What is the expected length of the shorter segment when the stick snaps?

  • MHB
  • Thread starter Ackbach
  • Start date
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    2016
In summary, the expected length of the shorter segment when a stick snaps depends on the length of the original stick and the method of snapping. The length of the original stick directly affects the expected length of the shorter segment, with longer sticks resulting in longer expected lengths. The probability distribution for the expected length of the shorter segment follows a normal distribution curve, with most outcomes falling around half of the original length. The method of snapping can also affect the expected length, with random snapping resulting in an expected length of half the original length and specific snapping allowing for variation. However, it is not possible to accurately predict the expected length of the shorter segment due to various factors.
  • #1
Ackbach
Gold Member
MHB
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Here is this week's POTW, a problem submission by Track. Thanks, Track!

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I thought y'all could use some more stochastic love. Requires knowledge of calculus-based probability theory.

Suppose a $12$-inch, uniformly-shaped wooden stick is held securely at both ends, such that the stick does not move. The stick is then subjected to significant pressure until it snaps cleanly. Let $X$ be the distance from the left end of the stick at which the break occurs. The probability density function of $X$ is given by:
$$f_X(x)=\left\{\begin{array}{rl}
\left(\dfrac{x}{24}\right)\left(1-\dfrac{x}{12}\right), & 0\le x \le 12 \\
0, & \text{otherwise}
\end{array}\right.$$
What is the expected length of the shorter segment when the stick snaps?

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Remember to read the http://www.mathhelpboards.com/showthread.php?772-Problem-of-the-Week-%28POTW%29-Procedure-and-Guidelines to find out how to http://www.mathhelpboards.com/forms.php?do=form&fid=2!
 
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  • #2
Congratulations to Opalg for his correct solution, which follows:

The function $f_X(x)$ is symmetric about $x=6$. If the break does not occur in the left half of the stick (at $X$, with $X\leqslant6$) then it will occur at $12-X$ and the length of the shorter segment will again be $X$. Putting these two possibilities together, the expected length of the shorter segment must be $$2\int_0^6xf_X(x)\,dx = \int_0^6\frac{x^2}{12}\Bigl(1-\frac x{12}\Bigr)\,dx = \Bigl[\frac{x^3}{36} - \frac{x^4}{12\cdot48}\Bigr]_0^6 = 6 - \frac94 = \frac{15}4.$$ Thus the expected length of the shorter segment is $3\frac34$ inches.
 

FAQ: What is the expected length of the shorter segment when the stick snaps?

What is the expected length of the shorter segment when the stick snaps?

The expected length of the shorter segment when a stick snaps depends on the length of the original stick and the method of snapping. If the stick is snapped randomly at any point, the expected length of the shorter segment is half of the original length. However, if the stick is snapped at a specific point, the expected length of the shorter segment can vary.

How does the length of the original stick affect the expected length of the shorter segment?

The length of the original stick directly affects the expected length of the shorter segment. The longer the original stick, the longer the expected length of the shorter segment. This is because as the stick gets longer, the possible breaking points increase, resulting in a higher probability of a longer shorter segment.

What is the probability distribution for the expected length of the shorter segment?

The probability distribution for the expected length of the shorter segment follows a normal distribution curve. This means that the majority of outcomes will fall around the expected length (half of the original length), with fewer outcomes deviating towards the shorter and longer lengths.

Does the method of snapping affect the expected length of the shorter segment?

Yes, the method of snapping can affect the expected length of the shorter segment. If the stick is snapped randomly at any point, the expected length of the shorter segment will be half of the original length. However, if the stick is snapped at a specific point, the expected length of the shorter segment can vary depending on the location of the breaking point.

Can the expected length of the shorter segment be accurately predicted?

No, the expected length of the shorter segment cannot be accurately predicted. This is because it depends on various factors such as the length of the original stick, the method of snapping, and the probability distribution. While the expected length can be estimated, it is not possible to accurately predict the exact length of the shorter segment when a stick snaps.

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