Rumors of Gravitational Wave Inspiral at Advanced LIGO | Sept 2015 Launch

In summary: If the rumors are true, this would be a huge discovery. It would also be a big setback for the many competing theories of gravity. There has been speculation for many years that there could be a stronger signal out there, but no one has been able to confirm it.In summary, there are rumors that LIGO has seen evidence of a gravitational wave inspiral. It is still uncertain if this is true, but there is a press conference scheduled for February 11th to discuss the matter.
  • #176
lpetrich said:
The event's peak gravitational strain at the Earth was about 10-21. Since (strain) ~ 1/(distance), we can extrapolate it back to where it was roughly 1. The distance to the event's source is roughly 1.2*1025 m. So the strain = 1 distance is 104 m or 10 km.

The Sun has a Schwarzschild or black-hole radius of about 3.0 km, and the final black hole thus has one of about 190 km. Thus, the maximum G-wave strain near there was about 1/20.
At that distance, you have to include nonlinear near-field effects.
Yashbhatt said:
Can anyone explain in simple terms the way in which the LIGO managed to keep the mirrors so still?
The mirrors are suspended by a set of 4 consecutive pendulums, which provide passive damping. In addition, seismic motion is actively canceled by moving the point where they are suspended.
 
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  • #177
mfb said:
At that distance, you have to include nonlinear near-field effects.
True, but I was concerned about getting some rough approximation.

I will now consider the question of predictions of alternatives to general relativity. So far, most alternatives to GR have been ruled out because their post-Newtonian predictions disagree with observations. http://relativity.livingreviews.org/Articles/lrr-2014-4/ (Clifford Will, 2014) discusses several of them. The most plausible survivor is the Generalized Brans-Dicke theory, but it contains some parameters that can be adjusted to make it arbitrarily close to GR + (noninteracting scalar field).

Black holes in the Brans-Dicke Theory of Gravitation - Springer by Stephen Hawking.
It is shown that a stationary space containing a black hole is a solution of the Brans-Dicke field equations if and only if it is a solution of the Einstein field equations. This implies that when the star collapses to form a black hole, it loses that fraction (about 7%) of its measured gravitational mass that arises from the scalar interaction. This mass loss is in addition to that caused by emission of scalar or tensor gravitational radiation. Another consequence is that there will not be any scalar gravitational radiation emitted when two black holes collide.
Clifford Will's paper also agrees. However, papers like [gr-qc/9811012] New Black Hole Solutions in Brans-Dicke Theory of Gravity claim that there do exist nontrivial solutions, those with a varying scalar field.

According to Stephen Hawking and Clifford Will, the recent black-hole merger observation does not distinguish between GR and GBD -- the scalar field is constant. So one has to look to systems with at least one white dwarf or neutron star to test GBD's predictions of gravitational waves.
 
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  • #178
spacejunkie said:
Is there any significance in the spin of the final black hole being 2/3c ? I have a vague recollection of reading that this is a natural limit of some kind but I can't pin it down.
The spin of the final black hole, listed as 0.57 to 0.72, is a dimensionless number known as the spin parameter. It is a measure of the angular momentum of a Kerr (rotating) black hole. It has a range of 0 to 1 with 0 being non-rotating and 1 corresponding to a hole with maximum angular momentum. It is defined as ##a = \frac{cJ}{GM^2}##

The is no significance to the value for this event other than it being the result of the spins of the original holes and the dynamics of the inspiral and merger.
 
  • #179
Surely gravitational waves have been observed from the time of Adam, in that the ocean tides are caused mainly by the gravitation of the moon.
Assuming that gravity waves travel at the speed of light, I make the wavelength of diurnal tides to be 2.682 x 10^13 meters.
Detecting gravitational waves of distant sources is of course quite an achievement
 
  • #180
Terry Coates said:
Surely gravitational waves have been observed from the time of Adam, in that the ocean tides are caused mainly by the gravitation of the moon.
Assuming that gravity waves travel at the speed of light, I make the wavelength of diurnal tides to be 2.682 x 10^13 meters.
Detecting gravitational waves of distant sources is of course quite an achievement
Gravity waves and gravitational waves are completely different things. What you refer to is a simple Newtonian effect. Gravitational waves are not an aspect of Newtonian gravity at all. This is unfortunately confusing terminology, but we are stuck with it.
 
  • #181
Terry Coates said:
Surely gravitational waves have been observed from the time of Adam, in that the ocean tides are caused mainly by the gravitation of the moon.
Those are not gravitational waves. They are the direct gravitational field, which is completely different.
 
  • #182
nikkkom said:
Three solar masses worth of energy were converted to the energy of gravitational waves, which are "invisible" (they interact very weakly).
The "annihilation" as in matter-antimatter reaction would generate electromagnetic radiation (gamma rays), not gravitational radiation.
This is very similar to the subtraction of 3 solar masses from the universe - especially if there is no way to recapture (reconvert) the energy in the gravitational wave.
At Newtonian speeds, a 3 solar mass shell will either exert no net gravitational pull or the same gravitational pull as if the 3 solar masses were concentrated at the center of the shell - depending on whether you are inside or outside the shell. So when the gravitational wave was detected, we crossed from outside the shell to inside the shell - loosing the gravitational pull of those 3 solar masses - perhaps forever.

I'm not sure if that math holds when the shell is expanding at relativistic speeds.
 
  • #183
.Scott said:
This is very similar to the subtraction of 3 solar masses from the universe - especially if there is no way to recapture (reconvert) the energy in the gravitational wave.

The energy can be recaptured; GWs passing through matter can transfer energy to it.

.Scott said:
when the gravitational wave was detected, we crossed from outside the shell to inside the shell - loosing the gravitational pull of those 3 solar masses - perhaps forever.

Yes; before the GWs passed us, the gravity acting on us included a 3 solar mass component at the distance of the source--i.e., about a billion light years away. (Note that this is utterly negligible in practical terms; we are only talking about the idealized theory here.) Ideally speaking, as soon as the GWs passed us, the gravity acting on us lost that 3 solar mass component (it still included the rest of the mass of the merged black hole a billion light years away, of course--but that too is utterly negligible in practical terms). Whether that pull is lost "forever" depends on whether any of the energy in those GWs gets absorbed by matter further out, and what happens to the matter afterwards.
 
  • #184
PeterDonis said:
The energy can be recaptured; GWs passing through matter can transfer energy to it.
That was not the case in the LIGO experiment, but more generally one would expect that work could be extracted from that wave. For example, as it passed across a planet, you would think that the planet would minutely warm.

But that implies that something about the planet was able to change the gravitational wave - leaving it a bit weaker than before the interaction.

How exactly would that happen? Would it depend on the mass of the planet? Perhaps the mass and shape? But not of the mechanical strength and structure?
 
  • #185
.Scott said:
That was not the case in the LIGO experiment

Sure it was. If no energy were transferred from the GWs to the LIGO detector, the detector would not have detected a signal. Detectors aren't magic; there needs to be energy transfer for them to work.

.Scott said:
How exactly would that happen?

Consider the simple example from MTW that I think I mentioned earlier in this thread. (Or maybe it was in another of the recent LIGO threads, there have been several.) You have two masses connected by a spring, with the spring unstressed and the masses at rest relative to each other, oriented transverse to a passing GW. The GW will induce oscillations of the masses; i.e., energy will be transferred from the GW to stored energy in the oscillations (i.e., the total energy of the spring + masses is larger when the masses are oscillating than when the system is at rest in equilibrium).

Of course a large object like the Earth is more complicated than two masses on a spring, but the general principle is the same: any time GWs pass through a material where you have atoms (or particles or whatever) with an interaction between them that provides a restoring force if the atoms are moved from their equilibrium positions, the GWs will transfer energy to the material by inducing oscillations of the atoms. From a macroscopic viewpoint, it will look like the object has heated up.
 
  • #186
PeterDonis said:
Sure it was. If no energy were transferred from the GWs to the LIGO detector, the detector would not have detected a signal. Detectors aren't magic; there needs to be energy transfer for them to work.
So the mirrors were accelerated relative to one another, and that caused some of the GW energy to be absorbed.

PeterDonis said:
Consider the simple example from MTW that I think I mentioned earlier in this thread. (Or maybe it was in another of the recent LIGO threads, there have been several.) You have two masses connected by a spring, with the spring unstressed and the masses at rest relative to each other, oriented transverse to a passing GW. The GW will induce oscillations of the masses; i.e., energy will be transferred from the GW to stored energy in the oscillations (i.e., the total energy of the spring + masses is larger when the masses are oscillating than when the system is at rest in equilibrium).

Of course a large object like the Earth is more complicated than two masses on a spring, but the general principle is the same: any time GWs pass through a material where you have atoms (or particles or whatever) with an interaction between them that provides a restoring force if the atoms are moved from their equilibrium positions, the GWs will transfer energy to the material by inducing oscillations of the atoms. From a macroscopic viewpoint, it will look like the object has heated up.
That makes sense. It's the simple mechanical motion of mass that transmits the signals and it's the same mechanisms that absorb the energy.
At the minuscule, these waves probable affected the orbit of the moon around the Earth - and similarly, gravity waves are generated by that orbital motion tending to reduce the moon's orbital energy.

So any type of mass, especially a large one, will absorb some of the GW energy. The elasticity of the mass would change how the energy was converted after being absorbed, but it wouldn't affect the amount of energy absorbed. It would also seem that the amount of energy absorbed would be proportional to the strength of the GW. So until quatization becomes a factor, the GW would only loose a portion of its strength with each interaction.
 
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  • #187
.Scott said:
So until quatization becomes a factor, the GW would only loose a portion of its strength with each interaction.
Sure.

I would expect this value to be tiny, but now I got confused:
As a rough estimate, a slow uniform stretching of Earth by 10^(-21) needs tens of GJ (the 30 GPa are a guess). We have to deform Earth multiple times.

The total amount of gravitational wave energy that passed through Earth is 450 GJ.
 
  • #188
mfb said:
Sure.

I would expect this value to be tiny, but now I got confused:
As a rough estimate, a slow uniform stretching of Earth by 10^(-21) needs tens of GJ (the 30 GPa are a guess). We have to deform Earth multiple times.

The total amount of gravitational wave energy that passed through Earth is 450 GJ.
The following has sections on interaction of GW with matter, and suggests that the above 'hand wave' is inaccurate by orders of magnitude. The first order change in dimension is not the scale at which attenuation/energy transfer occurs. See section 5, on interaction of GW with matter and EM fields.

https://www.lorentz.leidenuniv.nl/lorentzchair/thorne/Thorne1.pdf
 
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  • #190
atyy said:
GR has long been validated at low energies, but remains problematic at high energies. It is at high energies that theories are still needed to complete GR and the standard model.
True, but aren't there also theories that change the low energy/long distance behavior of GR? Like TeVeS or Modified Gravity or other attempts to give a relativistic formulation of MOND? I doubt any of these would yield any difference to vanilla GR in LIGO experiments, but if somebody knowledgeable on the subject could confirm/refute that hunch, I'd be grateful.

Also, what about theories with propagating torsion, such as Einstein-Cartan gravity? Again, I suppose LIGO couldn't see torsional effects (or rather, differences to metric waves, if there are any), but any pointers are appreciated.

Vanadium 50 said:
I'm going to disagree a little with mfb on point (2). He's correct that this experiment doesn't measure the speed of gravity. However, there is still information. The speed of gravity has to be less than the distance between Richland and Livingston, which is about 1850 miles, divided by the difference in time, which is less than 10 ms. So that gives as a ballpark estimate of within a factor of a few of 185,000 miles per second.

So, while a single measurement is not very constraining, it shows that the speed of gravitational radiation is of the same order as the speed of light.
And indeed, somebody has already spun that observation into a paper: On constraining the speed of gravitational waves following GW150914. They arrive at a speed for gravitational waves ##\lesssim 1.7 c##, which is actually a better constraint than I would have expected.
 
  • #191
mfb said:
Those are not gravitational waves. They are the direct gravitational field, which is completely different.
Hi mfb:

It has occurred to me that there is a similarity in the effect of (1) the Newtonian gravity of a moving mass on another mass, and (2) the GW effect. Here is a thought experiment.

Imagine three pendulums A, B and C, each consisting of a spherical weight of the same mass suspended by string of the same length (and therefore A, B, and C all have the same period) in an environment with a gravitational force that is constant (not varying with height or location). Assume that the test environment is a vacuum, and that there are no electric charges on any of the materials. Assume the the points of suspension of A, B, and C are in a line and that the distance between A and B is the same as the distance between B and C. Assume every thing is frictionless.The initial dynamics is that the three weights are stationary.

The A weight is moved away from B as let go.

I am guessing that GR would predict the start of a Gravitational Wave that would cause B and C to move. (If this is wrong, and someone can explain why, I will modify the thought experiment accordingly.) Newtonian Gravity would also predict that the time variable position of A would cause motion in B and C.

As I understand the difference, the NG force moves with infinite velocity, while the GW moves at velocity c. The implication is that both NG and GW produce repetitive motion in B and C with a period equal to (or related to) the pendulum period, but the difference in velocity will produce a relationship in the phase of A's motion and B's motion that would be different with respect to NG and GW.

Is this correct.
 
  • #192
Assuming B and C are not astronomically far away, B and C would move due to the quasistatic field of A which changes slowly over time. You get nearly the same result for Newtonian gravity.
There is also an emission of gravitational waves, but that effect is tens of orders of magnitude (!) smaller for typical pendulum parameters. This effect does not exist at all in Newtonian gravity.
 
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  • #193
Buzz Bloom said:
As I understand the difference, the NG force moves with infinite velocity, while the GW moves at velocity c.

No. Any change in spacetime curvature propagates at the speed of light.
 
  • #194
Buzz Bloom said:
As I understand the difference, the NG force moves with infinite velocity, while the GW moves at velocity c.
PeterDonis said:
No. Any change in spacetime curvature propagates at the speed of light.

Hi Peter:

I am sorry for the confusion. "NG" means Newtonian Gravity.

I was saying that Newton's Laws did not include a finite speed for light or for any other "action at a distance", like gravity. The assumption was that all action at a distance was instantaneous. I was making the interpretation that for this thought experiment, that the difference between Newton and GR was the difference in how long it takes for a change to propagate from one point to another.

I gather from @mfb post #192 that the GR involvement in the thought experiment only involves gravitational waves as a very much smaller effect than the speed of action difference.

Regards,
Buzz
 
  • #195
Buzz Bloom said:
I was saying that Newton's Laws did not include a finite speed for light or for any other "action at a distance", like gravity.

Actually, Newton's Laws were consistent with a finite speed of light. They did, however, assume that gravity was an instantaneous action at a distance. Thanks for clarifying what you meant.
 
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  • #196
Vanadium 50 said:
I'm going to disagree a little with mfb on point (2). He's correct that this experiment doesn't measure the speed of gravity. However, there is still information. The speed of gravity has to be less than the distance between Richland and Livingston, which is about 1850 miles, divided by the difference in time, which is less than 10 ms. So that gives as a ballpark estimate of within a factor of a few of 185,000 miles per second.

So, while a single measurement is not very constraining, it shows that the speed of gravitational radiation is of the same order as the speed of light.
Hummmm, thinking about the geometry of the two measurements in Livingston, LA and Hanford, WA, the time delay between the two can be anywhere between 0 ms and 10 ms. If the source of the gravitational wave is collinear with Livingston and Hanford, then the time delay would be +10 ms or -10 ms, depending on the direction of the source. But if the source is perpendicular to that line, then the time delay would be 0 ms. This is just using high school geometry.

I'm not sure how or if the LIGO team is getting the directions of the source. But if it's from the time delay and the geometry of the two LIGO detectors, Then they can't say much about the speed of gravitational waves. It seems that we need at least 3 non-coplanar detectors to get information on the speed of gravitational waves.

For example, assume 2 things: 1) source of the gravitational wave is collinear with Livingston and Hanford; 2) speed of gravitational waves is 1.4 c. Then the time delay would be 7 ms, consistent with the LIGO measurement.

Is there some shape or characteristic of the two temporal waveforms (other than the time delay) that the LIGO team can use to determine the source direction?

Thoughts anyone?
 
  • #197
They can set a hard upper speed limit based on the time delay alone - if the waves would be much faster than the speed of light, there is no way to get the observed delay. Yes, the upper limit is higher than the speed of light, but not so much. In addition, they observed a chirp, so a range of frequencies. That gives a really good upper limit on dispersion. And we know that there can only be one universal speed that would not lead to any dispersion, unless you want to give up Lorentz invariance completely.

Adding the relative amplitude (and therefore polarization information) allows to make better estimates, but I didn't study in detail which polarization would appear in which way where.
 
  • #198
S.Daedalus said:
...
And indeed, somebody has already spun that observation into a paper: On constraining the speed of gravitational waves following GW150914. They arrive at a speed for gravitational waves ##\lesssim 1.7 c##, which is actually a better constraint than I would have expected.
Thanks for that. This paper discusses my idea in #196 in much more detail. They consider the minimal value of the time delay within two-sigma deviation from the mean. They get
cgw <= 1.7 c
instead of my rough estimate of cgw <= (c 10 ms)/(7 ms) = 1.429 c.
 
  • #199
Assuming the magnitude of oscillating displacement of matter is proportional to the inverse square of the distance to this 410 megaparsec distant black hole merger, I did a quick back-of-the-envelope estimate of of the amount of stretch (and shrink) we would have experienced, had this merger occurred only 8 kiloparsecs away, at the center of our Milky Way galaxy. The number I came up with is .0026 meters, or about 1/10th of an inch.
 
  • #200
The displacement is proportional to the inverse distance. You would have to be much closer for such a huge amplitude.
The energy density is proportional to the amplitude squared, so this drops with the inverse squared distance.
 
  • #201
So to get from 400 megaparsecs to 4 kiloparsecs means increasing the amplitude by a factor of 105, up to 10-16.
 
  • #202
lpetrich said:
So to get from 400 megaparsecs to 4 kiloparsecs means increasing the amplitude by a factor of 105, up to 10-16.
How do you get that? Wave amplitide goes a 1/r. Power passing through a given surface area goes as 1/r2.
 
  • #203
PAllen said:
How do you get that? Wave amplitide goes a 1/r. Power passing through a given surface area goes as 1/r2.
It looks correct to me - the ratio 400 megaparsec/4 kiloparsec = 105.
 
  • #204
Jorrie said:
It looks correct to me - the ratio 400 megaparsec/4 kiloparsec = 105.
Oops, didn't notice the mega/kilo ...
 
  • #205
Hmm, something's up today on APOD.

DrumRoll2_960.jpg
 
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  • #206
There is a LIGO press conference (https://aas.org/aas-briefing-webcast) later today. 10:15 am PDT, 17:15 UTC, 19:15 in central Europe. Another one is scheduled for 4 hours later.
 
  • #207
Here is the abstract. Full paper is available too.
 
  • #208
Short summary: Another clear (>5sigma) signal, apart from that nothing that would be above the background. 14 and 8 solar masses merged to form a black hole of 21 solar masses and 1 solar mass as gravitational waves. Similar distance as the previous event, but in a different direction. The signal was less prominent (you don't see it by eye in the strain curve), but could be tracked over a longer time.
 
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  • #209
I was wondering whether a matching event had been detected in any part of the electromagnetic spectrum, but according to the astronomy.com article there was an unfortunate glitch: http://astronomy.com/news/2016/06/ligo-detects-a-second-set-of-gravitational-waves
Hanna and other LIGO scientists received text alerts almost instantaneously on Christmas night and then quickly rallied to analyze the signal. But the next step wasn’t automated.

LIGO is supposed to tip off hundreds of scientists working on more than 60 partner teams so they can try and train their telescopes onto the source, which could have come from anywhere across a vast region of the sky.

The holiday timing proved a perfect storm that stopped the team from notifying the larger astronomy community until more than 36 hours later. Amid the rumors and secrecy surrounding the initial signal, LIGO scientists couldn’t get the proper permissions to approve a community-wide alert.
 
  • #210
An important prediction of relativity is that G waves and EM waves propagate at the same velocity in the absence of time dispersion. EM propagation can be slowed by refractive index and radiative transfer but there is no clear model for a similar phenomena affecting G waves. Simultaneous detection of G and EM waves from an event will be of significant interest.
 

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