What Is the Integral Formulation of the Chapman-Kolmogorov Formula?

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In summary, the conversation is about the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula for continuous probability. The formula states that the probability of going from point A to point B with a certain probability of crossing point C can be calculated by multiplying the probabilities of going from A to C and from C to B. The question asked is about the integral or differential formulation of this law, given that all probability distributions are known. An example of this formula is shown in a paper titled "A Tutorial on Particle Filters for On-line Non-linear/Non-Gaussian Bayesian Tracking (2001)".
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eljose
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Hello..where i could find information about the Chapmann-Kolmogorov formula for continuous probability..i have hear something when taking a course of QM...something about this...if you want to go from A point to B point with a certain probability crossing a point C then:

[tex] P(A,B)=P(A,C)P(B,C) [/tex]

My question is what is the Integral or differential formulation of this law?..considering we know all the probability distributions..thanks.
 
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the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation
[tex]p(\mathbf{x}_{k}|\mathbf{z}_{1:k-1})= \int
p(\mathbf{x}_{k}|\mathbf{x}_{k-1})p(\mathbf{x}_{k-1}|\mathbf{z}_{1:k-1})d\mathbf{x}_{k-1}[/tex]as an example, from "A Tutorial on Particle Filters for On-line Non-linear/Non-Gaussian Bayesian Tracking (2001)"
 
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Hello! The Chapman-Kolmogorov formula is a fundamental concept in the field of probability theory. It is used to describe the probability of a system transitioning from one state to another over a certain period of time. This formula is widely used in various fields, including quantum mechanics, as you mentioned.

To answer your question, the integral or differential formulation of this law can be expressed as follows:

Let X(t) be a continuous-time Markov process with state space S and transition probability function P(t, x, A). Then, for any t1 < t2 < ... < tn and any states x1, x2, ... , xn in S, the probability of the process transitioning from state x1 at time t1 to state xn at time tn can be calculated using the following integral:

P(x1, t1; xn, tn) = ∫ P(tn, xn, ds) ∫ P(sn, xn, dxn) ... ∫ P(t2, x2, dx2) P(t1, x1, dx1)

Where the integrals are taken over all possible values of the intermediate states sn, sn-1, ... , s1.

In simpler terms, this integral formulation represents the sum of all possible paths that the process can take from state x1 at time t1 to state xn at time tn, weighted by the transition probabilities at each step along the way.

I hope this helps clarify the integral formulation of the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula for continuous probability. For more information, I suggest consulting a textbook on probability theory or searching for resources online. Best of luck in your studies!
 

FAQ: What Is the Integral Formulation of the Chapman-Kolmogorov Formula?

What is the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula?

The Chapman-Kolmogorov formula is a mathematical formula used in probability theory to calculate the probability of being in a certain state after a certain number of steps or time intervals in a Markov process. It is also known as the law of total probability.

How is the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula derived?

The Chapman-Kolmogorov formula is derived from the Markov property, which states that the future state of a system only depends on its current state and not on its past states. By using this property and applying the law of conditional probability, the formula can be derived.

What are the assumptions made in the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula?

The Chapman-Kolmogorov formula assumes that the Markov process is time-homogeneous, meaning that the transition probabilities between states do not change over time. It also assumes that the process has a finite number of states and that the probabilities are always positive.

Can the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula be applied to any type of Markov process?

Yes, the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula can be applied to any type of Markov process, whether it is discrete or continuous, finite or infinite. However, the specific form of the formula may vary depending on the type of process.

How is the Chapman-Kolmogorov formula used in real-world applications?

The Chapman-Kolmogorov formula is used in various fields such as physics, economics, and engineering to model and analyze real-world processes that exhibit Markovian behavior. It can be used to predict the future state of a system, estimate transition probabilities, and evaluate the long-term behavior of a process.

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