Win, draw, and loss probabilities are calculated using a formula that takes into account the difference in Elo ratings between two players. The formula uses a logistic function to determine the expected score for each player, and then calculates the probability of a win, draw, or loss based on those expected scores.
While Elo ratings can provide a helpful estimate of win, draw, and loss probabilities, they are not a guarantee of the actual outcome of a game. Other factors such as player performance on the day of the game and external factors like weather conditions can also influence the outcome.
A player's Elo rating is the primary factor used in calculating win, draw, and loss probabilities. The higher a player's Elo rating, the greater their chances of winning a game. However, a lower rated player may still win against a higher rated player depending on other factors.
Yes, Elo ratings can be used for a variety of sports and games, including tennis, soccer, and video games. However, the formula used to calculate probabilities may need to be adjusted based on the specific rules and scoring systems of each sport.
The exact amount that an Elo rating changes after a game depends on the difference in ratings between the two players and the outcome of the game. Generally, the winning player's rating will increase while the losing player's rating will decrease. The amount of change is also influenced by the player's previous ratings and the number of games they have played.