What Are the Probabilities of Specific Dice Roll Outcomes in Multiple Throws?

In summary, the probability of getting the number 6 at least twice when throwing a dice 5 times is 0.482 and the probability of getting the same number at least 4 times is 0.0046. These probabilities are calculated by finding the number of options containing 6 twice (3750) and the number of options containing the same number 4 or more times (36) out of 7776 total options. However, this calculation does not take into account the different ways in which these outcomes can occur, leading to incorrect answers. In order to accurately calculate the probabilities, the number of ways each outcome can occur must also be considered, as shown in the conversations for both problems.
  • #1
Dell
590
0
i throw a dice 5 times,
1)what is the probability that i get the number 6 at least twice?

2)what is the probability that i get the same number at least 4 times?


i know that since i am throwing the dice 5 times i have 6^5=7776 options
now all i need to find out is how many of those options contain 2 or more sixes, adn the same number 4 or more times
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1) the number of options containing 6 twice

i think it would be easier to find the amount that contain 0 or 1 six and subtract.
since 0 or 1 of the rolls must be 6 and the rest must not be 6
1*5*5*5*5 + 5*5*5*5*5 = 3750

giving me the probability 3750/7776=0.482 that i will roll less than 2 sixes
and the probability of 0.518 that i will roll 2 or more

but the answer is meant to be 0.196?? where am i going wrong?
had i used 5*5*5*5*5 + 5*5*5*5*5 =6250 instead of 3750 i would have gotten the right answer, but i doint understand why that is correct.

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2) to get the same number 4 or more times i need to get the same number either 4 times or 5 times
the first number can be any number, the next 3 must be the same as the first and the last must either be the same as the first or different to the first
6*1*1*1*1 + 6*1*1*1*5=36

36/7776=0.0046

but again the correct answer is meant to be 0.02 and i cannot see how,
 
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  • #2
Dell said:
i throw a dice 5 times,
1)what is the probability that i get the number 6 at least twice?

2)what is the probability that i get the same number at least 4 times?

i know that since i am throwing the dice 5 times i have 6^5=7776 options
now all i need to find out is how many of those options contain 2 or more sixes, adn the same number 4 or more times
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1) the number of options containing 6 twice

i think it would be easier to find the amount that contain 0 or 1 six and subtract.
since 0 or 1 of the rolls must be 6 and the rest must not be 6
1*5*5*5*5 + 5*5*5*5*5 = 3750

giving me the probability 3750/7776=0.482 that i will roll less than 2 sixes
and the probability of 0.518 that i will roll 2 or more

but the answer is meant to be 0.196?? where am i going wrong?
had i used 5*5*5*5*5 + 5*5*5*5*5 =6250 instead of 3750 i would have gotten the right answer, but i doint understand why that is correct.
You didn't take into account the number of ways to roll a 6 only once. You have five possibilities: 6XXXX, X6XXX, XX6XX, XXX6X, XXXX6.

You made the same error on the second problem.
 
  • #3
okay i think i got it

5*5*5*5*5+(1*5*5*5*5)*5, and that really gives me 0.1962

but for the second one

(6*1*1*1*1)+(6*1*1*1*5) but do i multiply this by 5 also?? are there not more than 5 possibilities for the second term?
 
  • #4
also in another question which i thought i had right i was asked the possibility to roll the same number 3 times exactly out of 6i said

6*1*1*5*5 since the first roll i can have any number, 2 others must be the same and 2 others must be different, but here too i didnt take into account the ways i could roll these numbers, i could have

6 1 1 5 5
1 1 5 5 6
1 5 5 6 1
5 5 6 1 1
5 6 1 1 5
1 6 1 5 5
6 1 5 5 1
6 1 ......

it seams like it never going to end, what os the method to solve this?
 

FAQ: What Are the Probabilities of Specific Dice Roll Outcomes in Multiple Throws?

What is the probability of rolling a specific number on a standard six-sided dice?

The probability of rolling a specific number on a standard six-sided dice is 1/6 or approximately 16.67%.

What is the probability of rolling a certain sum on two dice?

The probability of rolling a certain sum on two dice is determined by the number of ways that sum can be achieved divided by the total number of outcomes. For example, the probability of rolling a sum of 7 is 6/36 or 1/6 because there are six ways to roll a 7 (1+6, 2+5, 3+4, 4+3, 5+2, 6+1) out of 36 total outcomes.

What is the probability of rolling at least one 6 in two rolls of a dice?

The probability of rolling at least one 6 in two rolls of a dice is 11/36 or approximately 30.56%. This can be calculated by subtracting the probability of not rolling a 6 (5/6) from the total probability of two rolls (1).

What is the probability of rolling a double (two of the same number) on two dice?

The probability of rolling a double on two dice is 1/6 or approximately 16.67% because there are six possible outcomes for a double (1+1, 2+2, 3+3, 4+4, 5+5, 6+6) out of 36 total outcomes.

How does the probability of rolling a specific number change with multiple rolls?

The probability of rolling a specific number does not change with multiple rolls. Each roll is an independent event and the probability remains the same. However, the probability of rolling a certain number at least once in multiple rolls increases with each roll. For example, the probability of rolling a 6 at least once in two rolls is 11/36, but the probability of rolling a 6 at least once in three rolls is 91/216.

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