How Do Extraterrestrials Know We Exist?

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In summary: So we could be the first intelligent life forms in the universe, for all we know.In summary, the likelihood of advanced alien societies finding us is low, as we are limited by the speed of light and our radio signals have only traveled a maximum of 15 light years since we started using them. Even with advanced technology, it would take a considerable amount of time for any potential alien civilizations to reach us. Additionally, the probability of intelligent life evolving elsewhere in the universe is uncertain and their existence may not have been able to reach us yet due to the vast distances of space.
  • #36


First of all,we,human beings were a chance and result of a non-linear events which has happened from the birth of universe! It doesn't mean that other planets capable of holding life can march in the same direction.I mean the events might have been different. The base for life may not be amino acids,DNA or genes.There may not be an evolution in the same way as earth. ET,if they are,may have lived upon non-oxygen(gases apart from oxygen) and may not drink water or depend upon light.They might depend on some other yet-to-be-discovered gas and may have some other basic of life.
ok,So there might not be telescope,or space travel or even those ExtraTerrestrials may not even look up at the sky! if so,then why we waste time in sending radio waves and messages to the rest of universe??
If by chance,they have evolved in the same manner as we were,then it is not compulsory that they have same theories and same means of approaching the outer space! and if they have carried out evolution in science as same as we had,then it is possible that they will respond to our radio waves and come and frighten us!

but the probability (of human like evolution-similar to what happened as of now in earth)as of now is 1 in N,where N is the increasing age of universe!and 1 is us!

I don't know why we look for oxygen and water when ETs might have thrived upon some other gases! even before oxygen catastrophe in earth,organosms were anaerobic!

This is my own ideas,may not be correct!
 
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  • #37


Kalibr said:
Of course, they'll have to repeat the pulse at some sort of rate in case a civ happened to miss the first. Of course, if they'd had made the pulse cycle once every 3.14 years that'd really hammer the point across, in case the observers think it's a natural event.

Yeah, just as long as their year is as long as ours. 99,139,006 seconds might not be as special as you'd like to think.

Edit: Maybe send signals spaced by (half-life of tritium) / pi and (half-life of tritium) / e, alternatingly?
 
  • #38


veattaivatsan said:
The base for life may not be amino acids,DNA or genes.

Seems very likely to me. I'd be shocked if a molecule as complicated as DNA was independently derived on another planet. (Amino acids, not so surprising.)

veattaivatsan said:
There may not be an evolution in the same way as earth.

Why not?

veattaivatsan said:
ET,if they are,may have lived upon non-oxygen(gases apart from oxygen) and may not drink water or depend upon light.

Sure. But we'd expect any developed organisms to be based on small atoms, since larger atoms generally take more generations of stars to form. So methane-breathers, sure; xeon-breathers, probably not.

But life needs low entropy, and by thermodynamics this means they'll need energy. Light seems to be the easiest way to get it, directly or indirectly. While others are possible I see it as less likely as a basis for intelligent life ( = high energy requirements).

veattaivatsan said:
They might depend on some other yet-to-be-discovered gas and may have some other basic of life.

Probably not, since I expect we've discovered all reasonably stable low atomic weight atoms and their easily-formed compounds.

veattaivatsan said:
I don't know why we look for oxygen and water when ETs might have thrived upon some other gases! even before oxygen catastrophe in earth,organosms were anaerobic!

I'm not quite sure either. Life on Earth is pretty tied to water since we're close to its triple point and it's abundant, but surely there are other compounds that could fulfill that role.
 
  • #39


CRGreathouse said:
Yeah, just as long as their year is as long as ours. 99,139,006 seconds might not be as special as you'd like to think.

Edit: Maybe send signals spaced by (half-life of tritium) / pi and (half-life of tritium) / e, alternatingly?

You have the right idea, wrong approach -- half life of tritium must be measured in some arbitrary units.

The only numbers that would remain constant for interpretation would be ratios. ie, send out a binary pulse signal where the ratio of the duration of the pulse to the duration of the silence was equal to a number.
 
  • #40


CRGreathouse said:
I'm not quite sure either. Life on Earth is pretty tied to water since we're close to its triple point and it's abundant, but surely there are other compounds that could fulfill that role.
Water is unique in many important ways that are very useful to any type of life. I can't even begin to list more than a few.
- it's quite abundant in the universe
- it's one of the simplest molecules (and so very abundant) made out of two abundant elements.
- It is nearly a universal solvent (making it an excellent "mixing bowl" of useful chemicals).
- It is easily ionizable into acid and alkali.
- It is small enough to behave atomically as well as molecularly (combine this with above elements, and you get a substance that get inisde a cell membrane and do a lot of interesting things to molecules it finds in there).
- It's solid phase floats, which means it freezes top-down instead of bottom-up (which means life and survive seasonal changes, which greatly expands life's range).

The list just goes on-and-on.

Same thing can be done for carbon-based molecules. There just aren't any substitutes.

Carbon has the unique ability to spontaneously form long, complex chains in a huge array of configurations. It can form single-bonds, double bonds, positive bonds or negative bonds. Again, it's light and simple (only element #6).

Hydrogen, the most abundant element, likes to attach to carbon. The second most abundant element, helium, is useless, since its non-reactive. You can go down the periodoc table one by one, eliminating elements that do very little, and the results are virtually inescapable.

Think about the arrangment of the table and what that means to the formation of molecules. Usually, it's got to be a combination of something from the left (positive) and something from the right (negative). You can't have Lithium Hydride for example. NH3 (ammonia) is pretty much the very first valid combination.

So, while we have access to only one example of life, we have access to the same chemistry rules that the rest of the universe uses. The palette of 92-odd elements is the same everywhere in the universe. And of those 92, only the first dozen or so are useful and reactive enough to build any kind of complex molecules. And of those dozen or so, there are only a set number of ways they can combine.
 
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  • #41


Have you come across any good papers that do go through the chemistry tool kit this way, perhaps even a bayesian analysis?
 
  • #42


Our solar system is completely unremarkable, being a tiny grain of sand in a huge beach. The chances of a alien civilization discovering us is quite small.

However, you can eliminate the need for discovery if the "visitors" are time travelers. A future civilization may be peeking back filling in holes in the history books. As far as I know the energy requirements for time travel would be similar to that for near light speed interstellar trips. Only now the "visitors only have to hold on to the earth, they do not have to discover it.
 
  • #43


Integral said:
However, you can eliminate the need for discovery if the "visitors" are time travelers. A future civilization may be peeking back filling in holes in the history books. As far as I know the energy requirements for time travel would be similar to that for near light speed interstellar trips. Only now the "visitors only have to hold on to the earth, they do not have to discover it.
OK, now that's a bit speculative. Even for this thread.
 
  • #44


DaveC426913 said:
OK, now that's a bit speculative. Even for this thread.

Hey any talk of visitation by aliens is speculation, how is mine any more so. I have simply resolved the issue of discovery.
 
  • #45


Integral said:
Hey any talk of visitation by aliens is speculation, how is mine any more so. I have simply resolved the issue of discovery.

Because science suggests that the existence of alien life is highly probable, whereas time travel is a completely made up thing.
 
  • #46


junglebeast said:
Because science suggests that the existence of alien life is highly probable, whereas time travel is a completely made up thing.

There is NO evidence of alien life forms visiting earth, only speculation on the cause of some unexplained and unrepeatable observations. Any effort to explain without meaningful evidence is speculation.

Time travel is no less physical then interstellar travel.
 
  • #47


junglebeast said:
You have the right idea, wrong approach -- half life of tritium must be measured in some arbitrary units.

Huh? The half-life for tritium is a set amount of time -- about 3.88e8 seconds. This time could be recognized by other civilizations, even if they measure it as 2.62e6 flarbs.

Admittedly, they'd have to share our 'Pythagorean' tendency to measure things in whole-number ratios, but that seems to be a reasonable choice.
 
  • #48


Integral said:
There is NO evidence of alien life forms visiting earth, only speculation on the cause of some unexplained and unrepeatable observations. Any effort to explain without meaningful evidence is speculation.

Well, this thread is not really about "alien life forms that have visited Earth." It is simply a rational discussion about the means by which an alien life form might visit Earth, and the associated probability of such an event someday occurring (or having occurred).

Time travel is no less physical then interstellar travel.

Yes, it is. Time travel is a made up idea concocted by science fiction writers with no evidence of possibility, whereas acceleration of a mass through space (which is all that is required for interstellar travel) is provably possible and well understood as a direct result of Newtonian physics.
 
  • #49


junglebeast said:
Yes, it is. Time travel is a made up idea concocted by science fiction writers with no evidence of possibility, whereas acceleration of a mass through space (which is all that is required for interstellar travel) is provably possible and well understood as a direct result of Newtonian physics.

There is no evidence for alien life, just as there is no evidence for time travel. Both are completely speculative. I think that's what Integral was trying to say.

Interstellar travel OTOH, as you point out, is completely possible (whether it's feasible or not is a different matter, but that is entirely up to the proposed aliens' philosophy).
 
  • #50


DaveC426913 said:
Water is unique in many important ways that are very useful to any type of life.

Agreed.

DaveC426913 said:
Same thing can be done for carbon-based molecules. There just aren't any substitutes.

Agreed.

But suppose that a planet was formed with a different elemental makeup from Earth in its crust. (I will ignore, for the moment, the major issue of the interior composition.) Oxygen is too rare to allow oceans on the scale of Earth; carbon, hydrogen, calcium, silicon, and lithium are more prevalent. Life is based on carbon compounds, like on Earth, but with much smaller amounts of oxygen. Methane, calcium carbide, carbon tetrafluoride, calcium hydride, boron carbide, cyanogen, lithium fluoride, diborane, hydrogen cyanide, etc.

Plausible?
 
  • #51


CRGreathouse said:
But suppose that a planet was formed with a different elemental makeup from Earth in its crust. (I will ignore, for the moment, the major issue of the interior composition.) Oxygen is too rare to allow oceans on the scale of Earth; carbon, hydrogen, calcium, silicon, and lithium are more prevalent. Life is based on carbon compounds, like on Earth, but with much smaller amounts of oxygen. Methane, calcium carbide, carbon tetrafluoride, calcium hydride, boron carbide, cyanogen, lithium fluoride, diborane, hydrogen cyanide, etc.

Plausible?
Well, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_the_chemical_elements" , Oxygen is the third most abundant element in the universe. Once you eliminate Helium, you have H and O as the top 2.

But let's grant your supposition. How - without a liquid primordial soup in which to mix - would these chemicals you list combine in numbers required to form a process of life?
 
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  • #52


All our knowledge of galactic technological socities is based on a human perception and interpretation of them, there are no facts, only thoughts and opinions and if "they" exist, "they" will find us be sure
 
  • #53


DaveC426913 said:
So, while we have access to only one example of life, we have access to the same chemistry rules that the rest of the universe uses. The palette of 92-odd elements is the same everywhere in the universe. And of those 92, only the first dozen or so are useful and reactive enough to build any kind of complex molecules. And of those dozen or so, there are only a set number of ways they can combine.

Well sir, the 92 elements are the ones discovered as of now(and their abundance too)!We had not focussed or read the whole universe!there may be new element(nor an isotope of element in earth) somewhere in asteroid or planet. And these 92 elements were classified for our purpose.It doesn't mean that there are only 92 elements in this universe.moreover,these reactive elements are reactive in earth-like conditions. but there may be different condition(not yet achievable by human means) in other parts of universe where un-predictable(non-reactive) elements may react and constitute as building block of different type of life there. So ,we cannot say that this is the end of periodic table.After a century , more elements may be added that we cannot even predict! correct my statements If iam wrong!
 
  • #54


DaveC426913 said:
There is no evidence for alien life, just as there is no evidence for time travel. Both are completely speculative. I think that's what Integral was trying to say.

But there is evidence for alien life -- we know that life can evolve on a planet (eg, Earth) -- and we know that there are billions of other planets. This is very strong evidence that life also evolved on other planets. Traveling back in time, however, creates logical paradoxes and has no evidence at all.

Strong evidence and fairly well understood scientific process >> no evidence and logical contradiction.
 
  • #55


junglebeast said:
But there is evidence for alien life -- we know that life can evolve on a planet (eg, Earth) -- and we know that there are billions of other planets. This is very strong evidence that life also evolved on other planets. Traveling back in time, however, creates logical paradoxes and has no evidence at all.

Strong evidence and fairly well understood scientific process >> no evidence and logical contradiction.
We know that there are billions of other planets, but we don't know any planet that's exactly like earth. Even though you might think it's evident that there is alien life since the universe is big, other people may find it not evident. We haven't found any alien life as of now. So I wouldn't call the argument of it being likely evidence.
 
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  • #56


I'm not aware of any evidence as in the scientific method, I don't think the hypothesis (of incredibly many planets times incredibly tiny chance of live = some live) can be ticked off, mathematically, as evidence. It's just a hypothesis and I doubt it's even a scientific one, since it does not seem to be falsifiable.

Moreover, the probability of Earthlike planets may be orders of magnitudes smaller than estimated (Drake equation) if it requires a disproprotional large moon to stabilize it's spin axis and to avoid the chaotic zone.
 
  • #57


We have no scientific evidence for alien life. I think junglebeast is referring to logical confidence through inductive reasoning.

There is still controversy over the Mars rock, so in principle that could eventually serve as scientific evidence for life on Mars.
 
  • #58


veattaivatsan said:
Well sir, the 92 elements are the ones discovered as of now(and their abundance too)!We had not focussed or read the whole universe!there may be new element(nor an isotope of element in earth) somewhere in asteroid or planet. And these 92 elements were classified for our purpose.It doesn't mean that there are only 92 elements in this universe.moreover,these reactive elements are reactive in earth-like conditions. but there may be different condition(not yet achievable by human means) in other parts of universe where un-predictable(non-reactive) elements may react and constitute as building block of different type of life there. So ,we cannot say that this is the end of periodic table.After a century , more elements may be added that we cannot even predict! correct my statements If iam wrong!


You are wrong. We understand the structure of the elements and that structure is displayed in the periodic table. Give it a look, there are no holes.
 
  • #59


veattaivatsan said:
Well sir, the 92 elements are the ones discovered as of now(and their abundance too)!We had not focussed or read the whole universe!there may be new element(nor an isotope of element in earth) somewhere in asteroid or planet. And these 92 elements were classified for our purpose.It doesn't mean that there are only 92 elements in this universe.moreover,these reactive elements are reactive in earth-like conditions. but there may be different condition(not yet achievable by human means) in other parts of universe where un-predictable(non-reactive) elements may react and constitute as building block of different type of life there. So ,we cannot say that this is the end of periodic table.After a century , more elements may be added that we cannot even predict! correct my statements If iam wrong!
Integral beat me to it.

The periodic table is universal. The behaviours of the elements are predictable.

While the emergent properties of chemistry can get very hard to predict (any organic chemist and anyone who studies proteins can attest to that), the building blocks are quite limited in scope.

While it is true that exotic lifeforms are not ruled out, it does weigh greatly against them in our search.

Look at it this way:

I hold out a bag to you. It contains 4997 red marbles (which represent the number of ways organic chemistry might produce life) as well as one blue, one yellow and one green marble (representing some more exotic combinations of elements that might produce life).

I tell you you can only reach into the bag a dozen times and that you can only have equipment to study one colour: red, blue, green or yellow (representing our limited resources in the search for life). Each colour marble requires its own set of equipment.

Which equipment would you buy? Red, blue, green or yellow?
 
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  • #60


There is still controversy over the Mars rock, so in principle that could eventually serve as scientific evidence for life on Mars.

Indeed, breaking news indicates there may be a fundamental problem with the Mars rover's search for life! Or, as Dave might say, they chose the Yellow detector instead of the Red one,

http://www.newscientist.com/article...bots-may-have-destroyed-evidence-of-life.html

Ivan Seeking said:
We have no scientific evidence for alien life. I think junglebeast is referring to logical confidence through inductive reasoning.

And how is that not "scientific evidence" ? Evidence of a theory can be based on either deductive or inductive logic..

In deductive logic, one first thinks of a theory, then finds testable hypothesis, tests the hypothesis, observes the results, and finally concludes that the theory is true by deduction.

In inductive logic, one first makes observations, notices a pattern, forms hypothetical explanations, tests them, observes the results and proposes a consistent theory.

From our observations, we can tell that

a) there have observed many rocky exoplanets that are within reasonable distances of their stars to possibly support life
b) the number of observable star systems is so incomprehensibly preposterously overhwelmingly large that the number of planets having similar conditions to Earth is also incomprehensibly preposterously large...assuming that the observable fraction is representable (that follows directly from the "cosmological principal")
c) the same basic elements are available on all planets
d) through random processes, these chemicals may organize into self-replicating sets allowing natural selection to do the rest
e) therefore, the probability of this self organization occurring on some other planet is overwhelming

What is there to disagree with? It seems we have as much evidence for this as we do of anything
 
  • #61


junglebeast said:
And how is that not "scientific evidence" ? Evidence of a theory can be based on either deductive or inductive logic..

A theory or argument is not scientific evidence. The testing part is where you get into trouble. We don't know what process lead directly to life from non-life, so we have no way to show that this would be common to other planets. And even if we could it would only be evidence that life could exist elsewhere - that we expect it to exist. It wouldn't be direct evidence that other life does exist.
 
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  • #62


Well,I will choose one that detects red!because everytime,I use the instrument in the bag,I have the highest possibility to get red ball! but think of this- if we dare to use the blue or green one and if when we get those balls,it will be great leap forward.Eventhough the probability is low,the result is of high value.It will change the way we search for ETs.I mean , there is no discovery without risk.Why can't we search for lives built upon non-reactive elements,besides searching for ETs built upon earthly elements as we do now??
Im just college student and asking questions from layman view!please don't get irritated by my arguments!
 
  • #63


Integral said:
There is NO evidence of alien life forms visiting earth, only speculation on the cause of some unexplained and unrepeatable observations. Any effort to explain without meaningful evidence is speculation.

Not true. We have plenty of evidence for visiting aliens, but it is all anecdotal.
 
  • #64


veattaivatsan said:
Well,I will choose one that detects red!because everytime,I use the instrument in the bag,I have the highest possibility to get red ball! but think of this- if we dare to use the blue or green one and if when we get those balls,it will be great leap forward.Eventhough the probability is low,the result is of high value.It will change the way we search for ETs.I mean , there is no discovery without risk.Why can't we search for lives built upon non-reactive elements,besides searching for ETs built upon earthly elements as we do now??
Im just college student and asking questions from layman view!please don't get irritated by my arguments!

We put our money on the most likely to succeed. If we had an infinite number of research dollars, it might be a different story. Beyond that, the scientists involved want to be successful. They want to pursue the research most likely to yield results.
 
  • #65


DaveC426913 said:
Well, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_the_chemical_elements" , Oxygen is the third most abundant element in the universe. Once you eliminate Helium, you have H and O as the top 2.

Yep. But since the abundance of elements in a particular star system, and thus on a given planet, depends on the generation of the stars from which it is formed, it wouldn't be unusual for local variations to occur. Further, though it would be (presumably) unusual, there could be any number of stellar catastrophes that might alter the balance of elements in one or more planets.

DaveC426913 said:
But let's grant your supposition. How - without a liquid primordial soup in which to mix - would these chemicals you list combine in numbers required to form a process of life?

Dunno. But you'd have a lot of time and a lot of space for finding out. The surface area of a planet times the number of such planets times billions of years.
 
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  • #66


Integral said:
Hey any talk of visitation by aliens is speculation, how is mine any more so. I have simply resolved the issue of discovery.


To ask how they would find us is not the same as speculating as to how they would get here, but if you asked which is more likely, time travel, or travel at speeds beyond the speed of light, I think we get into trouble very quickly. From where we sit right now, I think it is fair to say that time travel may at least be theoretically possible, where travel beyond speed C is not. But I'm not up on the latest on wormholes and other exotic ideas. There is also the idea of alcubierre [warp] drive... I saw that recently one paper came out claiming that there are fundamental problems with that idea. Again, not sure of the latest on that one.
 
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  • #67


I also think it is fair to say that the anecdotal evidence for very strange and unexplained "things", such as in the most interesting UFO reports, is far stronger than any anecdotal evidence that ET is the pilot. So even if we were take some of the most exotic and impressive reports literally and absolutely, it would not constitute direct evidence for visiting ETs. It would only constitute evidence for an advanced technology of unknown origins. For example, the evidence that two F4s tangled with a UFO over Tehran, in 1976, is much better than any evidence for alien abductions. In the former case we have official military (DOD) reports describing the encounters, many witnesses, multiple RADAR tracks, high quality sources, physiological effects on the pilots, etc. In the latter case, with rare exception, we have only isolated cases of one or two persons telling a story.
 
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  • #68


Ivan Seeking said:
... but if you asked which is more likely, time travel, or travel at speeds beyond the speed of light, I think we get into trouble very quickly...
True, except that "travel beyond the speed of light" is not required in order for them to visit us.
 
  • #69


DaveC426913 said:
True, except that "travel beyond the speed of light" is not required in order for them to visit us.

True, given the the modification that it "may not be required for some potential 'them'". :biggrin:
 
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  • #70


DaveC426913 said:
Well,
But let's grant your supposition. How - without a liquid primordial soup in which to mix - would these chemicals you list combine in numbers required to form a process of life?

Not only that. The oceans are too big to allow the potentially combining molecules to come close to each other, so it is very likely that life began in small ponds. But small ponds would never accumulate enough active molecules, without being fed by the sea. This means that we need tides to feed the ponds. It is possible that a large and nearby moon is necessary to abiogenesis.
 

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