Understanding the Bias in Binomial Distribution for Probability Calculations

In summary, the conversation discusses the use of the binomial distribution to find the expected value and variance of a series of rolls. The formula E(X) = np is not applicable, but the basic definitions of expectation and variance can be used. The conversation also explores the concept of using the E(X) = np formula to find the probability of a specific outcome in a series of rolls.
  • #1
buddingscientist
42
0
binomial distribution

Prob of rolling a 1 = 1/10, rolling a 2 = 2/10, 3 = 3/10, 4 = 4/10
Let X be the value thrown
Calculate E(X) and Var(X)


To do this can't use E(X) = np and can't use Var(X) = npq
is this correct?
 
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  • #2
This isn't a binomial distribution, so no using those formulae won't help.
 
  • #3
You can, however, use the basic definitions:

E(x)= &Sigma(xProb(x))= 1*prob(1)+ 2*prob(2)+ 3*prob(3)+ 4*prob(4).

&sigma(x)= &sqrt((x- E(x))2Prob(x)).
 
  • #4
thanks alot,

so to use those formula, we could find that the E(X) amount of 4's, out of 10 rolls, would be

4/10 * 10 = 4

and the variance 4/10 * 6/10 * 10 = 2.4
 
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  • #5
"E(X) amount of 4's"

E(X) is the expectation of the score. I don't see what the 'amount of 4s' has to do with it.

As was written above the expectation is:

1/10 + 2*2/10 + 3*3/10 +4*4/10 = 3.
 
  • #6
yes, i know
i wanted to know a use of the E(X) = np formual with respect to that question, the use of it was to find the probability of the amount of 4's out of 10 rolls
 
  • #7
In that case why did you use X for two different things? The outcome of one throw and the number of 4s occurring in 10 rolls?
 

FAQ: Understanding the Bias in Binomial Distribution for Probability Calculations

What is binomial distribution bias?

Binomial distribution bias refers to the tendency for the observed frequency of an event to deviate from the expected frequency in a binomial distribution. This can occur when the assumptions of the binomial distribution are not met, or when there is a systematic error in the data collection process.

What causes binomial distribution bias?

Binomial distribution bias can be caused by a variety of factors, such as sample size, measurement error, or the presence of confounding variables. It can also occur when the underlying population does not follow a binomial distribution, but is instead skewed or has a different distribution.

How can we detect binomial distribution bias?

One way to detect binomial distribution bias is by comparing the observed frequency to the expected frequency using statistical tests such as the chi-square test. Another method is to visually inspect the data through histograms or other graphical representations to look for deviations from the expected distribution.

What are the consequences of binomial distribution bias?

Binomial distribution bias can lead to inaccurate conclusions and decisions based on the data. It can also result in misleading or incorrect predictions, which can have significant implications for research findings or real-world applications.

How can we reduce or eliminate binomial distribution bias?

To reduce or eliminate binomial distribution bias, it is important to carefully consider the assumptions of the binomial distribution and ensure that they are met before analyzing the data. It may also be helpful to increase the sample size, minimize measurement error, and control for potential confounding variables. Additionally, using alternative statistical methods or sensitivity analyses can help to identify and address any bias in the data.

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