- #7,421
jlduh
- 468
- 0
Dmytry said:nothing outstanding or surprising. the clueless are promptly learning that a: the radioactivity is distributed in spots, and VERY much in spots (several orders of magnitude difference between hotspot and area around it) and b: the poorly done monitoring misses those spots. Then they will learn that c: even good monitoring will miss many of those spots.
On to food testing when they will 'discover' that a good chunk of radioactivity is in samples hundreds times above limit, which are rare, and aren't stopped effectively by traditional random sampling.
Well, again what you describe has a name and has been proved by experience at Tchernobyl: contamination in leopards spots.
I repost this map of Tchernobyl contaminated zones (Cs-137) because it is very informative about real life contamination transportation and redeposition:
http://www.netimago.com/image_200655.html I would like to know what could be the reasons why this phenomenon wouldn't apply for the Fukushima plant, looking at how things evolve at the reactors?
My feeling is that we start to see appearing, through the various infos and measurements released in the press, that kind of hot spots (first towards North west axis, then recently towards south west axis, maybe including Tokyo), even at high distances from the plant (and much further than the 30 kms zone), and that's why some governors get angry because of lack of fine "tuning data" to identify these spots and decide what to do (see my post here:
https://www.physicsforums.com/showpost.php?p=3304552&postcount=141 )
Then how do deal with that kind of hot spots, that's all the question. 1) Expanding the evacuation zone in a circular manner with increased radius around most of the hotspots is a solution... more easily done in Ukraine than in Japan due to population density, i admit! 2) Do a real fine tuning based on reliable and updated data. But even this could lead in the future to much more evacuations if hotspots multiply...
The other question is, can this second fine tuning be done in a timely and reliable manner?
And as you said, can statistical sampling on food detect properly the consequences of these hotspots, which are probably like fractals shapes: from macro hotspots to very local hotspots because of local redeposition conditions and concentrations? Japan has lots of mountains which also create a much more complex redeposition pattern scenario than on flat lands i think, because of local geography/meteorology which are characteristics of mountains areas.
Last edited by a moderator: