another 20 trials were measured, the standard deviation of the measurements would probably be less than 1.0 m.
View attachment 8302
I answered true to this, because I calculated the standard deviation to be about 0.76. This was already well under 1 meter, so more measurements would almost certainly keep the standard deviation under a meter.

Question 4b
If another 20 trials were measured, the mean would certainly lie between 4.8 m and 5.2 m.
I answered true to this, because I calculated the mean to be about 5.04m. Since this is between 4.8m and 5.2m I concluded that this should not change much with more measurements, provided they are not wildly different. Therefore, I answered true.

Question 4c
Omitting the last column of measurements would not change the result, so the student does not need more measurements.
I answered false to this, but I'm not sure about it. I answered false because although a small number of measurements should give you a good idea, I would have thought more measurements will always make a more complete picture.

Question 4d
It is easy to read a tape measure to the nearest millimeter, so the readings should be more precise.
I answered false to this, because I thought that the taking averages should more or less cancel out some degree of precision here. Perhaps I'm wrong.
If you've the time, I'd appreciate a few pointers on where my thought process is wrong. Apologies for the long post. Thank you
 

FAQ: Solving Uncertainties: Explaining My Mistakes

What does "solving uncertainties" mean?

Solving uncertainties refers to the process of addressing and resolving any doubts, errors, or unknown factors that may arise in a scientific experiment or investigation. It involves identifying and explaining any mistakes that may have been made and finding ways to improve future research.

Why is explaining mistakes important in the scientific process?

Explaining mistakes is important because it allows for transparency and honesty in the scientific community. It also helps to identify any potential biases or flaws in the research, and allows for improvements to be made in future studies.

How do scientists go about solving uncertainties?

Scientists solve uncertainties by carefully examining the data and results of their experiments, identifying any discrepancies or errors, and then working to understand and explain them. This may involve conducting further investigations, consulting with colleagues, or conducting additional experiments.

What are some common mistakes that scientists make?

Common mistakes made by scientists include human error, faulty equipment, incorrect measurement techniques, and sample contamination. Bias and flawed experimental design can also lead to mistakes in research.

How can explaining mistakes lead to scientific advancements?

Explaining mistakes can lead to scientific advancements by providing valuable insights and learnings that can inform future research. By identifying and addressing uncertainties and errors, scientists can improve their methods and produce more accurate and reliable results, ultimately advancing the overall understanding and knowledge in their field of study.

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