Probability Definition and 1000 Threads

  1. V

    Finding the probability of making a measurement E1

    Summary:: How to solve this? See attached. This is from Griffiths 3rd edition quantum mechanics textbook, problem 2.7: This is the solution for an infinite square well. I am to find the probability of obtaining E1 where En = n^2pi^2hbar^2/2ma^2. E1 = hbar^2pi^2/2ma^2 When finding the...
  2. U

    I Conditional distribution of geometric series

    Can someone help me on this question? I'm finding a very strange probability distribution. Question: Suppose that x_1 and x_2 are independent with x_1 ~ geometric(p) and x_2 ~ geometric (1-p). That's x_1 has geometric distribution with parameter p and x_2 has geometric distribution with...
  3. S

    Probability of a state given the partition function

    If my partition function is for a continuous distribution of energy, can I simply say that the probability of my ensemble being in a state with energy ##cU## is ##e^{-\beta cU} /Z##? I believe that isn't right as my energy distribution is continuous, and I need to be integrating over small...
  4. D

    Probability that X1=0 given that N=1

    Given ##X_1,X_2,X_3## three independent random variables that can assume values 1 ,0 ,-1 with probabilities ##\frac 1 4 ,\frac 1 2 ,\frac 1 4 ##. Let ##S=X_1,X_2,X_3## and let N be the number of##X_i## assuming value ##0##. Knowing that N=1 i have to find what os the probability of ##X_1=0##...
  5. D

    What is the probability that Ugo and Zoe will not meet at the party?

    So first i compute the number of manners i can choose a sett of 3 ppl among 6 ##\frac {something}{\binom {6}{3}}## but then i don't understand from where should i pick up the two friends, from the set of those going to the party or what? Sorry but have problems on understanding how to deal...
  6. D

    Calculating Probability: \binom{8}{2} \binom{6}{2} \binom{4}{2}\binom{2}{2}

    My reasoning is : first i evaluate in how many manners i can choose 2 guys from the group of 8. ##\binom{8}{2} \binom{6}{2} \binom{4}{2}\binom{2}{2}## then i consider the probability of choosing the seventh floor is 1/4. But now I don't now how to proceed, supposing up to here i am correct...
  7. AN630078

    Probability Questions: Union, Intersection and Combinations

    Question 1: a) T' is the complementary event of T Therefore, T'=1-T In set T = {3,6,9,12} P(T)=4/12 =1/3 P(T')=1-1/3=2/3 b) The addition rule states; P(A ∪ B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A⋂B) Therefore, P(S ∪ E) = P(S)+P(E)-P(S⋂E) S={1,4,9} P(S)=3/12=1/4 E={2,4,6,8,10,12} P(E)=6/12=1/2 (S⋂E)={4} P(S⋂E)=1/12...
  8. DarkMattrHole

    B How does the electric field of an electron compare to its probability wave?

    A single electron sitting in a void has an electric field that spreads out evenly in all directions as far as there is open empty space to allow it, is this roughly a correct statement? Let's say we now introduce a singe proton into the void, 100 miles from the electron - it will also have an...
  9. T

    I How do you calculate the probability without using the complement?

    Let's say I'd like to calculate the probability of getting at least one 4 when rolling two dice. That's 1 minus the probability of not getting any 4, i.e 1 minus the complement, 1-(5/6)^2. But how would I calculate without using the complement?
  10. Addez123

    15 people flip coins, find the probability distribution

    Say I make it so that the 2 coin flips count as a single number 1,2,3,4 representing head-head, head-tails, tails-head, tails-tails. Then what do I do? I'm just lost as to how I would even approach this problem.
  11. jisbon

    Conditional Probability + Poisson Distribution

    Confused and not sure if it is correct, but please do correct my steps. We let event B be that there are at least 3 customers entering in 5 minutes. Hence P(B) = 1- P(X=0)- P(X=1) - P(X=2) = ##1- \dfrac{e^{-5}5^{0}}{0!}-\dfrac{e^{-5}5^{1}}{1!}-\dfrac{e^{-5}5^{2}}{2!} ## = 0.8753... Now we let...
  12. O

    I Proving the product rule using probability

    I thought this was kind of a cool proof of the product rule. Let ##F(x)## and ##G(x)## be cumulative distribution functions for independent random variables ##A## and ##B## respectively with probability density functions ##f(x)=F'(x)##, ##g(x)=G'(x)##. Consider the random variable...
  13. Addez123

    Probability that the weight of the carts exceeds 255 tons

    Summary:: When filling up carts with iron the real weight deviates from the nominal value 10 ton. The standard deviation is .5. What's the probability that 25 carts exceed 255 ton? The arithmetic median value is: $$X \in N(25 * 10, 0.5 / \sqrt{25}) = N(250, .1)$$ $$P(x > 255) = 1 - P(x < 255)...
  14. tanaygupta2000

    Position and Momentum probability for +x direction

    For the region where V = 0, solving the schrodinger equation leads to the above value of wave function, psi = sqrt(2/L) sin(pi x/L) Since in the qus. it is not stated about the 'direction of movement' only restricted to +x direction, I think that the probability will be 1/2. And finding the...
  15. B

    A The meaningfulness item on math probability

    Hello, In probability math,because of math's nature that is merely quantitative and not a qualitative, for any case,it give you just a number; so, I think for every cases, there should be a boundary probability number that is " meaningfulness " just for that specified case and out of that...
  16. archaic

    Prob/Stats Introductory textbook for Probability and Statistics

    Hello! I'll be taking a probability and statistics course this semester. Does anyone know of any good textbook? I have access to an extensive catalogue of books on springer, so it would be extremely preferable for me if you could recommend something from there. Thanks.
  17. nomadreid

    I Probability of neutrino switching: more massive, more probable?

    In Scientific American, July 2020, the article "The Darkest Particle" by Louis and Van de Water, page 46, discussing the hypothetical sterile neutrino, there is the sentence: "Because sterile neutrinos are likely to be more massive than the regular flavors, however, particles could make the...
  18. J

    Question about an Eqn. in Shankar - wave function probability

    I don't see why it is not ##P(\omega)\propto |\langle \psi | \mathbb{P}_{\omega}|\psi\rangle |^2.## After all, the wavefunction ends up collapsing from ##|\psi\rangle## to ##\mathbb{P}_{\omega}|\psi\rangle.##
  19. entropy1

    I Compatibility of MWI with probability of outcomes

    Can MWI account for the probabilities of outcomes? If MWI says all outcomes are realized, is the probability that an outcome occurs then not 100%? How is this explained with the entanglement of the measured object and the measurement apparatus?
  20. marialovesphysics

    Data Management - Probability of Cards

    Here is my work so far: 52-13=39 There are 39 decks of cards left since the spades were removed. a) Then there 13 hearts therefore, (13/39 ) * (13/39 ) that would be two hearts but I am not sure what to do next. But I am sure that it would be 39 cards and 13 hearts on top (maybe) cus it is...
  21. Philip Koeck

    A Do bosons contradict basic probability laws?

    This questions was brought to my attention by Kazu Okayasu. According to probability theory the probabilities of mutually exclusive events add upp. As an example we can distribute 2 balls in two boxes with two compartments each. So there's a box on the left with a lower and an upper compartment...
  22. A

    A How to transform a probability density function?

    I have the following probability density function (in Maple notation): f (x) = (1 / ((3/2) * Pi)) * (sin (x)) ** 2 with support [0; 3 * Pi] Now I want to transform x so that 0 -> (3/2) * Pi and 3 * Pi -> (15/2) * Pi and the new function is still a probability density function. How should I...
  23. Frigus

    Is molarity the same as probability?

    In the keq derivation intuition video mr sal Khan relates molarity to probability and it doesn't makes sense to me as molarity can also be more than 1 and probability cannot. Can you please tell me how he relates probability to molarity. Thanks
  24. A

    A How to change the support of a probability density function?

    Given the support [a, b] of a probability density function. How can I change the formula for the probability density function with a support [u, v]? Example: Given the beta distribution with support [a=0,b=1]: $$\frac{x^{p-1} (1-x)^{q-1}}{Beta(p,q)}$$ Then the beta distribution with support...
  25. J

    MHB Probability: Find the number of ways to form 4-digit numbers >3000

    Please help me solve this, Given digits 2,2,3,3,3,4,4,4,4, how many distinct 4 digit numbers greater than 3000 can be formed? Thank you
  26. B

    B Black and white marbles probability question

    Two-marble probabilities BB 1/4 BW 1/2 WW 1/4 Three-marble probabilities of selecting a black B BB 1 B BW 2/3 B WW 1/3 Probability of selecting a black marble if we add a black marble to the two marble bag (1 x 1/4) + (2/3 x 1/2) + (1/3 x 1/4) = 2/3 Three marbles with 2/3 probability of...
  27. A

    I Probability of finding a particle in a 1-D box max. at centre?

    From the probability density plot why it is max at the centre of the box...e.g probability to find the particle per unit le gth is max. at the centre of the box??why not at any other position??
  28. N

    B Probability in a dice game

    We're playing a game with regular, fair, six-sided dice, and we're throwing 14 of them. The "1" is a "joker", which means it can count as any other number. So, for example, if we roll three "1"s and four "2"s, we have seven "2"s. What is that probability that we get exactly seven of any face...
  29. Addez123

    Probability of all runners finishing within 100 minutes

    The chance of everyone finishing should be $$Fx(100)^8 = (100 * 125/450 - 100^2/900)^8 = (50/3)^8$$ What am I doing wrong?
  30. H

    MHB What is the probability that at least 5 was shown for 5 or more times?

    A dice was thrown for 6 times.What is the probability that at least 5 was shown for 5 or more times?
  31. Leo Liu

    Understanding Probability Density Functions and Their Properties

    My questions are as follows: 1. How do we find them and why do we need them? 2. What are the meanings of the mean and the median of a PDF? Are the formulae below correct? $$\int_{a}^{median} f(x) \mathrm{d}x = \int_{median}^{b} f(x) \mathrm{d}x$$ $$\int_{a}^{mean} f(x) \cdot x \mathrm{d}x =...
  32. scottdave

    Probability of a 4 character code without repetition

    The lessons show using Permutations and Combinations for other problems in this section, but we were having difficulty what to choose to put in those formulas. I used this approach: We have 10 numeric and 6 alphabetic = 16 total possible. Let's look at the first digit numeric, and the next 3...
  33. I

    MHB Probability distribution: Estimate the size of the fox population

    In a park , 200 foxes are tagged. In 100 sighting, 14 were tagged. Estimate the size of the fox population ? This is how approached . 200 tagged : Population 14 tagged : 100 (200x100/14)= Estimated Population = 1,429 I wonder if this is right !
  34. I

    MHB Expected Value of Cup of Coffee in Flip a Lid Contest

    In its flip a lid contest, a coffee chain offers prizes of 50,000 free coffees, each worth \$1.50; two new TVs, each worth \$1200; a snowmobile worth \$15 000; and sports car worth \$35 000. A total of 1 000 000 promotional coffee cups have been printed for contest. Coffee sells for \$1.50 per...
  35. karush

    MHB -find probability it will rain both days

    ok I still don't know where the (0.2) comes from
  36. Addez123

    Probability of receiving a binary one

    $$P(A|B) = P(A \cap B) / P(A)$$ $$P(A) = \text{Chance of 1 being received} = .4 * .98 + .6 * .01 = .398$$ $$P(A \cap B) = \text{Chance 1 being sent and 1 being received} = .4 * .98 = .392$$ $$P(A|B) = P(A \cap B) / P(A) = .392 / .398 = .985$$ The correct answer is 147/148 ~= .9932 What am I...
  37. Entertainment Unit

    B The Probability that N and E bridge hands have the same number of spades?

    My answer is as follows: Let ##S## be the set of all outcomes of dealing four labelled 13-card hands from a standard 52-card deck. Let ##A## be event "N and E have exactly the same number of spades." Let ##A_i## be event "N and E have exactly ##i## spades each." Note that when ##i > 6##...
  38. Addez123

    Conditional probability of dying from eating a poison fruit

    Summary:: There's 11 fruits, 3 of which is poisionous. A guy eats 4 of them, a girl eats 6 and a dog gets the last one. What is the conditional probability of both the girl and guy dying IF the dog made it? One fruit is enough to kill you. $$P(dog lives) = 8/11$$ $$P(allPeopleDie | dog...
  39. T

    I Probability current density of a stationary state

    I have written a finite difference program to solve 1D time-independent Schrodinger equation. It seems to work correctly for harmonic oscillator, particle in a box, etc. But I can't figure out how to calculate the probability current density. It should be constant, but what is it? The program...
  40. Addez123

    B Probability of drawing 5 spades, 3 hearts....

    The odds are $$\frac {13C5 \times 2 \times 13C3 \times 13C2} {52C13}$$ This is correct according to my book. The follow up question then becomes, what if you can pick 5 of any suit, 3 of any other suit, another 3 from the remaining 2 suits and 2 from the last untouched suit? The solution...
  41. michaelwright

    B Can You Calculate the Odds of These Unlikely Events?

    Hi folks - I need some help with a tricky probability. Here's the situation: Let's say there are 4M internet users in Age Group A. (The total set) Of those 4M, there are 1,000 users who play a specific sport. Those 1,000 are spread evenly over 125 teams, so 8 players each. 1. What's the...
  42. C

    MHB What is the probability that exactly 8 of them are over the age of 65

    2) The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality reported that 53% of people who had coronary bypass surgery in 2008 were over the age of 65. Fifteen coronary bypass patients are sampled. a) What is the probability that exactly 8 of them are over the age of 65? b) P (less than 10 are over...
  43. C

    MHB Find the probability of 1 tire with low air pressure P (1)

    1) Let X represent the number of tires with low air pressure on a randomly chosen car. The probability of distribution of X is as follows: X 0 1 2 3 4 P(X) 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0,1 a) Find the probability...
  44. E

    B Mapping between rules of classical vs QM probability?

    Apologies in advance for my ignorance, I don't really have a reference to consult and Google hasn't been too helpful! In standard probability theory there are a few common useful formulae, e.g. for two events ##S## and ##T## $$P(S\cup T) = P(S) + P(T) - P(S\cap T)$$ $$P(S \cap T) = P(S) \times...
  45. Physics lover

    Tricky problem from Probability

    I decided to take cases.For example-:A gets one 1 duck and B gets 2,3,4,...,51.So i can write this as 50C1(1/2)5051C2(1/2)51+50C1(1/2)5051C3(1/2)51+... But i was unable to solve it further. please help.
  46. coolfish21

    B Probability IB Math HL: Is it a difficult question to solve?

    A person picks 8 cards without replacement from a bag containing cards numbered from 1 to 6 (117 in total). What is the probability that the sum of those 8 cards is 28? Given that P(1)=8/117, P(2)=14/117, P(3)=34/117, P(4)=39/117. P(5)=14/117 and P(6)=8/117.
  47. domingoleung

    B Poisson Distribution - Selecting cookies that are indistinguishable

    Here's the problem: A chef made 500 cookies randomly mixed with 1000 nuts including 600 almonds and 400 hazelnuts in which each nut is the same size. Suppose the number of pieces of nuts in a piece of cookie follows a Poisson distribution. (a) Suppose cookies are randomly selected one-by-one...
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