MHB What was the probability of the Roosters winning their last game at home?

  • Thread starter Thread starter Bushy
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
AI Thread Summary
The Roosters have an 80% win rate at home and a 40% win rate away, with 55% of their games played at home this season. The overall probability of winning a game is calculated to be 62%. To determine the probability that their last win was at home, the conditional probability formula is applied. The intersection of winning at home and the total winning probability confirms the calculation. Thus, the probability that the Roosters' last win was at home is established through these statistical methods.
Bushy
Messages
40
Reaction score
0
The Roosters know that they will win 80% of their home matches and 40% of their away matches. This season’s fixture has the Roosters playing 55% of their games at home. Given that the Roosters won their last game, what was the probability that it was played at home? To find the probability of winning = 0.8x.55+0.4x0.45 = 0.62

To find if it was played at home 'given' a win then = the intersection of the two / 0.62
 
Mathematics news on Phys.org
Yes it is correct.
In this case, the conditional probability can be equated as:
$$\frac{P(winning-at-home)}{P(winning)}$$.
 
Seemingly by some mathematical coincidence, a hexagon of sides 2,2,7,7, 11, and 11 can be inscribed in a circle of radius 7. The other day I saw a math problem on line, which they said came from a Polish Olympiad, where you compute the length x of the 3rd side which is the same as the radius, so that the sides of length 2,x, and 11 are inscribed on the arc of a semi-circle. The law of cosines applied twice gives the answer for x of exactly 7, but the arithmetic is so complex that the...
Is it possible to arrange six pencils such that each one touches the other five? If so, how? This is an adaption of a Martin Gardner puzzle only I changed it from cigarettes to pencils and left out the clues because PF folks don’t need clues. From the book “My Best Mathematical and Logic Puzzles”. Dover, 1994.
Back
Top