What is the probability of an odd number of heads when tossing $n$ biased coins?

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  • Thread starter Ackbach
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    2017
In summary, "odd number of heads" refers to the total number of heads that appear when tossing a set of $n$ coins, where that number is an odd number. The formula for calculating the probability of an odd number of heads when tossing $n$ biased coins is affected by the bias of the coins. Increasing the number of coins tossed or increasing the bias can increase the probability of getting an odd number of heads. However, as the number of coins tossed increases, the probability of getting an odd number of heads decreases.
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Ackbach
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Here is this week's POTW:

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You have coins $C_1,C_2,\ldots,C_n$. For each $k$, $C_k$ is biased so that, when tossed, it has probability $\displaystyle \frac{1}{2k+1}$ of falling heads. If the $n$ coins are tossed, what is the probability that the number of heads is odd? Express the answer as a rational function of $n$.

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Remember to read the http://www.mathhelpboards.com/showthread.php?772-Problem-of-the-Week-%28POTW%29-Procedure-and-Guidelines to find out how to http://www.mathhelpboards.com/forms.php?do=form&fid=2!
 
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Re: Problem Of The Week # 272 - Jul 18, 2017

This was Problem A-2 in the 2001 William Lowell Putnam Mathematical Competition.

No one answered this week's POTW. The solution, attributed to Kiran Kedlaya and his associates, follows:

Let $P_n$ denote the desired probability. Then $P_1=1/3$, and, for $n>1$,
\begin{align*}
P_n &= \left(\frac{2n}{2n+1}\right) P_{n-1}
+\left(\frac{1}{2n+1}\right) (1-P_{n-1}) \\
&= \left(\frac{2n-1}{2n+1}\right)P_{n-1} + \frac{1}{2n+1}.
\end{align*}
The recurrence yields $P_2=2/5$, $P_3=3/7$, and by a simple induction, one then checks that for general $n$ one has $P_n=n/(2n+1)$.
 

FAQ: What is the probability of an odd number of heads when tossing $n$ biased coins?

1) What does "odd number of heads" mean in this context?

In this context, "odd number of heads" refers to the total number of heads that appear when tossing a set of $n$ coins, where that number is an odd number. For example, if we toss 5 coins and get 3 heads and 2 tails, the "odd number of heads" in this case would be 3.

2) What is the formula for calculating the probability of an odd number of heads?

The formula for calculating the probability of an odd number of heads when tossing $n$ biased coins is: P(odd) = (n choose 1)p(1-p)^{n-1} + (n choose 3)p^3(1-p)^{n-3} + (n choose 5)p^5(1-p)^{n-5} + ... + (n choose n)p^n(1-p)^0

3) How does the bias of the coins affect the probability of an odd number of heads?

The bias of the coins will affect the probability of an odd number of heads by changing the value of p in the formula. A biased coin will have a higher or lower probability of landing on heads compared to a fair coin, which will result in a different probability of getting an odd number of heads.

4) Is there a way to increase the probability of getting an odd number of heads?

Yes, there are a few ways to increase the probability of getting an odd number of heads when tossing $n$ biased coins. One way is to increase the number of coins tossed, as this increases the number of possible combinations that can result in an odd number of heads. Another way is to increase the bias of the coins, making it more likely for the coins to land on heads.

5) How does the number of coins tossed affect the probability of an odd number of heads?

The number of coins tossed directly affects the probability of getting an odd number of heads. As the number of coins increases, the probability will decrease. This is because the more coins there are, the more combinations there are that can result in an even number of heads, making it less likely to get an odd number of heads.

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