- #1
Count Iblis
- 1,863
- 8
http://washingtonindependent.com/14988/poll-mccain-slipping-in-arizona
mgb_phys said:He'll always have Alaska...
Count Iblis said:http://washingtonindependent.com/14988/poll-mccain-slipping-in-arizona
UPDATE: A Rasmussen poll released today has McCain leading in Arizona by 5 percentage points, down from 11 points in late September. The new survey found Obama leads by 13 points among independents. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
phoenixy said:It's not about Arizona's EV. But rather the publicity and news coverage is going to further demoralize the McCain campaign. The media is going to bring up the Arizona-is-in-play theme everyday until a McCain-safe poll shows up.
The last poll that shows M+4 was released a week ago. I think the media held a curious but cautious attitude toward it. Now that Rasmussen and Zimmerman both release polls that collaborate with this storyline, the media is going to push coverage on Arizona in the upcoming days.
The latest poll showing McCain 4 points ahead is from a reputable polling organization such as Gallup or Pew Research.
The poll was most likely conducted within the past week, as polls are typically taken periodically and released to the public as soon as possible.
The sample size of the poll varies, but it is typically a few thousand individuals who are representative of the larger population.
The margin of error for the poll is typically around 3-4%, meaning that the results could vary by a few points in either direction.
This poll may show a change in the candidate's popularity compared to previous polls, but it is important to consider the overall trend of multiple polls rather than just one snapshot in time.