Differential Equations (Forestry)

In summary, the value of a tract of timber can be represented by the function V(t)=100,000 e^{0.8\sqrt{t} }, where t is the time in years with t=0 corresponding to 1998. If money earns interest continuously at 10%, the present value of the timber at any time t is A(t)= V(t)e^{-.10 t}. To maximize the present value function, the year in which the timber should be harvested is 2014. This can be determined by finding the critical point of A(t) and using the second derivative test to confirm that it is a relative maximum.
  • #1
knowLittle
312
3

Homework Statement


The value of a tract of timber is

## V(t)=100,000 e^{0.8\sqrt{t} }
##

where t is the time in years, with t=0 corresponding to 1998.
If money earns interests continuously at 10%, the present value of the timber at any time t is ## A(t)= V(t)e^{-.10 t} ##
Find the year in which the timber should be harvested to maximize the present value function.

The Attempt at a Solution


When V(0)= 100,000 is the value of timber in 1998.

## A(t)= 100,000 e^{0.8\sqrt{t} }\ e^{-.10 t} ## I assume that to maximize this function I need to make the exponential positive rather than negative.
But, I don't know hot to proceed from here.
 
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  • #2
For what values of t is the exponential negative?

If the function to be maximized did not have an exponential term, how would you go about maximizing it?
 
  • #3
SteamKing said:
For what values of t is the exponential negative?

I wanted to find a value of t such that by addition with 0.8 SQRT(t) would give me a positive exponent.

SteamKing said:
If the function to be maximized did not have an exponential term, how would you go about maximizing it?

If the function did not have an exponential term, I would try to find a value of T that multiplied by the constant 100,000 would be the greatest value for A.
 
  • #4
@knowLittle Do you know how to find the maximum/minimum of a function using calculus?
 
  • #5
I know that I can get the relative extrema through differentiation, but I am having lots of problems to get the derivative of this A(t) function.

##\frac{d}{dt} (100,000e^{0.8 \sqrt{t} -.10 t}) =0##

I get :
##0.01t^{1/2} + 0.32 \frac{\sqrt{t}}{t}- 0.12 =0 ##

and I don't know how to solve for t.
 
  • #6
knowLittle said:
I know that I can get the relative extrema through differentiation, but I am having lots of problems to get the derivative of this A(t) function.

##\frac{d}{dt} (100,000e^{0.8 \sqrt{t} -.10 t}) =0##

I get :
##0.01t^{1/2} + 0.32 \frac{\sqrt{t}}{t}- 0.12 =0 ##

and I don't know how to solve for t.

I don't get that. Please show your steps taking the derivative.
 
  • #7
0= 100,000 u e^u du. 100,000 cancels and u*du is multiplied.

##u={0.8 \sqrt{t} -.10 t}## and ##du= 0.4 t^{-1/2}- 0.10##
##0= [(0.4* 0.8)- 0.10 *0.8 \sqrt{t} - 0.10(0.4) \sqrt{t}+ (0.10^2) t ] e^u##

##0.12 \sqrt{t}- 0.01 t - 0.32=0 ##
 
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  • #8
knowLittle said:
0= 100,000 u e^u du. 100,000 cancels and u*du is multiplied.

##u={0.8 \sqrt{t} -.10 t}## and ##du= 0.4 t^{-1/2}- 0.10##
That is ##\frac {du}{dt} =0.4 t^{-1/2}- 0.10##

##0= [(0.4* 0.8)- 0.10 *0.8 \sqrt{t} - 0.10(0.4) \sqrt{t}+ (0.10^2) t ] e^u##

##0.12 \sqrt{t}- 0.01 t - 0.32=0 ##

I have no idea where you got those last two lines. The derivative of ##100000e^u## is ##100000e^u\frac {du}{dt}= 100000e^{0.8 \sqrt{t} -.10 t}(0.4 t^{-1/2}- 0.10)##. That will be 0 only if the last factor is 0.
 
  • #9
You are right.

## e^u 0.4 t^{-1/2} = e^u 0.10 ##

##t=16 ##
So, the only critical point is at t=16.

So, can I say that the function A(t) reaches maximum profit at year 1998 +16= 2014
 
  • #10
Is my answer correct?

Thank you for all your help so far. Specially, thanks to Kurtz.
 
  • #11
knowLittle said:
You are right.

## e^u 0.4 t^{-1/2} = e^u 0.10 ##

##t=16 ##
So, the only critical point is at t=16.

So, can I say that the function A(t) reaches maximum profit at year 1998 +16= 2014

knowLittle said:
Is my answer correct?

Thank you for all your help so far. Specially, thanks to Kurtz.

##t=16## is correct. But if this is a problem you are going to hand in you should be sure to check that that value of ##t## gives a maximum of the function and not accidentally a minimum. Critical points can be either one or even a saddle point.
 
  • #12
This problem is for personal leisure. But, yes; I am aware of the possibility in that critical point.
I have a problem in finding other test values, though.

I know that I have intervals <-00, 16> and <16, 00+>
If I assume that t>0, then, I only have <0,16>, <16, 00+>

For A(16) = 100 000 * e^( (0.8 * 4) - (.10* 16) ) = 495303.2424
Also, my second derivative test of A at the critical point is negative. So, the function is concave at t=16. Then, my relative maximum is at t=16 or year 2014.
 

FAQ: Differential Equations (Forestry)

What is a differential equation in forestry?

A differential equation in forestry is a mathematical equation that describes the relationship between the rate of change of a forest variable (such as tree growth, mortality, or density) and the factors that affect it, such as environmental conditions or management practices.

Why are differential equations important in forestry?

Differential equations are important in forestry because they allow us to model and predict changes in forest variables over time. This can help us make informed decisions about forest management, such as when to harvest trees or how to control pests.

What are some common examples of differential equations used in forestry?

Some common examples of differential equations used in forestry include the logistic growth equation, which models the growth of a forest population over time, and the Lotka-Volterra equations, which model predator-prey dynamics in a forest ecosystem.

How are differential equations solved in forestry?

There are a variety of methods for solving differential equations in forestry, including analytical methods, numerical methods, and simulation models. The choice of method depends on the complexity of the equation and the specific research question being addressed.

What are the benefits of using differential equations in forestry research?

Using differential equations in forestry research allows us to make accurate predictions about the behavior of forest variables, which can inform management decisions and help us better understand the dynamics of forest ecosystems. They also allow us to test different scenarios and evaluate the potential outcomes of different management strategies.

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