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The upcoming US presidential election will probably be one of the most bitterly fought-over and polarizing elections in recent US history. This year, there seems to be a lot more young people (as well as more people in general) getting involved. This young voter irregularity is probably screwing up current national and state-by-state polling, as the good people at www.electoral-vote.com have pointed out. (Because many young people don’t get polled or polled incorrectly in phone polling for reasons like: cell phones are often not called, college students living away etc.)
Anyway, this year’s voter turnout will likely be much higher than in recent previous elections.
Here’s a quick national tally of the last eleven presidential election’s voter turnout of the voting age population (not just registered voters!):
2000 - 51.3%
1996 - 49.08%
1992 - 55.23%
1988 - 50.15%
1984 - 53.11%
1980 - 52.56%
1976 - 53.55%
1972 - 55.21%
1968 - 60.84%
1964 - 61.92%
1960 - 62.77%
( Source: http://www.fec.gov/elections.html )
So what do you think this year’s voter turnout will be? *Public Poll
I’m going to guess a little less than 60%, so between 57.5% and 60%. While I do believe there will be a sharp increase in the voter turnout, there are probably still a lot of people who don’t trust either candidate and will abstain from voting.
Anyway, this year’s voter turnout will likely be much higher than in recent previous elections.
Here’s a quick national tally of the last eleven presidential election’s voter turnout of the voting age population (not just registered voters!):
2000 - 51.3%
1996 - 49.08%
1992 - 55.23%
1988 - 50.15%
1984 - 53.11%
1980 - 52.56%
1976 - 53.55%
1972 - 55.21%
1968 - 60.84%
1964 - 61.92%
1960 - 62.77%
( Source: http://www.fec.gov/elections.html )
So what do you think this year’s voter turnout will be? *Public Poll
I’m going to guess a little less than 60%, so between 57.5% and 60%. While I do believe there will be a sharp increase in the voter turnout, there are probably still a lot of people who don’t trust either candidate and will abstain from voting.
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