Richard Dawkins Going After Faith Healers

  • Thread starter ZapperZ
  • Start date
In summary, Richard Dawkins is writing a book about examining all supernatural "phenomena". He is asking for evidence for a non-physical thing that exist. So far, no one has taken him up on his challenge.
  • #71
I totally understand what you mean when you say that all I have is anecdotal evidence. I know its not "scientific" enough.

I can't claim that its true as long as it is not "scientific" enough. I shall search for it before I put forth any argument to support that case.

But all I wanted to see ask was that why does it work so well on so many people and still elude science? Does science need to grow? Is there a new avenue and new outlook that can be brought about? Is something very obvious missing?

I don't know how homeo works. I have a fairly decent theory as to why faith healing might work, but its based on things that are not accepted by science. Not that science denies them, but that there's not enough experimentation done on the subject, nor sound theories proposed yet.

Thats all I was saying. I was not saying that I could prove it. Quite the contrary, I was trying to see if there's a way that I can. If there's a way I can get an answer to "why so many people are getting cured using homeopathy". I coudnt find an answer any where. One answer that I came across is the "Placebo" theory. But it can't work so often on so many people with such predictablity.

Randi's test on homeo was to apply the medication on a laboratory sample of bacteria and viruses. The test showed that homeo didnt have any effect on the microbes, and the results were as good as they would be with plain water. I understand that homeo medicine might not even contain a single grain of medicine in a sample.

Still, it seems to cure people. Its becoming more and more mainstream. Its affordable, and seemingly, it works. I am yet to hear of a case where homeo failed. There will be cases, but I didnt come across any to analyze where homeo failed.

I am studying the responses of nervous systems during an attack of disease. I am studying the immune system. But since I am not qualified, I don't even know what books to study. Until almost a year ago, me being in India, didnt have access to books on the latest studies on consciousness and what scientists are doing towards it. Now that I have them, I am reading them like a maniac, in hope of understanding.

Similarly, i don't have an access to the books on the other side of homeo. I can ask a homeo doctor about a book, but what ever he suggests would probably be pro-homeo. I want to see anti-homeo ideas and books but i can't seem to find them. And among those that I found, there's no address to the issue of so many people getting cured.

I hoped that this forum, full of intellectuals to whom I have immense respect, would show me some of them. Thats what my stance is. I am not here to prove that science is wrong. I know it can't be complete right, by common sense, and that it can improve with every theory. I am hoping to enhance my understanding and that's all.

in the midst of it, i get across books by people like Richard Dawkins. he seems like a nice guy in the interviews, but his words on religion are "strong coffee". They are almost at the point of hurting. So are randi's.

Just to clear up my stance there. I don't want to be seen as an anti-science guy, which I am not. I hope that this would provide an easier sense of good discussion when ever i might enter into it.

Double standards are there in my argument because I can't do any better. I am not an authority to walk up to a homeo doctor and say "DO THIS". I am hoping that prominent scientists do it. Science has the burdain of serving people. I know that the people who claim such things must also claim them only under "proper" experimental evidence. I am not denying that. But that side of things is totally lacking. All I see is scientists providing "debunking" theories. I can't find "homeo works" experiments at all. I hope I can see some. But since one side is active while the other side seems to be running away gives me no option but to ask more of the provider. I am just seeking to find if there's a through claim as to why it WILL NOT WORK and along with it, to complete the theory, I seek an explanation for WHY ITS WORKING ON SO MANY. Thats all.

I wish that the people who claim these things provide evidence. Its not right of them to claim it if they cant. You see, I am not in a position to do either. I am not a homeo guy who can prove it, nor a scientist who can disprove it. I am looking at scientists to provide me answers that i can use my reason to integrate them in my world view. I am looking for the homeo guys to provide evidence too.

I think homeo WORKS because it SEEMS to. Nothing more than that. Theres no change in my stance there. When I said "Homeo simply works!" i only meant that "to me homeo seems to work!" Theres no difference between those statements, and as I am new to discussing things in english, i requst you to take it as a lack of expression.

Looking forward to learning a lot!
Thanks for these forums!

DJ
 
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  • #72
d_jnaneswar said:
But all I wanted to see ask was that why does it work so well on so many people and still elude science? Does science need to grow? Is there a new avenue and new outlook that can be brought about? Is something very obvious missing?

There have been several studies that indicated that the placebo effect clearly is at work here. In other words, homeopathy has not ruled out this effect. Try look at the STATISTICS and see how many actually got better with it, and then try looking at a similar study whereby a placebo was given instead. You'll see that the number that claims for the homeopathy medicine to work is NEVER higher than the "background noise" of the statistics,i.e. you cannot discount the placebo effect!

Many of us who do experiments are always, always careful about this. Did we get something simply via coincidence or chance? Is our statistical result clear enough beyond simple statistical fluctuation? Not only that, if we do see a correlation, can we figure out the mechanism that allows us to point to a cause and effect? This is important because science isn't just a matter of "stamp-collecting". In medicine, one MUST know of and verify the exact mechanism that causes something before it even goes into a clinical trial. If not, it is voodoo science.

I could point out to you a case where, if you look just at one subject who claim that he/she is affected by cell phone transmitter, managed to indicate 6 times out of 6 whenever the transmitter signal is ON. Now, what would you deduce from this? That yes, a human being can feel something when the transmitter is on, because this is proof? This is what those in the homeopathy industry is also claiming! But this is NOT a scientific proof, and it doesn't pass muster as far as establishing the validity of that claim. This is because if you look at the WHOLE study, the number of people who claim they are affected by such signal but FAILED to correctly detect when the the signal is on is LARGER than whose who got it all correct! Not only that, people who did NOT claim that they are affected by the signal can ALSO got it right, simply based on chance!

What I'm trying to illustrate here is that there are MANY ways in which the apparent observation of something working can be misleading, and can in fact have an entirely different explanation. What science does and tries to establish is that yes, it works, and we can describe/explain the mechanism on why it works. This is a very stringent criteria and not something that can be done simply by declaring it on some internet public forum.

Zz.
 
  • #73
Besides,

I think homeo works on a "life" level. Not just on a chemical level. It works inside a patient, but might not work on a glass plate in a laboratory. I haven't seen experiments like these. Unless its done, its not "Scientific" enough to say that homeo doesn't work, just like randi did. What you said seems to say that test groups have been used. Can you point me to any link if you have any at hand? I would look at the statistics myself.

Could there be a difference? "Life" is something science fails to explain emphatically. All it says is that Life and consciousness MIGHT be emergent properties. Nothing more than that. The mind vs brain debate is age old and is not solved because science didnt grow up to it yet.

Thanks for the discussion and taking your time.
DJ
 
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  • #74
d_jnaneswar said:
Besides,

I think homeo works on a "life" level. Not just on a chemical level. It works inside a patient, but might not work on a glass plate in a laboratory. I haven't seen experiments like these. Unless its done, its not "Scientific" enough to say that homeo doesn't work, just like randi did. What you said seems to say that test groups have been used. Can you point me to any link if you have any at hand? I would look at the statistics myself.

Could there be a difference? "Life" is something science fails to explain emphatically. All it says is that Life and consciousness MIGHT be emergent properties. Nothing more than that. The mind vs brain debate is age old and is not solved because science didnt grow up to it yet.

Thanks for the discussion and taking your time.
DJ

What you just asked is vague and undefined. I have a simpler rebuttal to it - show under clinical trial that it works in the first place. Then we'll go on to try and find what causes it. To try and speculate (it is what you're doing, isn't it?) what could cause it and whether it can or cannot be studied is meaningless when the validity of the phenomenon hasn't been established, even after all these years.

I have, however, studies on the placebo effect that clearly show that these can cause a physiological effect on people. Studies on homeopathy has never even come close to reaching this standard.

Zz.
 
  • #75
I certainly was guessing. I don't know if it works on a life level. But if it works, that's a strong possiblity, isn't it? Especially when its doubtlessly found not to work on a glass plate level, it is still a possibility? I was not suggesting it is, but i think it might be the case. I will wait for scientific explanation before confirming on whether it works at the level or not. Atleast, hahnimann says that it helps "VITAL FORCE" in restoring the bodies balance. Thats what I thought.

Placebo effect is indeed interesting. Psychology over physiology is an interesting topic. Any homeo specific study links? i am googling away, but i take it that i can get a better set of links on these forums than all those thousands that google gives.

Oh by the way, speculation is the first step in formulating an experiment, isn't it? First a theory is estabished and only then, its validity is tested, right? Thats what I was trying to do.

DJ
 
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  • #76
d_jnaneswar said:
I certainly was guessing. I don't know if it works on a life level. But if it works, that's a strong possiblity, isn't it? Especially when its doubtlessly found not to work on a glass plate level, it is still a possibility? I was not suggesting it is, but i think it might be the case. I will wait for scientific explanation before confirming on whether it works at the level or not. Atleast, hahnimann says that it helps "VITAL FORCE" in restoring the bodies balance. Thats what I thought.

Placebo effect is indeed interesting. Psychology over physiology is an interesting topic. Any homeo specific study links? i am googling away, but i take it that i can get a better set of links on these forums than all those thousands that google gives.

Oh by the way, speculation is the first step in formulating an experiment, isn't it? First a theory is estabished and only then, its validity is tested, right? Thats what I was trying to do.

DJ

But see, using terms such as "life level" and "vital force" etc. are vague and undefined. It certainly isn't well-defined in physics and biology. So yes, while we do start of speculating, we speculate using established knowledge, i.e. we try to build on top of things that we already know and well-defined. That way, we know what to measure when we try to verify it. That is not what you are doing here.

I do not have any homeopathy "studies" handy. I think that Bob Park may have a couple in his book, but it has been a couple of years since I read it, so I could be wrong.

Zz.
 
  • #77
But see, using terms such as "life level" and "vital force" etc. are vague and undefined. It certainly isn't well-defined in physics and biology. So yes, while we do start of speculating, we speculate using established knowledge, i.e. we try to build on top of things that we already know and well-defined. That way, we know what to measure when we try to verify it. That is not what you are doing here.

Well then. I must wait till science grows up enough to define them. In case of homeopathy, we need that physics and biology base.

Life force or vital force is not well defined in physics or biology, I wonder why. Psychology may provide answers. Unfortunately, atleast to me, psychology seems to be more of an infancy in its growth than physics and biology. Ill search around nevertheless.

here in india, theories of life force, vital force, what ever you want to call it, is almost home science. But now a days, its too diluted to find concrete information anywhere. That kind of study doesn't feed and so many dropped studying it.

I was searching around why homeoworks and on this particular webiste, skepdic.com , it mentions some of the reasons. Curiously though, same reasons are given to "dis validate" many other alternative medicines, which is understandable. But it goes on so far to say that mystical experiences are psychological delusions based on similar explanations of mistakes in evaluating personal experiences. Although it is a possiblity, it seems a bit too much to assume that who ever thinks any thing that science doesn't understand yet is subject to "mistakes" in personal evaluation. And so far, I didnt find any other explanation than "mistakes in personal evaluation" for the growing demand for homeopathy. ill give some time to think of homeopathy. But mystical experiences are a whole different ball game. I am quite familiar with the practices and with people who had such experiences. Quite closely. Their lifestyles, not just claims, are thorough proof of the validity of their experiences, and the extraordinary feets they perform are almost undeniable, although at the present time, they are just anecdotal. I would love to see a thorough study in it. Otherwise, I will just go ahead and do it myself someday. Studying psychology a bit these days to understand why scientists say that mystical phenomenon are delusions. So far, didnt find any good reason to believe that. Do you have any say towards mystical experiences? Homeo might be placebo, but does mystical experiences (im not talking of just out of body experiences or just paranormal ones of seeing ghosts... I am talking of the likes of one-ness with all existence, ineffable peace and bliss, bliss that passeth understanding, thorough knowledge of self and a wide explanation of psychology of humans without even studying psychology and so forth..).

I should probably discuss mystical phenomenon on another thread. Just thought "faith healing" is a bit related to this, atleast the "faith healing" that I think of is closely connected with mysticism.

If I can know about what ways I can prove such things, it would be rather helpful. I am clearly ignorant of the procedures to follow or anything like that. But anecdotal evidence is so much for me that i can't just deny it. Neither can I prove it, in the case of mystical phenomenon. I understand it philosophically, but not scientifically. I wonder how people study this effect.

I dream of the day when we understand all these things atleast as little as we understand gravity.

DJ
 
  • #78
Oh by the way, speculation is the first step in formulating an experiment, isn't it? First a theory is estabished and only then, its validity is tested, right? Thats what I was trying to do.

You seem to be confusing 'idea' and 'theory' with hypothesis. An idea is just what it sounds. A (scientific) hypothesis is a falsifiable statement. A scientific theory is a well-supported explanation to a phenomena in the natural world that can include facts, laws, inference and tested hypothesis. In science, a theory is trumps a mere fact or law. A scientific theory explains the data and makes testable predictions.

http://www.nap.edu/openbook.php?isbn=0309064066&page=2

Well then. I must wait till science grows up enough to define them. In case of homeopathy, we need that physics and biology base.

Do you know what homeopathy is about? Generally, it is about using heavily diluted substances to attempt to cure illness. According to homeopathy, the more diluted it gets, the stronger the dose is. In fact, even if it is so diluted that no molecules are left, they assert that water can 'remember' it and still have therapeutic effects.

Science has grown up. Science can and have refuted homeopathy, because their claims are so easily debunked.

The Skeptic Dictionary Entry on Homeopathy
http://www.csicop.org/si/2004-05/belgium.html
Mass Media Bunk 11
http://www.csicop.org/si/2004-09/strange-world.html
http://www.csicop.org/articles/19990226-altmed/index.html

Of course, science is open to new evidence, but so far, they have been virtually nonexistent in their support of homeopathy.

d_jnaneswar, I would love for you to explain the article with the Belgium Skeptics.
 
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  • #79
d_jnaneswar said:
Life force or vital force is not well defined in physics or biology, I wonder why.

Maybe, because "life force" is such a poorly defined and meaningless term?
here in india, theories of life force, vital force, what ever you want to call it, is almost home science.
That's a flat out lie.

I was searching around why homeoworks
Which is futile, cause it doesn't.

And so far, I didnt find any other explanation than "mistakes in personal evaluation" for the growing demand for homeopathy.

Lack of knowledge of science in the public, belief in mysticism without evidence, effect of religious/spiritual beliefs, lack of coverage in the media about why pseudoscience like homeopathy doesn't work?

Studying psychology a bit these days to understand why scientists say that mystical phenomenon are delusions. So far, didnt find any good reason to believe that.

I'll give you one. Because there's not a single shred of experimental evidence to the contrary.

Im talking of the likes of one-ness with all existence, ineffable peace and bliss, bliss that passeth understanding, thorough knowledge of self

All badly defined terms. By "thorough knowledge of self", I guess you don't mean knowing stuff like where the pineal gland is located.

If I can know about what ways I can prove such things, it would be rather helpful. I am clearly ignorant of the procedures to follow or anything like that. But anecdotal evidence is so much for me that i can't just deny it. Neither can I prove it, in the case of mystical phenomenon. I understand it philosophically, but not scientifically. I wonder how people study this effect.

One way, is to learn how the scientific method works, and understand what scientists mean when they talk about http://www.physicstoday.org/vol-60/iss-1/8_1.html. Then, the meaning of confirmation bias, control studies and double blind experiments.
 
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  • #80
I did a quick search on possible review papers or surveys of possible "evidence" of homeopathy, and I come up with these two papers that are also available online, at least to me while I'm in Argonne's domain. So I'm not sure that these are available to everyone else.

http://www.annals.org/cgi/content/full/138/5/393
http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/doi/abs/10.1046/j.1365-2125.2002.01699.x

The two review papers essentially say the same thing - no clear evidence on the whole that homeopathy is anything different than the placebo effect. Still, one paper has a more "open" outlook of it, while the other has a more skeptical of it.

Now keep in mind that homeopathy is more than 200 years old. So after 200 years, we are still in the effort of trying to establish its validity, what I said as still trying to get out of First Base. That in itself should mean something if one is aware on how other things have progressed significantly beyond that.

Zz.
 
  • #81
I can confirm that both are available to the general public.
 
  • #82
I hope Dawkins gets to remote viewing. I would seriously like to see this get debunked. Not that I wish it wasn't true. I'm just soo sick of my dad insisting to me that it's true. We get in huge arguments and tells me that I'm limited. Of course I laugh.
 
  • #83
Moridin said:
You seem to be confusing 'idea' and 'theory' with hypothesis. An idea is just what it sounds. A (scientific) hypothesis is a falsifiable statement. A scientific theory is a well-supported explanation to a phenomena in the natural world that can include facts, laws, inference and tested hypothesis. In science, a theory is trumps a mere fact or law. A scientific theory explains the data and makes testable predictions.

Hmmm, while I agree with your other posts, I seriously think we need to give d_jnaneswar a break here with the "definitions." There are plenty of examples of scientific "theories" out there that would not qualitfy your strict definition of a theory (string "theory" does not trump Gauss' "law" nor is it well-supported... atleast not yet). Caloric "theory" and many others also come to mind, but I'm sure you know about them.

So my point is, if so many scientists themselves are so "care-free" about definitions and usage of the words theories, hypotheses, laws, etc, why should the general public be held to a different (higher?) standard?
 
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  • #84
Siddharth,

Cool down. I am not here to win converts or anything. Let logic and reason be prevailant in this discussion rather than blind belief. I am trying to do that, otherwise, I can equally emphatically argue that science is nothing but half-knowledge as of today and blindly deny things as not having "a shred of evidence". Especially cases of consciousness and psyche and Life.

What scientists are saying now about phenomenon like sleep have been around since ages in Indian philosophy. Some of the quotes of modern scientists are almost similarly described by people like Ramana Maharshi. Especially, the psychological phenomenon is someplace which has not seen enough light in modern science.

You say that there's no shred of evidence for mystical experiences. On the contrary, there is tons of anecdotal evidence. I know that anecdotal evidence is not scientific enough. but there must be a reason for such anecdotal evidence. Unfortunately not many scientists did test them as extensively as one is doing, for instance, in the case of particle physics. How can there be evidence when there's no proper scientific experimentation?

When I said that the theories about life force are almost home science, that is science which moms talk to kids, you said its a flat out lie. Unfortunate. Stories of pranayama, yoga, tapasya, about Saints and Mahatmas are surely home science. I also said that these days it lost popularity because it doesn't pay. So, surely its not prominent these days, but it still persists. I am from such a family. The recent support for Swami Ramdev shows how much Yoga holds good in people's hearts in India. Oh, by the way, yoga is also not widely tested scientifically until recently. Even now, research is "going on". If research has not happened, how can there be a "shred of evidence"?

Also, anecdotal evidence is not good as scientific evidence, which i do agree, but as a lay man, and a curious one at that, I need to understand the basis for such huge anecdotal evidence. If science is not strong enough or open enough to get out of its shell to study it, then it begs the question as to why not. I wonder if you ever meditated long enough to find out whether such mystical claims are true or not. Otherwise, there's not much point in discussing "evidence" there, isn't it? When we are not ready to experiment, how can there be evidence?

As you said, the words I used to express my notion of "mystical experiences" seem very vaguely defined. Vaguely defined to you, probably? Any Indian philosopher would consider what I wrote as "definitive". They are anything but vague. How can I know what is vague for you when I have no clue about how far science went and what words you use for what? I want to learn to do that. Thats why I am here. I want to learn science. I want to know why they are vague, when they are anything but vague to philosophers of advaita siddhanta and bhagavatgita. Especially when almost similar words are used by people even in the west, to explain mystical experiences.

For me, anecdotal evidence is so widely available regarding mystical phenomenon. I have been in the thick of things in that case, just like many of you guys might be in terms of science. I wonder if you ever really seen a mystic. If you were, I think this discussion would go on quite differently. I have been practicing meditation and other such concepts for almost 20 years now (I am 26), I learned from an adept, the likes of which science is yet to meet. I want to take that anecdotal evidence, take today's science and find out how I can explain it to the scientific community. Why do I want to do that?
Because science has become a "universal" these days. If I can make scientists understand, I can pretty sure make the whole world understand it.

Or may be I will end up finding that all the anecdotal evidence is just plain false and that i have been mistaken. I am open to that. Thats how I was taught. There have been instances when I stopped practicing meditation and stuff because I was convinced then as to why its just a hocus pocus. I didnt do it until I was convinced otherwise again. I am ready to let go of it if I can truly find out what's happening. I don't dismiss it as "not a shred of evidence" because i don't know what experiments were conducted and how they were conducted and on whom they were conducted. I don't know the study that went into it. I am reading psychology for that. Still, I couldn't find any reason to call mystical experiences delusional. I am looking to study more if it can help me. I am sure that i just started out and there's a lot more to read. But on any case, I will never take your word for "not a shred of evidence" unless you prove that you have studied/experimented the whole thing yourself and explain me as to why it is so "definitively" delusional.

I will read about scientific method as you pointed out.

Moridin :

Homeo seems to be beaten down. I will do a bit more research on that. I was wondering why "anecdotal evidence" is so high. Thats all. I was not for homeo or against homeo. Well, may be I am a bit for homeopathy because it worked on me and my family. But I am open to go against it. Which is what I think I am moving towards, after reading the material you provided.

But its a fact that science is yet to understand what "sleep" is, beyond the effects recorded on the brain. So far, even in the latest "discover" magazine, dreams and sleep are stated as some of the top 10 unsolved mysteries about the brain. So is the concept of "consciousness". Anecdotal evidence for consciousness as a fact of life is unsurmountable. A scientist needs it even to debunk it. Still, sadly enough, science is not grown up enough to explain it! There is still no definitive definition that i know of for the term "consciousness" in science. Thats what I was talking about. Curiously, this concept of consciousness, its links to living beings, the response systems of the body, the workings of involuntary systems of the body, all these are still mysterious to science. Science is still to stamp a solid theory explaining all these. And medicine depends on these things. True that homeo cannot work logically as per today's scientific knowledge. But I see thousands of people getting cured every day. There are about 1000 homeo clinics here in hyderabad, Andhrapradesh, India. They have been in buisiness for many years. I wonder why. Thats all I am saying. I am not saying that it is true. I am saying that to an uneducated guy like me who is beginning to study into this topic, the anectodal evidence seem to say that homeo works. Thats all I was saying.

I will look into it more for sure. It is very interesting.

Regarding mystical phenomenon, it would be great if some can point out books to me that "debunk" them as delusions. I shall seek to buy and read them. Any standard course material (like open courseware) would also be great if you point it out to me. I would be grateful. At this moment in my scientific study, as immature as it is, I can emphatically say that science didnt provide answers to the mystical experiences. But i am open to seeing any studies on it. I can be more authoritative on this to myself, rather than on homeopathy, as I understand how this might work. If you want, i can provide you ample anecdotal evidence of mystic experiences and theories. Especially one by Ramana Maharshi seems very logical. Google it up and you will find that many of His works are free to download. His explanations regarding things like "sleep" and "dreams" and "waking states" are very sound, atleast logically. Recently I read a book called "From Science to God" which quoted phychologists using similar words to explain those states.

Regarding "shred of evidence" on a last note, and regarding concepts of "life force" being home taught in India, one recent article I read online about "Reality" was very close to what was written hundreds of years ago in India. That we might never know what really exists, and can only know what our senses give us, like C.G. Jung said. The effects of reality, and delusion of senses, its limitedness and such stuff is age old. Even many western philosophers of yonder times proclaimed similar ideas, but in India, it was mainstream. (Siddharth, before calling this a flat lie, please read into the philosphies of advaita, visishtadvaita and the hundreds of treatises on bhagavatgita and their histories and influences in India).

That was a bit encouraging to me.

On a final note, I am here to learn, not to prove. First I learn, then I find, then I prove. Until then, I don't accept any thing on blind faith. I will look into scientific studies with a critical eye that science seems to advocate and I shall try and find out the truths of it. I am interested most in these mystical experiences and psychology, although I am interested in physics and chemistry and biology. I love the concept of "evolution", for example, because evidence showed me so. Similarly, I am looking for evidence to call these mystical experiences as delusions, or to call them absolutely true. Oh, by the way, I would like to know about what happened to Fritjoff Capra and his theories and what main stream science thinks about them. I loved "Tao of physics". It was wonderful. What do you guys think about it?

Thanks for telling me what "theory" actually is. I didnt know that. I shall keep it in mind. So, first comes hypothesis, then experimentation and then theory, right?

Sorry for the long post guys, and thanks for taking time.

DJ
 
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  • #85
RetardedBastard said:
Hmmm, while I agree with your other posts, I seriously think we need to give d_jnaneswar a break here with the "definitions." There are plenty of examples of scientific "theories" out there that would not qualitfy your strict definition of a theory (string "theory" does not trump Gauss' "law" nor is it well-supported... atleast not yet). Caloric "theory" and many others also come to mind, but I'm sure you know about them.

So my point is, if so many scientists themselves are so "care-free" about definitions and usage of the words theories, hypotheses, laws, etc, why should the general public be held to a different (higher?) standard?

The general ideas is that a law (generalized mathematical relationship) and a fact (a data point) can be contrasted with a scientific theory explains the laws and facts.

The notion that unsupported objects fall to the ground is a fact. A approximate mathematical relationship that has been heavily confirmed within its error bars is a law. A scientific theory is what would explain all of this.

Also, 'string theory' is not mainstream physics in the sense that it is accepted as a valid and strong approximation supported by empirical evidence.

Perhaps I should label it as a 'currently accepted scientific theory' to avoid confusion.

Why explain to the general public the terms scientific theory and so on? Because there is a profound difference between the usage in the general public and in science.

What scientists are saying now about phenomenon like sleep have been around since ages in Indian philosophy. Some of the quotes of modern scientists are almost similarly described by people like Ramana Maharshi. Especially, the psychological phenomenon is someplace which has not seen enough light in modern science.

I doubt it. Even if it where, it was not based on scientific methodology. Anyone can guess things right.

You say that there's no shred of evidence for mystical experiences. On the contrary, there is tons of anecdotal evidence. I know that anecdotal evidence is not scientific enough. but there must be a reason for such anecdotal evidence. Unfortunately not many scientists did test them as extensively as one is doing, for instance, in the case of particle physics. How can there be evidence when there's no proper scientific experimentation?

Yes, there is indeed reasons for anecdotal evidence such as confirmation bias, false positive pattern recognition, chance, hallucinations and so on. You cannot possibly compare particle physics with pseudoscientific nonsense. There is plenty of 'proper scientific experimentation' in both particle physics and experimental psychology. What are you trying to get at?

When I said that the theories about life force are almost home science, that is science which moms talk to kids, you said its a flat out lie. Unfortunate. Stories of pranayama, yoga, tapasya, about Saints and Mahatmas are surely home science. I also said that these days it lost popularity because it doesn't pay. So, surely its not prominent these days, but it still persists. I am from such a family. The recent support for Swami Ramdev shows how much Yoga holds good in people's hearts in India. Oh, by the way, yoga is also not widely tested scientifically until recently. Even now, research is "going on". If research has not happened, how can there be a "shred of evidence"?

I'm sorry. You cannot just make up words and give them a complete arbitrary definition and then use them to back up your claims. Science is not a noun, it is a verb. It is a process that uses empirical experiments. None of the things you mention are science, not even in India. They are, however, memes that are indoctrinated into the next generation. The fact that pseudoscience persists is not a valid argument for its validity.

The reason that pseudoscience lacks evidence is not because science hasn't examined them, it is because the practitioner themselves have been unable to produce evidence to support their claims.

Also, anecdotal evidence is not good as scientific evidence, which i do agree, but as a lay man, and a curious one at that, I need to understand the basis for such huge anecdotal evidence. If science is not strong enough or open enough to get out of its shell to study it, then it begs the question as to why not. I wonder if you ever meditated long enough to find out whether such mystical claims are true or not. Otherwise, there's not much point in discussing "evidence" there, isn't it? When we are not ready to experiment, how can there be evidence?

Science is about investigations into the natural world. If you want to claim that you have knowledge about something in the natural world, you would need to present evidence for it. I don't see how science would lack strength in its own corner.

There has been no valid methodology or epistemology presented that supports the gain of knowledge through meditation. Spending long times alone without stimuli has been know to cause hallucinations.

The burden of evidence is one the one making the positive assertion, not on other people to disprove it. Science is ready to do experiments on pseudoscience and it has. Pseudoscience has just lost (so far).

As you said, the words I used to express my notion of "mystical experiences" seem very vaguely defined. Vaguely defined to you, probably? Any Indian philosopher would consider what I wrote as "definitive". They are anything but vague. How can I know what is vague for you when I have no clue about how far science went and what words you use for what? I want to learn to do that. Thats why I am here. I want to learn science. I want to know why they are vague, when they are anything but vague to philosophers of advaita siddhanta and bhagavatgita. Especially when almost similar words are used by people even in the west, to explain mystical experiences.

Science uses descriptive language to explain its findings. Just saying that 'well, the life force did it' doesn't cut it. When you can describe the concept of 'life force' in as descriptive language as atoms are described in modern science, then you might understand how your labels are vague.

There have been instances when I stopped practicing meditation and stuff because I was convinced then as to why its just a hocus pocus.

I am convinced that meditation has great psychological benefits. It is just that the random metaphysical claims that goes with it has not been shown to be at all relevant. Spiritual experiences does not have to do with the supernatural at all. According to Carl Sagan (Demon-Haunted World), 'spirit' means 'to breathe' and it does not have to deal with anything immaterial.

I am ready to let go of it if I can truly find out what's happening.

Your first step would be neuroscience.

Still, I couldn't find any reason to call mystical experiences delusional.

Mystical experiences does not need to be delusional. If you are mystified by, say, an unresolved question in science, or a new area that you just have begun to study in science, you are certainly not delusional. It becomes delusional when one attached unsupported metaphysical claims.

But its a fact that science is yet to understand what "sleep" is, beyond the effects recorded on the brain. So far, even in the latest "discover" magazine, dreams and sleep are stated as some of the top 10 unsolved mysteries about the brain. So is the concept of "consciousness". Anecdotal evidence for consciousness as a fact of life is unsurmountable. A scientist needs it even to debunk it. Still, sadly enough, science is not grown up enough to explain it!

The problem with this line of argument is that neither sleep nor consciousness are part of mysticism. With the available evidence, we can conclude that they are very natural phenomena that occur all the time and a lot of research have been made into both sleep and consciousness. There is not only anecdotal evidence for the existence of sleep or consciousness, but much scientific evidence as well.

Curiously, this concept of consciousness, its links to living beings, the response systems of the body, the workings of involuntary systems of the body, all these are still mysterious to science.

There is actually quite a lot that science can show about response systems of the body, from sensation to the vertebrate immune system and the blood clothing system and so on. Reflexes have also been explained. No big mystery here.

And medicine depends on these things. True that homeo cannot work logically as per today's scientific knowledge. But I see thousands of people getting cured every day. There are about 1000 homeo clinics here in hyderabad, Andhrapradesh, India. They have been in buisiness for many years. I wonder why. Thats all I am saying.

There is both the placebo effect and it is no more to the fact that medieval doctors managed to cling on to people as long as they did. The reason they have been in business for so many years is because science obviously has not made a broad appearance in your area.
 
  • #86
Thanks for taking the time.

I accept that I should learn to use the vocabulary correctly. I shall study hard to develop it. I am not even clear on what "mysticism" means. I was using it more as the "spiritual experience" (again, i don't know the english exactness of what I mean.. In sanskrit, it means "Adhyatmika", which is obviously not useful here on these forums..) the experience that Saints claim to have. Claims of experiencing God (meaning, by their own explanations, the oneness that underlies all existence).

I was using "mystic experience" to mean that. I am sorry to use vocabulary loosely. I don't know any better yet. But I am learning.

Science is a verb? Thats new for me! I thought Science is a noun, atleast i was using it that way.

How do we define science? According to Webster's New Collegiate Dictionary, the definition of science is "knowledge attained through study or practice," or "knowledge covering general truths of the operation of general laws, esp. as obtained and tested through scientific method [and] concerned with the physical world."
A quote from the website sciencemadesimple.com . This quote shows that science is a noun? A noun to describe a system?
I doubt it. Even if it where, it was not based on scientific methodology. Anyone can guess things right.

You have the right to doubt it. But i don't think its a guess. All the entire life history of Ramana Maharshi shows complete understanding of it. It is anecdotal, sure, but it is substantial enough to make me feel that He didnt just guess it.

I would one day write a book about the teachings of these "Saints" (might not be the exact word. These are not saints canonized by the pope. By saints, I mean people who perceived and expressed their intimate knowledge that everything that exists is connected and their at-one-ment with all existence. There are countless examples of such people. Many such people are thrown out along with the false quacks that pose as such, by modern thinkers. Paul Brunton is a prominent name that was influenced by Ramana Maharshi.) and how it sits quite well with modern scientific claims. The book "Tao of Physics" did this to a certain extent, but I want to go more deep into it. I want to develop my scientific vocabulary so that I can accurately describe the parallells and exactnesses of their findings with modern scientific findings.

Anyways, back to the topic.
I'm sorry. You cannot just make up words and give them a complete arbitrary definition and then use them to back up your claims. Science is not a noun, it is a verb. It is a process that uses empirical experiments. None of the things you mention are science, not even in India. They are, however, memes that are indoctrinated into the next generation. The fact that pseudoscience persists is not a valid argument for its validity.
I sincerely apologize. I am working on developing my vocabulary. Thank you for your patience and your time to talk with a noob like me.

The reason that pseudoscience lacks evidence is not because science hasn't examined them, it is because the practitioner themselves have been unable to produce evidence to support their claims.
Quite true. Thats what I am trying to achieve. And in the mean time, I am quite open to debunking the whole thing if I can't do it.
I am convinced that meditation has great psychological benefits. It is just that the random metaphysical claims that goes with it has not been shown to be at all relevant. Spiritual experiences does not have to do with the supernatural at all. According to Carl Sagan (Demon-Haunted World), 'spirit' means 'to breathe' and it does not have to deal with anything immaterial.

You are convinced only after seeing scientific results I believe. Regarding whether there's anything Immaterial is debatable based on what one means by "immaterial". I am not sure of its scientific meaning. Many psychological facts like "fear" are immaterial in a sense. Theres no "fear material". Carl Sagan is a great writer. Coincidentially (almost) the meaning of "spirit" given as "to breathe" is very similar to the sanskrit term "Prana" which is "spirit" or "life force", and it also is closely related to breathing. breathing is called "pranayama", the journey or movement of Prana.

Regarding meditation, I would research before i claim.
They are, however, memes that are indoctrinated into the next generation.

If sufficient experimentation was not done yet, I suspect that many people will think of meditational benifits(psychological) as just "memes" too.

There has been no valid methodology or epistemology presented that supports the gain of knowledge through meditation. Spending long times alone without stimuli has been know to cause hallucinations.
I hope to provide that some day. Anecdotal evidence says to me that there is a strong possiblity of knowledge gain through meditation. I shall research more as to how to prove it within the scientific framework.
Yes, there is indeed reasons for anecdotal evidence such as confirmation bias, false positive pattern recognition, chance, hallucinations and so on. You cannot possibly compare particle physics with pseudoscientific nonsense. There is plenty of 'proper scientific experimentation' in both particle physics and experimental psychology. What are you trying to get at?
I was trying to get at saying that there is a need for formulation of methods of experimenting the validity of subjective experiences, and distinguishing temporary hallucinations and true insights and experiences that are life-altering. People who had such experiences devoted their lives to telling people how to achieve the same effects through systematic practices, and there's ample anecdotal evidence to show that such practices did provide the promised results. But the practices require dedication of life, just like study of science does. Those who did dedicate their lives for them and studied them through out did get expected results.

I am accepting that particle physics is far more "science" than the pseudoscience. I am looking forward to studying and creating methods to bring this so called "pseudo science" into the status of "science".

The problem with this line of argument is that neither sleep nor consciousness are part of mysticism. With the available evidence, we can conclude that they are very natural phenomena that occur all the time and a lot of research have been made into both sleep and consciousness. There is not only anecdotal evidence for the existence of sleep or consciousness, but much scientific evidence as well.
Sleep and consciousness are very much parts of mysticism and spirituality. Infact, the spirituality that I am referring to is all about Consciousness. Universal consciousness ( the existence of the trait of consciousness in the fundamental energy which pervades all of the universe as per science ) is at the heart of the teachings of such mystics who claim to have experienced it.
Science is yet to explain what consciousness actually is, how it comes about and why. All it can say right now (according to the books like those of Gary Schwartz and Paul davis) is what it might be. It has not been accurately explained as to when and why consciousness arises in matter. Complexity as the origin of consciousness has been proposed, but has not been proven, either theoritically or practically. Awareness, self-awareness are also not explained fully.

There is actually quite a lot that science can show about response systems of the body, from sensation to the vertebrate immune system and the blood clothing system and so on. Reflexes have also been explained. No big mystery here.
True, but it is yet to be explained as to why the immune system works as a system, and works every time, even when i has a chance not to work. It hasnt explained as to what triggers "self-preservation" in the case of those things. The chemical part of it was explained quite well by science. Its origin is also explained through "evolution". But the "why" of it as to why these cells work in unison to do what they do to preserve the system has not been explained. Similarly, the parts of the brain and the chemical side of things has been explained regarding the involuntary response systems, but not why it works "for" the system.
The close approximation is that the system of natural selection forces those cells to work as a system so as to help them enhance their survival chances. This is a great theory for sure. But it certainly doesn't explain "why natural selection". Why can't just matter remain matter. Why life. why preservation of it. Where did the tendency of self preservation come from? Who wants to "self preserve"? When and how did that "self awareness" arise? Why did it arise? And above all, why does this all work to preserve itself from obeying the second law of thermodynamics? Why do living systems stay ordered?
Also questions like "how does the nervous system know of self preservation?" arise. Also, "does the nervous system know of a "self"?" and "does each cell knows it? Does it know who its working for? Does it work with a goal? What chance is there for a cell to work as it works?" The chemical workings of cells are still a mystery. How those millions of molecules work together to sustain the cell is a mystery. The latest stint is that the synapses display quantum effects which might hint at "life" and "consciousness". Thats the latest stuff I read about what science knows about consciousness. In short, almost all of it is a mystery. Only the chemistry part of it is explained quite well.

I will start studying neuroscience. I am sure I can learn a lot.

Thanks!

DJ
 
  • #87
It all depends what one means with 'science'. It could either be referring to scientific methodology (verb) or the knowledge gained from using scientific methodology (noun).

It is important to separate the concepts used in science from the ones used in religious traditions. Sleep and consciousness are scientific concepts and religious traditions also uses them, although differently. The same analogy could be made for rain dance. I am sure that there are religious traditions that see rain and water as some kind of magical Hocus Pocus, but it is very different from how the concepts of rain and water are used in science.

Where did the tendency of self preservation come from? Who wants to "self preserve"? When and how did that "self awareness" arise? Why did it arise? And above all, why does this all work to preserve itself from obeying the second law of thermodynamics? Why do living systems stay ordered?

Evolutionary traits that can be observed today are here because the individuals who lacked them died. Natural selection is not a conscious mechanism. It can be applied to giraffes for instance. It is not that their long neck suddenly came about, but more that the ones with shorter neck were unable to reproduce as much as the ones with longer, as the ones with the shorter had a harder time finding food.

Living systems stay ordered because of the input of energy. The overall order must reduce, but that does not mean that order cannot shift.

I'll try to answer your other questions to the best of my ability when I have time, if no one have done it before me.
 
  • #88
Well, evolution does explain "how" things came to be, like giraffe's neck. I know that stuff and quite agree with it. But the "why" part of the question is still un-answered. Why should there be any "natural selection"? Why should the world be the way it is? Why do so many "genes" and the protiens in DNA act in such a remarkably accurate way, even though they have a high "chance" of acting otherwise? And why do they do it so consistently?

Those are still unanswered to me. I think they are un-answered, generally, in science.

Also, giraffe's consciousness is a contention. Based on the usage of the word "consciousness" by people like Sir James Jeans, Ken Wilber, Peter Russel and others, giraffe does come under the concept of "conscious" as giraffe is observed to be "self aware" or atleast "aware" of its surroundings and makes qualitative judgments about the situations it encounters. It is a living thing. It makes a change within itself by itself, which requires the information of its current state and the expectation of the state it wants to "change" into. All these are possible if "consciousness" is there in a giraffe. Note that I am using the word "consciousness" in the sense that it is used by guys that I mentioned above. Any other "scientific" definitions that might exist for the word are unknown to me, but i would be grateful if you can provide them to me.

DJ
 
  • #89
d_jnaneswar said:
Well, evolution does explain "how" things came to be, like giraffe's neck. I know that stuff and quite agree with it. But the "why" part of the question is still un-answered. Why should there be any "natural selection"? Why should the world be the way it is? Why do so many "genes" and the protiens in DNA act in such a remarkably accurate way, even though they have a high "chance" of acting otherwise? And why do they do it so consistently?

Those are still unanswered to me. I think they are un-answered, generally, in science.

Er.. let's not turn this into a lesson in evolution. You can ask all you want in the Biology forum.

And the issue to the WHY is well-answered, even in Darwin's original book! It is the environmental pressure on the specie and the available nitch in the ecological system. The species evolve because a newer one is better adapted to the environment that either changed for a number of reasons, or the species migrated to a different environment.

Again, this is well-described in any Botany/Ecology 101 classes. You should not be making that kind of sweeping statements about something that has been well-studied and explained.

Zz.
 
  • #90
Slightly off topic -- I want to know what you guys think of Fritjoff Capra and his book "Tao of Physics". Has none of you read it?

DJ
 
  • #91
siddharth said:
There was a test that Shawn Carlson did on astrology which was published in Nature. Also, there have been other tests which have repeatedly shown that astrology has no greater predictive power than what is expected by chance. I think James Randi had also done experiments which proved the same thing.

Here are the references

- A double-blind test of astrology, Nature 318, 419 - 425 (05 December 1985)
- Treating astrology's claims with all due gravity, Nature 447, 528 (31 May 2007)
- http://www.imprint.co.uk/pdf/Dean.pdf, Journal of Consciousness Studies, 10 No. 6-7, 2003, pp175-198

That looks more like it. It seems that only recently has this finally been addressed [well, that one goes back 1985]. Do we have any more examples? Let's look at all of the evidence. We will also need evidence that personalities can be tested accurately in the first place. Given ten of the best personality tests, how much will they agree about a particular person? Also, are the tests used in these studies still considered to be accurate? How do we know that the personality tests were correct and that the astrological predictions were incorrect, or no better than chance?

I disagree. Claiming that psychic phenomena cannot be reproduced when tested under proper controls, yet somehow may exist otherwise seems very analogous to the God of the gaps argument

The fact is that many psychic claims are made by average people who don't claim to have control of such abilities. It happens when it does. In other cases, even so called psychics say that it just comes to them when it does. There is no justification for demanding that this can be done at will any more than a doctor can insist that patients exhibit symptoms on demand.
 
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  • #92
We have had a number of stories about "psychics" finding bodies when the police failed. The skeptics claim that this is just cleverness, yet not one skeptic has found a body.

https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=138358
https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=89477

I know that we had one news account where the "psychic" is led by instinct or whatever to a lake, she walks into the water, and the body of the missing person literally rises in the water right in front of her. I don't know if it's in there or not, but here are a couple of links for now.
 
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  • #94
Ivan Seeking said:
That looks more like it. It seems that only recently has this finally been addressed [well, that one goes back 1985]. Do we have any more examples? Let's look at all of the evidence.

From here, there are references to 36 further studies, in which astrology was shown to have no predictive power.

The number of peer-reviewed studies I found which validated the claims of astrology was zero.

We will also need evidence that personalities can be tested accurately in the first place. Given ten of the best personality tests, how much will they agree about a particular person? Also, are the tests used in these studies still considered to be accurate?

I believe that the personality test used was the CPI. From the Nature article, the CPI test was used "because the advising astrologers judged the CPI attributes to be closest to those discernable by astrology."

See here for more.
http://www.deltabravo.net/custody/psychtests.php

How do we know that the personality tests were correct and that the astrological predictions were incorrect, or no better than chance?

Even if the CPI test used isn't 100% accurate, I think the consensus is that there exists a definite correlation between actual behavior traits, and the results of the tests. On the other hand, there was no correlation between the astrology charts, and the results of the CPI tests.

Two tests were performed:

Test #1: Astrological charts were prepared for 83 subjects, based on natal data (date, time and place of birth), provided by the subjects. Each subject was given three charts: one chart based on their own natal data, and two charts derived from natal data of other people. Each subject was asked to identify the chart that most correctly described them. In only 28 of the 83 cases, the subject chose their own chart. This is the exact success rate expected for random chance. The astrologers predicted that the subjects would select their own chart more that 50% of the time.

Test #2: 116 subjects completed California Personality Index surveys and provided natal data (date, time and place of birth). One set of natal data and the results of three personality surveys (one of which was for the same person as the natal data) were given to an astrologer who was to interpret the natal data and determine which of the three CPI results belonged to the same subject as the natal data. In only 40 of the 116 cases, the astrologers chose the correct CPI. As with test #1, this is the exact success rate expected for random chance. The astrologers predicted that they would select the correct CPI profiles in more that 50 per cent of the trials.
(from http://skeptico.blogs.com/skeptico/2005/02/what_do_you_mea.html)

The fact is that many psychic claims are made by average people who don't claim to have control of such abilities. It happens when it does.

Maybe. Or, maybe it doesn't happen at all.

In other cases, even so called psychics say that it just comes to them when it does. There is no justification for demanding that this can be done at will any more than a doctor can insist that patients exhibit symptoms on demand.

I don't follow that analogy. The symptoms that a patient complains about can be experimentally confirmed. If a patient complains about something, he/she can be kept under observation till that symptom is experimentally confirmed.
 
  • #95
hmm.. interesting post siddharth!

Looks like astrology lost in those studies! I wonder where and how the tests subjects got their astrology education from. I think that will point to the real culprits.

I don't say that astrology that we see is correct. It is usually wrong. But i certainly don't rule out the possiblity.

Any one heard of "NADI" astrology of India? Its one mystery that is quite simply mind boggling. It has many loop holes too. But none the less, its a puzzle to me. I wonder if any studies went into it. Its a bit secretive too though. Most of the time, it too fails to predict the future. But what those guys can tell you about your past is amazing. They can tell you sometimes even the names of your grand fathers and grand mothers and explain their family, financial and health conditions, which only our family might know.

DJ
 
  • #96
Ivan Seeking said:
We have had a number of stories about "psychics" finding bodies when the police failed. The skeptics claim that this is just cleverness, yet not one skeptic has found a body.

https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=138358
https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=89477

I know that we had one news account where the "psychic" is led by instinct or whatever to a lake, she walks into the water, and the body of the missing person literally rises in the water right in front of her. I don't know if it's in there or not, but here are a couple of links for now.

But see, Ivan, this is why I mentioned about that study regarding the cell-phone transmitter. If you get a large enough number of subjects, then even a few of them are bound to get it "right", simply by chance. What this means is that, unless this psychic can consistently get it right, and get it right under a controlled study, you cannot rule out chance. I mean, how many times did this person get it wrong? And how many times can people like you and I can simply guess at a number of these cases and get it right? That's the whole point of a controlled and large-sampling study - to get factors such as chance and lucky guess out of it.

Again, those reports are similar to the example I gave, where I am simply reporting on people who actually got it right 6 out of 6 on when the transmitter signal was turned on. It is misleading to draw a conclusion on something like that, and that applies to any claim of psychic ability. I want a systematic collection of data on how many times that psychic actually made predictions, under what conditions, and how many of those were right. An individual event doesn't count, and certainly as you can see, isn't convincing either to me or to many scientists. If they want to be out of the pseudoscience doghouse, this is the kind of evidence that is required. There's no way around it.

And I'll make sure we clarify this point again. I am not claiming that such a thing doesn't exist (that is an entirely different argument that I can argue for). I am arguing that to state these things as if it is an obvious, well-known and well-verified phenomenon with the same degree of certainty as everyday physical phenomena is a fallacy. Valid evidence beyond just anecdotal evidence is just isn't there.

Zz.
 
  • #97
ZapperZ said:
But see, Ivan, this is why I mentioned about that study regarding the cell-phone transmitter. If you get a large enough number of subjects, then even a few of them are bound to get it "right", simply by chance. What this means is that, unless this psychic can consistently get it right, and get it right under a controlled study, you cannot rule out chance. I mean, how many times did this person get it wrong? And how many times can people like you and I can simply guess at a number of these cases and get it right? That's the whole point of a controlled and large-sampling study - to get factors such as chance and lucky guess out of it.

However, every time someone says that there is no evidence for psychic phenomenon, they are wrong. We may have no practical way to discern chance from potentially causitive mechanisms, but there is evidence.

Again, those reports are similar to the example I gave, where I am simply reporting on people who actually got it right 6 out of 6 on when the transmitter signal was turned on. It is misleading to draw a conclusion on something like that, and that applies to any claim of psychic ability. I want a systematic collection of data on how many times that psychic actually made predictions, under what conditions, and how many of those were right. An individual event doesn't count, and certainly as you can see, isn't convincing either to me or to many scientists. If they want to be out of the pseudoscience doghouse, this is the kind of evidence that is required. There's no way around it.

I never said that there was conclusive or even convincing evidence to all, but there is evidence. Also, I wasn't aware of anyone claiming proof. It seems to me that many scientists are so quick to dismiss these claims as nonsense that they lose perspective. When we consider some of these cases like that of Etta Smith, the idea that she found the body by chance is basically nill.

And I'll make sure we clarify this point again. I am not claiming that such a thing doesn't exist (that is an entirely different argument that I can argue for). I am arguing that to state these things as if it is an obvious, well-known and well-verified phenomenon with the same degree of certainty as everyday physical phenomena is a fallacy. Valid evidence beyond just anecdotal evidence is just isn't there.

Zz.

That is a matter of interpretation. Again, consider the case of Smith: I don't see where chance plays a likely role at all. The idea that someone could go for a drive in Los Angeles and by chance find the body of a victim that she has visions about, that she had even reported to the police, is ludicrous. It is not the same problem as the transmitters. Now maybe something else could explain it but that conjecture with no basis in fact or evidence. And the fact that scientists don't give such cases more credence tells me that they're not being objective. What I see is the default to the frauds and easily explained cases, and ignoring the cases that are impossible to explain based on the known facts. To me this is no better than pointing to Richard Hoagland as a typical example of a scientist.

I have no problem accepting that there may be questions for which we have no answers. Other seem to demand that we call something nonsense unless it can be proven in a lab. Well, there are plenty of things that can't be done in a lab.

With typical debunking, what I see are scientists and others demanding proof where no one claims any [less the charlatans]. Next, the assumption is that if there is no proof, it ain't real. That is a fallacious. On the other hand, you seem to be happy to accept that real things might exist that we simply can't test at this time [or maybe even never], so we probably agree much more than not.

If there is anything to this stuff, and if we keep open minds and recognize where true mysteries seem to exist, then maybe one day someone smart enough will come along who can figure out how to test and study these things.
 
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  • #98
Moridin said:
Psychic Detective
How Psychic Sleuths Waste Police Resources
http://www.csicop.org/si/2005-07/i-files.html
http://www.csicop.org/specialarticles/psychic-sleuthing.html
http://www.csicop.org/specialarticles/police-psychics.html
Despite Popularity, Psychic Detectives Fail to Perform

As long as there is one valid case, the rest is moot.

It would appear as if no psychic has ever been awarded by the police for helping them solves crimes.

There may not be any awards, but testimony from the police involved in these cases says otherwise. And the fact the Emma Smith was arrested proves that your links are meaningless.
 
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  • #99
siddharth said:
From here, there are references to 36 further studies, in which astrology was shown to have no predictive power.

The number of peer-reviewed studies I found which validated the claims of astrology was zero.

You have certainly produced the best and only evidence ever presented here that astrological claims have been tested. Thank you. Most debunkers talk a lot and do very little. I will be sure to post your links in our Debunking Napster.

I believe that the personality test used was the CPI. From the Nature article, the CPI test was used "because the advising astrologers judged the CPI attributes to be closest to those discernable by astrology."

See here for more.
http://www.deltabravo.net/custody/psychtests.php



Even if the CPI test used isn't 100% accurate, I think the consensus is that there exists a definite correlation between actual behavior traits, and the results of the tests. On the other hand, there was no correlation between the astrology charts, and the results of the CPI tests.

So this would be evidence, but not proof that the claims are falsified. We have no proof that the test is even accurate.

Maybe. Or, maybe it doesn't happen at all.



I don't follow that analogy. The symptoms that a patient complains about can be experimentally confirmed. If a patient complains about something, he/she can be kept under observation till that symptom is experimentally confirmed.

We don't know if the phenomenon even exists, so there is clearly no way that we can make assumptions about when it should work, or under what conditions. The analogy was to compare symptoms that come and go. Another example would be the proverbial intermittent fault in an automotive electrical system. If the fault doesn't happen to occur when the car is at the shop, the mechanic may have no way to find the problem. This is a very common problem in the real world. But the mechanic would be narrow minded and in error to accuse every such customer of lying.
 
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  • #100
There may not be any awards, but testimony from the police involved in these cases says otherwise. And the fact the Emma Smith was arrested proves that your links are meaningless.

Now who is the one that uses anecdotal evidence, reading too much into small number, confirmation bias and observational selection?

If anything, the event you proclaim to be factual actually supports the contents in the links posted. But of course, it seems if you are advocating that it is upon the skeptic to disprove the idea of psychic detectives?
 
  • #101
A dead body and an arrest warrant are not anecdotal evidence.

There is no burden of proof on me here because I'm not trying to prove anything. I am simply responding to false debunking claims with examples.
 
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  • #102
Ivan Seeking said:
However, every time someone says that there is no evidence for psychic phenomenon, they are wrong. We may have no practical way to discern chance from potentially causitive mechanisms, but there is evidence.

I never said that there was conclusive or even convincing evidence to all, but there is evidence. Also, I wasn't aware of anyone claiming proof. It seems to me that many scientists are so quick to dismiss these claims as nonsense that they lose perspective. When we consider some of these cases like that of Etta Smith, the idea that she found the body by chance is basically nill.

The only difference here is the question of the nature of the evidence, and is the evidence convincing? You are ready to grant them the benefit of the doubt. I don't. The issue here isn't some scientist suddenly coming out of nowhere and claiming something to not exist. This has never been the case. The issue here is MANY people claim that these things (i) are real (ii) are as valid as other physical phenomena (iii) should be treated as valid as other physical phenomena. Now that is bogus. It is perfectly valid, in my opinion, to challenge such claims and then ask for convincing evidence. When that doesn't exist, after hundreds of years, then something isn't right here.

Again, we need to look back at all the things that we know now very well and the issue that REAL things evolve from one aspect to another and to another. We know this for sure. This is how valid and real phenomena evolve. We know more and more about it beyond just establishing that it is real. This is not what has occurred with these pseudosciences, and this fact is undisputed.

Even after that length of time, there are people who either accept them, or still want to give them the benefit of the doubt by claiming there are "evidence" just doesn't make any sense to me. How long does one needs to keep an open mind before flies fall into it?

That is a matter of interpretation. Again, consider the case of Smith: I don't see where chance plays a likely role at all. The idea that someone could go for a drive in Los Angeles and by chance find the body of a victim that she has visions about, that she had even reported to the police, is ludicrous. It is not the same problem as the transmitters. Now maybe something else could explain it but that conjecture with no basis in fact or evidence. And the fact that scientists don't give such cases more credence tells me that they're not being objective. What I see is the default to the frauds and easily explained cases, and ignoring the cases that are impossible to explain based on the known facts. To me this is no better than pointing to Richard Hoagland as a typical example of a scientist.

The difference here is that Richard Hoagland hasn't produced anything, while the rest of the scientists have. Can you say the same for that group of people you're defending? When one does work based on physically-testable and measurable phenomena, it really doesn't matter whether people believe you or not. Various institutions throughout history have tried to suppress such things to no success. So why do you think "real" psychics are so special that the typical process of being accepted does apply to them, after all these years? Even poor Galileo and his model of the universe got accepted and verified even with such irrational religious opposition. Yet, psychics could not convince what I perceive to be generally rational, intelligent people, and could not do it for such a long time. Why are they so special?

Zz.
 
  • #103
It is perfectly valid, in my opinion, to challenge such claims and then ask for convincing evidence. When that doesn't exist, after hundreds of years, then something isn't right here.

Well, it is perfectly valid, in my opinion, to say that if science couldn't find evidence in its mere 300 year existence, that it might, in the coming years. And I would certainly agree that then something isn't right here!

Piles of anecdotal evidence and how many investigators?? How much is the science of psychology being taught to the general public so that they can see for themselves as to what the state of science is, regarding psychic phenomenon?

I think the fault is more on the spiritual side of people. Too many people not willing to test their faith, too many people ignoring others faith as some how "false", not many people even bothering about what the mystics told about such things, too many people taking their own, or their friend's opinion (and all the hierarchy of normal people that form religious institutions) as a standard rather than taking Saint's opinions (by saints, I don't mean just canonized, but mystics of all and no religions, whose lives can stand up to the closest scrutiny of human value standards and scriptural standards, who are exemplary on their ethical, moral life styles, and who were ever immersed in bliss that passeth understanding), and add to that, fakers who pose as though they are "holier than others" and start preaching stuff that they don't apply to their own lives, religious and caste based hatred putting off anyone who is decently intelligent, etc..
These are the reasons for science staying "touch me not" with spirituality. But this somehow "evolved" into "Science says so.." attitude where even prominent scientists, who know very well that science is an ongoing process, still claim to "conclusively debunked this or that" is the other side of the problem. There have been great people on both sides, who strove for the betterment of humanity, which ever way they believed in.

All this will come together when a true inquiry about true claims in an open minded fashion happens. Both sides have to act responsibly in this.

Spiritual and mystical (Mystical as in those of mystics) experiences are essentially subjective, and we have to device ways of seeing what actually happens before and after such experiences. Whether the scientific community is with me or not, I am walking this path. May the Spirit of Inquiry reign supreme!

DJ
 
  • #104
d_jnaneswar said:
Spiritual and mystical (Mystical as in those of mystics) experiences are essentially subjective, and we have to device ways of seeing what actually happens before and after such experiences. Whether the scientific community is with me or not, I am walking this path. May the Spirit of Inquiry reign supreme!

DJ

Well fine. Then you have just implied that spiritual and mystical experiences are nothing better than individual preferences for a favorite color. I have zero problems with that. It explains why people with religious and spiritual believes are always at odds with each other and think that only what they believe in is right.

If that is the case, then don't go around trying to convince others of the validity of such a thing when it is nothing more than a personal, subjective experience and preference. It will not work, especially when there is a glaring lack of evidence. And luckily, science isn't anywhere near that. An airplane will fly no matter if you believe if it can or cannot. And that is as clear of a difference between science and pseudoscience, something that many people obviously do not realize.

Zz.
 
  • #105
Okay I took a few notes so hopefully this is a little more comprehensive :)

Nice intro about how science has helped medicine, about increase in life expectancy etc.

Richard visits a faith healer who heals through meditation and relaxation etc. Interview with her where she claims that most humans have a double helix but others have more (triple helix? I don't know), and that the inhabitants of Atlantis had 12 strands organised as four triangles. She heals by altering DNA. She then offers to put Richard's strands back in so that he's closer to the Atlanteans, and she waves her hands and makes some noises and claims that he should feel much better in a couple of months... what?

The funniest moment of the show, Richard comes out of an alternative medicine shop and says to the camera crew "...it's mostly angels".

A bit on the MMR vaccine controversy and how there was very little evidence, and yet now 1/5 of UK children arent vaccinated, and the first death from measels in 14 years.

Richard talks to some ladies at a alternate health fair where they tell him that everyone has angels on their shoulders that look after their health. Richard asks "how many do I have?", she says "have you asked any angels to come to you?", he says "no", she says "well then you haven't got any"...

Interview with a believer in the seven chakras of hindu teaching. She says she believes that they are actually black holes within our bodies. She says a lot of things that are not very well matched with the actual science of black holes and are more guided by common misconception.

Interview with Deepak Chopra about how he relates quantum mechanics to healing. He claims that a thought is a quantization of consciousness, Richard argues that he's just using quantum mecahnics in order to claim that his methods are scientifically valid. Chopra claims that science has arrogantly stolen quantum mechanics for themselves... He thinks that science is arrogant for claiming that they know all the answers (?).

Wooooo HOMEOPATHY. A beautiful piece of imagery here. Dawkins puts a drop of liquid into a fish tank, and asks if this is enough dilution for homeopathy remedies... it isnt, then he does the same in a swimming pool.. it isn't dilute enough, the same in a lake.. it isn't dilute enough, the same drop in the ocean.. still isn't dilute enough. Says that in order to dilute to homeopathic standards it's equivalent to one molecule of substance in the number of atoms in the solar system of water.

The NHS spent £10m recently to refurbish a homeopathic hospital. Theres an interview with an NHS doctor, Dr Peter Fisher. He believes that it does work, although the scientific literature is not conclusive. It shows him dealing with some of his patients, he often gives much more care and longer sessions than most doctors do. He prescribes one of the patients a homeopathic solution of salt. Richard asks how much difference that solution of salt will make compared to all the salt they get in their diets anyways. Fisher says he doesn't know how it works, it just does.

Richard says that while there is good anecdotal evidence for homeopathy, that's not good enough for science, he emphasises double blind trials and give a quick summary of the recent 2005 metaanalysis published in the lancet, where the biggest and most well controlled studies showed no efficacy over the placebo.

He does a little bit on Herceptin and how release of the drug was delayed due to science wanting to be sure that the drug was safe and effective, and compares this to the relative ease that these alternative medicines make it into every day use.

A section where Richard has some kinesiology treatment, lots of tapping of different areas of the body. He talks about how it's obvious that this is doing nothing for his body, but he does feel better, because of the care that's being given to him for an hour. He talks about the hypothesis that contact with a healer (in ancient times) might kick start the body's self-healing.

Interview with Nick Humphreys about the placebo effect, and how people who discover the placebo effect may well invent mystical ways that they make people feel better through, even though it's all due to the placebo effect. Most people who are doing this don't realize that it's just the placebo effect. He even goes as far to say that Jesus probably operated through the placebo effect.

There's an interview with a woman at a big alternative therapy hospital in the UK, she claims that because some of these treatments have been practiced for hundreds of years that they must be good. Richard points out the fallacy, showing that in the places these treatments originated, people are clamouring for western medicine. Being old does not mean that they are any good.

That's about it throughout the whole program he makes sure to state that science is different from this, it is testable, verifiable, and honest.

There's some weird music through the credits.. I don't know what that was all about... maybe one of you will get it.. :)

Apologies for any spelling errors.
 
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