Technical Analysis on Titan Sub (Titanic Sub)

  • Thread starter hagopbul
  • Start date
  • Tags
    Acoustics
In summary: Is it possible that the sound waves are reflecting from the metallic body of the titanic creating interference, and other effects resulting in not being able to locate the subYes. Imagine that the sub has settle onto the deck of the Titanic. How could sonar tell the difference in the return signal?
  • #71
256bits said:
Roomer compartment
Less weight for the craft
Support vessel and components of lessor size, and perhaps manpower.
Roomier?
How do tensile fibres help when they are under compression?
Carbon fibre is not always good.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters
Engineering news on Phys.org
  • #72
a look at some of the regs for these present types of vessels.
https://ww2.eagle.org/content/dam/e...yperbaricfacilities_2021/uwvs-rules-jan21.pdf
Baluncore said:
Roomier?
How do tensile fibres help when they are under compression?
Carbon fibre is not always good.
Make a heavy craft with a volume inside.

Make the a craft with a less dense material.
a a general rule:Two choices.
One can either have the same outside dimensions and thus a similar inside volume.
Or a craft of the same weight, with larger outside dimension, and thus more room inside.

The automobile industry has been doing this for years, so not a surprise.
Ships - same thing.
Would you rather lug around a 14 foot pleasure boat made out of steel, or one made out of composite.
 
  • #73
256bits said:
The automobile industry has been doing this for years, so not a surprise.
Ships - same thing.
Would you rather lug around a 14 foot pleasure boat made out of steel, or one made out of composite.
THOSE ARE NOT EXTERNAL PRESSURE VESSELS.
YOU ARE MISSING THE POINT ENTIRELY.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters, BillTre, DaveE and 1 other person
  • #74
Baluncore said:
THOSE ARE NOT EXTERNAL PRESSURE VESSELS.
YOU ARE MISSING THE POINT ENTIRELY.
What??
Design and manufacture of better and improved products is missing the point.
The point of what sir?
 
  • #75
256bits said:
The point of what sir?
A high external pressure causes the vessel to become 1% smaller, so the carbon fibres are no longer under tension, therefore the carbon fibres are not an advantage.

Baluncore said:
Under high external pressure, tension would be removed from the fibres, the polymer filler would be progressively crushed without the fibres holding it in place. Each cycle of crush would damage more polymer, and so reduce the safe depth, until it failed before reaching the operating depth. Ultimately, one side of the cylinder would buckle inwards, inverting that side of the cylindrical pressure vessel wall.

I cannot see any advantage gain, from including tensile carbon fibre in the construction of vessels subject to high external hydrostatic pressure.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters, Rive and 256bits
  • #76
256bits said:
a look at some of the regs for these present types of vessels.
https://ww2.eagle.org/content/dam/e...yperbaricfacilities_2021/uwvs-rules-jan21.pdf
Carbon composites are not explicitly mentioned, but fiber reinforced structures are handled on a case-by-case basis.

There are technical requirements:
7.1.3 Structural Members in Axial Tension or Compression
7.1.4 Structural Members in Bending
7.1.5 Structural Members Subject to Shear
7.1.6 Structural Members Subject to Combined Axial Compression and Bending
7.1.11 Structural Members Subject to Buckling
It would seem these basic (based on extensive experience) design requirements were ignored.
The extraordinary combination of the lightweight and high strength properties of carbon fibres and their composites makes it an ideal for many existing and emerging applications in weight sensitive industries from aerospace, sports and leisure, defence, automotive to wind energy. However, the inferior longitudinal compressive performance of carbon fibres and their composites compared to their tensile properties limits their wider usage. Indeed, the compressive strength of carbon fibre and carbon fibre composites are about 30 to 50 % of their tensile strength. As will be discussed, the knockdown in properties is controlled primarily by the microstructure of the fibre, while for the composite, compression is sensitive to manufacturing methods, laminate design, voids and other process induced defects. This limitation in compression has therefore led to design constraints that prevent structural components from taking full advantage of the highly desirable properties of carbon fibre.

A review of the structural factors which control compression in carbon fibres and their composites​

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S026382232201025X

Five lives is a high price to pay for failing to do one's homework (basic calculations and testing). Certification is done by experts - with experience, or at least it should be.

The fate of Titan was avoidable/preventable.

Design requirements are based on physical/technical limits of materials (set by Nature), which establish real design constraints. We often design with safety factors to ensure under operating conditions that applied stresses do not approach, and certainly do not exceed, stress capabilities (strength) of the materials.

A forensic investigation into the design process at OceanGate is needed in order to understand the design deficiencies.

Rules and regulations do not inhibit innovation, but rather they are there to ensure safety (i.e., prevent/preclude injury or death).

From a Scientific American article:
“We found five different major pieces of debris that told us that it was the remains of the Titan,” said Paul Hankins, director of salvage operations and ocean engineering at the U.S. Navy, during the press briefing. The searchers’ initial find was the nose cone, followed by a large debris field, where they discovered the front end of the pressure hull. “That was the first indication there was a catastrophic event,” Hankins said. In another span of debris, a smaller one, they found the other end of the pressure hull, which “basically comprised the totality of the pressure vessel.”
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-we-know-about-missing-titanic-tourist-sub11/

So, it would appear the pressure chamber was crushed laterally (radially) and did not telescope. The implosion blew apart the nose cone and front end of the hull and the back end of the hull.
 
  • Like
  • Informative
Likes Klystron, Lnewqban, Rive and 1 other person
  • #77
Baluncore said:
I cannot see any advantage gain, from including tensile carbon fibre in the construction of vessels subject to high external hydrostatic pressure.
Weight. You want your vessel to have about the same density as water. Too much less and it doesn't go down. Too much more and it doesn't come up.

Related is size. Economics says room for N ticket-holders is better than N-1. And the economics is marginal: they seem to be averaging sales around $3M a year, somewhat better than an average McDonalds, and from that pay for the staffm a very expensive vessel, rental of a very expensive support vessel and everything else.

My experience with carbon fiber - whuch is not with submersibles - is that it's pretty amazing stuff. However, transitions to conventional materials are difficult. That's where the problems end up.

russ_watters said:
It's that they ignored basic engineering principles.
Which one did you have in mind?

Astronuc said:
Rules and regulations do not inhibit innovation, but rather they are there to ensure safety (i.e., prevent/preclude injury or death).
I don't believe diving to the Titanic can be done safely - and I am defining "safely" as a 99% survival rate. There seem to have been about fiftyh manned dives, and one faiure.

Should we as a society say that this means that nobody can do it?

As far as certification, who certifies? This is not some sort of glorified glass-bottomed boat. There are about a dozen of such vessels in operation, with a good number being operated by countries with frosty relations with the West,

There is also the question of who has authority. The dive took place in international waters.
 
  • #78
Vanadium 50 said:
Weight
He means, ropes (fibers) are great for pulling but not so great for pushing.
External pressure is expected to make the vessel shrink, not expand.
 
  • Like
Likes Klystron and russ_watters
  • #79
Astronuc said:
So, it would appear the pressure chamber was crushed laterally (radially) and did not telescope.
That is expected, since a cylinder with a pressure difference is subjected to a hoop stress that is twice the axial stress. A cylindrical structure would only concertina length-ways if it had circular bulkheads and ribs, holding the cylindrical pressure hull in place radially. Those ribs would double the depth it could dive, but if it lost control of depth and dived further, it would then concertina. I believe the Thresher suffered a concertina implosion that significantly reduced the length of the submarine.
 
  • Like
Likes Lnewqban
  • #80
Rive said:
External pressure is expected to make the vessel shrink, not expand.
Ah, but you aren't trying to keep the hull from shrinking. You're trying to keep it from buckling. (Which has tension on one side and compression on the other)
 
Last edited:
  • #81
Vanadium 50 said:
You're trying to keep it from buckling.
The hoop compression removes all tension from the fibres, both at the inside radius and outer radius. It would require a significant deflection before the fibre was again taut. Since deflection leads to a local increase in stress, that initial allowed deflection is best avoided.

The hoop compression occurs across the whole section. It is the polymer fill that is subjected to, and must resist, the hoop compression.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters, phinds and Swamp Thing
  • #82
Vanadium 50 said:
As far as certification, who certifies?
U. S. Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA), or equivalent. At least, OceanGate designers should be using the appropriate design methodology based on proven materials.

Vanadium 50 said:
There is also the question of who has authority. The dive took place in international waters.
OceanGate is based in US.

March 10, 2015

The Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) announces that the Human Occupied Vehicle (HOV) Alvin has achieved certification from the U. S. Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA) for operations to its rated depth of 4,500 meters (approx. 2.8 miles). Two certification dives were conducted in the waters off Arica, Chile, on January 26-27 from the research vessel Atlantis, to demonstrate vehicle performance. Navy representatives were on hand to monitor the process and participate in the dives.

Certification of Alvin to 4,500 meters represents the successful culmination of the $41-million, multi-year upgrade of the submersible funded by the National Science Foundation with a significant cost share by WHOI. In January 2014, NAVSEA certified Alvin to a depth of 3,800 meters, clearing the vehicle to return to service. In March 2014 a group of scientists put Alvin through its paces in the Gulf of Mexico, test-driving the upgraded vehicle and its new sampling, imaging, surveying and navigation systems. Alvin has subsequently made 99 dives during missions to the Gulf of Mexico, Juan de Fuca Ridge, and East Pacific Rise. Alvin was positioned in early 2015 off Chile, where depths of 4,500 meters were readily available to complete the certification trials to its full design depth.
https://www.whoi.edu/press-room/news-release/alvin-4500m/

In July 2022

World’s most successful research submersible reaches 6,453 meters, its deepest dive ever​

Woods Hole, MA — Today, the human-occupied submersible Alvin made history when it successfully reached a depth of 6,453 meters (nearly 4 miles) in the Puerto Rico Trench, north of San Juan, P.R. This is the deepest dive ever in the 58-year history of the storied submersible.

The dive was a critical step in the process of achieving certification from the U.S. Navy to resume operations after an 18-month overhaul and upgrade that extended the sub’s maximum dive rating from 4,500 meters (14,800 feet) to its new limit of 6,500 meters (21,325 feet). Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA) requirements stipulate the certification dive be between 6,200 and 6,500 meters.

The three-person crew aboard Alvin for this history-making dive were: Anthony Tarantino (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI), pilot); Fran Elder (WHOI, mechanical engineer); and Mike Yankaskas (NAVSEA).
https://www.whoi.edu/press-room/news-release/human-occupied-submersible-alvin-makes-historic-dive/

In 2011-2012, upgrades to Alvin

2011 - 2012​

During this two-year period Alvin was completely disassembled and upgraded with several notable improvements, including:
  • A new, larger titanium personnel sphere with an ergonomic interior designed to improve comfort on long dives
  • Five viewports (instead of the former three) to improve visibility and provide overlapping fields of view for the pilot and two observers
  • New lighting and high-definition imaging systems
  • New syntactic foam for buoyancy
  • An improved command and control system
The personnel sphere was forged from titanium ingots in Wisconsin, machined and welded in California, heat treated in Ohio, pressure tested in Maryland and underwent final assembly in Texas before being shipped to Woods Hole. It is an inch thicker than the previous sphere, and has 27 cubic feet more interior volume. Alvin's titanium frame was modified in New Jersey to accept the new sphere, and new syntactic foam was manufactured and installed to float the increased submersible weight. All thrusters are now releasable in the event of entanglement, as are the manipulators, batteries and science workspace platform. High definition cameras and LED lights have been added, and fiberoptic cables transmit high quality video signals to recorders within the sphere.
https://www.whoi.edu/what-we-do/explore/underwater-vehicles/hov-alvin/history-of-alvin/
Final assembly of the submersible continued into the early months of 2013. Most of our efforts in late winter and early spring were concentrated on obtaining certification of vehicle subsytems from the Navy's Naval Sea Systems Command (NAVSEA), our certifying authority. Several subsystems, notably life support, received extra scrutiny from NAVSEA engineers due to their critical importance, which delayed approval.

2015​

The submersible operating year began in late January with five qualifying dives off Arica, Chile to officially extend Alvin’s depth rating to 4,500 meters. NAVSEA auditors accompanied the operations team as dives to successively deeper points demonstrated submersible capabilities and readiness for full certification.
2017
The final submersible dives of the season were five engineering descents during the transit from Puntarenas, Costa Rica to Woods Hole, one to our test depth of 4,500 meters. Alvin passed a US Navy functional audit and certification survey in August, and began a seven-month open period shortly thereafter.

2021
The first cruise was a transit to Bermuda for post-overhaul testing, departing Woods Hole October 25. Naval Sea Systems personnel were on board to witness certification activities and approve documentation as the submersible progressed toward 6,500 meter authorization. Following arrival at St. Georges, harbor trials commenced including inclining experiments to ensure adherence to stability standards. Next a series of progressively deeper dives were performed in the vicinity of the island before the ship and sub transited south to deeper water in the Puerto Rico Trench. Alvin made two dives in the Trench, to 3,550 and 5,338 meters, the last being the deepest dive made to date. Unfortunately that dive would be the last of the year as damage to the syntactic foam flotation was discovered after the sub surfaced. It was determined that disassembly of the vehicle would be required to properly address the repair requirements, so Atlantis was rerouted back to Woods Hole in late November so Alvin could be returned to the shoreside hangar. Buoyancy restitution and modification of the frame mounting arrangement is expected to take six months, with a projected return to service in June 2022.

2022
The first cruise departing Woods Hole July 5 bound for San Juan, Puerto Rico facilitated continuation of submersible sea trials begun in 2021. Progressively deeper dives were undertaken in the vicinity of the New England Seamounts and in the Puerto Rico Trench, culminating in certification of the submersible to our new maximum depth rating of 6,500 meters during Dive 5,086 on July 21.

The next voyage, which left San Juan in late July, was a science verification cruise to test operation of ALVIN’s suite of scientific sampling tools. This trip took the ship and submersible north to Tampa, Florida, with dive sites in the Puerto Rico Trench and Cayman Trough. Numerous investigators were aboard to put the upgraded submersible capabilities through rigorous testing. Several more dives in excess of 6,000 meters were accomplished during this series.

Clearly, deep sea diving can be done safely, if done right. It can be expensive.

On the other hand, it can be done cheaply and recklessly, with the result of catastrophic failure. One or more persons decided not to take the risk. I wonder what they knew as opposed to what the four passengers knew. Perhaps the passengers assumed that if the CEO was onboard, it must be safe. Perhaps the risk was minimized or trivialized. Rush was telling the public how safe the industry is. If however, he was including submersibles like Alvin, or if he was including dives at shallower depths, his claims would be misleading at the least.

Vanadium 50 said:
Should we as a society say that this means that nobody can do it?
Risk is a personal decision. If one wants to risks one's life, one is allowed. It's a different matter of risking others' lives.

I suspect that the fatigue (due to overloading) decreased the crush depth, or diminished the failure threshold, and each successive dive moved closer to the failure limit.

I have to wonder if the craft had a Ti (alloy) bulkhead in the middle of the craft, would it have bought some extra margin.

I've done buckling calculations for thin-walled (0.022 inch (0.560 mm), and thinner) tubes under relatively high pressure loadings. No collapse on more than 10k stainless tubes in service. Stainless steel is more resilient that Zr-alloys, which have half the stiffness as 304/316 SS. Although millions of fuel rods (in PWRs) have operated successfully (they didn't fail) with Zr-alloy cladding, some have collapsed because of excess eccentricity/ovality or other anomalies.

Alvin Dive Statistics
https://www.whoi.edu/what-we-do/explore/underwater-vehicles/hov-alvin/dive-statistics/

I was hoping to find how many dives they have performed at 4000 m and deeper.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
  • Informative
Likes Klystron, russ_watters and Lnewqban
  • #83
Vanadium 50 said:
As far as certification, who certifies? This is not some sort of glorified glass-bottomed boat. There are about a dozen of such vessels in operation, with a good number being operated by countries with frosty relations with the West,

There is also the question of who has authority. The dive took place in international waters.
Astronuc said:
Risk is a personal decision. If one wants to risks one's life, one is allowed. It's a different matter of risking others' lives.
I think this is the crux here. The passengers in the sub were technically trained people capable of decision (maybe not the 19 yr old?). The availability (or lack) of any competent certification would heavilly weigh upon me putting my soft pink flesh inside that tank . I think Darwin is, on the whole, better than regulation for truly personal decisions.

That being said I believe that any expectaton of extraordinary emergency response should be predicated upon some robust and sufficient pre-certification, and that should be a societal norm. If you want to just hang your hindquarters way over the edge then go for it, but don't expect me to help pay the piper.

And how many bodies are adrift in the Mediterranean today?
 
  • Skeptical
  • Like
Likes russ_watters and Astronuc
  • #84
NAVSEA? That's really bizarre. It;s not like the Air Force certifies what United Airlines flies. My only thinking is that Alvin undertakes...um..may undertake naval operations.

And why the US? The trip starts and ends in Canada and the dive is in international waters.

To be honest, I don't think we know if this was a gradual fatigue (my guess too, BTW) or some damage on the last ascent, or even damage done during inspection.

ASME has standards for pressure vessels. I haven't looked at them in this context, but I am fairly certain that had they been followed, the vessel would be too heavy to surface, Which is not good either.

That's also what got me thinking about jurisdiction. Getting a US-approved pressure vessel approved to operate in Europe, or vice versa, is a pai - an expensive pain - even though the standards are very similar.

Astronuc said:
I have to wonder if the craft had a Ti (alloy) bulkhead in the middle of the craft, would it have bought some extra margin.
As I said, I think the 2% margin was risky. But if they went with titanium rather than HY-series steels, they have a weight problem. And if they have a weight problem they aren't going to be adding this and that. It's also maybe even worth considering that if they had the ability to add more weight they would have been better off making the pressure hull thicker.
 
  • #85
hutchphd said:
If you want to just hang your hindquarters way over the edge then go for it, but don't expect me to help pay the piper.
Thing is, society has already decided at some level. I have some sympathy for your position, don't get me wrong, but that decision has been made:

When people go out for a hike hoping to beat the snowstorm, which is earlier and more severe than forecast, we still send out the St. Bernards to rescue them. (Happened to a friend of mine. Yes it was stupid, but does she need to die from that? And no, they weren't actual St. Bernards)

When a drunk driver hits a tree, the ambulance takes them to the ER. They don't just smell his breath and say, "Whew! OK, buddy, the hospital is about 4 miles thataway. Sorry about the two broken legs, and good luck!"

And so on.
 
  • #86
Vanadium 50 said:
"Whew! OK, buddy, the hospital is about 4 miles thataway. Sorry about the two broken legs, and good luck!"
I mostly agree that most such decisions have been made, but not all. For instance, there was some talk early in the COVID, with facilities maxed out, to give priority to vaccinated patients (I don't know if this actually occured....and we may not know). Fire and storm victims are routinely warned that calls will not engender response after a certain time so you are on your own.
I don't think we should prohibit customary care to victims in ordinary circumstances, regardless of their idiocy. But likely these decisions will be more and more driven by unacceptable cost rather than technologoical impossibility as scarcity becomes a bigger driver for us on our overburdened planet. And god help me I do occasionally want to dust off my Darwin cap......
 
  • #87
Vanadium 50 said:
As far as certification, who certifies?
The coast guard, I think. They can, and have, stopped vessels from leaving port on a "manifestly unsafe voyage".

https://www.law.cornell.edu/cfr/text/33/177.07

PS: Maybe this is more enforcement than certification though.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Likes berkeman and Astronuc
  • #88
I also agree that people should have some degree of freedom to take what many/most others consider irresponsible risks. At some point there is a societal cost to consider but short of that it should be okay in a free society to risk your life.

But in this particular case there is some suggestion in the media that OceanGate may have been deceptive and perhaps outright lied about some aspects of their product. Even intelligent, technical people can't be expected to have expertise and sound judgement in all things technical. There is a line between risk taking adventurer and duped paying customer.
 
  • Like
Likes Lnewqban, hutchphd and Astronuc
  • #89
CNN - Authorities in Canada and the US each announced the launch of investigations Friday into the implosion of the Titanic-bound submersible that killed all five passengers.

It is unclear whether the probes by the Transportation Safety Board of Canada and US Coast Guard would be one single investigation or two separate, simultaneous examinations. The US National Transportation Safety Board will assist the Coast Guard, the agency tweeted.

The announcements came as investigators continued to scour the ocean floor for any insight into the “catastrophic implosion” on the Titan submersible that suddenly lost communication with its mother ship, Polar Prince, last weekend, officials said.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/23/us/submersible-titanic-implosion-deaths-friday/index.html
 
  • #90
DaveE said:
The coast guard, I think.
Whose coast guard? The dive is in international waters.

And if the US imposes restrictions and high fees, they can just register elsewhere. Why do you see so many Liberian-registered commercial vessels? (And Moldova and Switzerland!)
JT Smith said:
There is a line between risk taking adventurer and duped paying customer.
Well, one way to prevent this is to have the CEO of the company travel with the customers and...oh wait.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Likes pinball1970, DaveC426913, berkeman and 1 other person
  • #91
Vanadium 50 said:
And if the US imposes restrictions and high fees, they can just register elsewhere.
True. But western governments and regulatory agencies can have an outsized effect in the perception of quality/safety, and perhaps the funding for this sort of thing. Of course we can't control what the Somalis do, but that doesn't mean we can't or shouldn't try.

Liberian registered ships still have to be allowed to enter Western ports. Some of that "flag shopping" is about regulations (mostly "red tape"), but much of it is really about taxes.
 
  • #92
Apparently Paul-Henri Nargeolet (77), a former French Navy commander, diver, submersible pilot, . . . had 35 dives to the Titanic site (Wikipedia article).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Titan_submersible_incident#Fatalities

James Cameron has visited the Titanic site 33 times.
https://www.npr.org/2023/06/23/1183975136/james-cameron-titanic-titan-sub

Cameron "also dove the Mariana Trench — the deepest-known point on Earth, about three times deeper than the Titanic wreck site — in 2012, in a 24-foot cylindrical submersible he spent seven years building." I'm guessing it wasn't carbon fiber composite.

The personnel/pilot capsule was a spherical structure.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepsea_Challenger

Cameron and many others in the deep submergence community had long been concerned about the vessel's safety and OceanGate's experimental approach, he said on Thursday, lamenting that the company had ignored experts' calls to undergo a standard certification process.
I'd like to know more about the 'standard' certification process, which apparently OceanGate ignored.

It's clear that OceanGate "shouldn't have been doing what it was doing," he told Reuters, adding that he had declined an invitation from CEO Stockton Rush to go diving with them this season.

Cameron described OceanGate's use of a carbon-fiber hull as "fundamentally flawed" and said he had warned another company several years ago against using that same design principle. He said he regrets not speaking up more this time around.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Titan_submersible_incident#Safety
Because Titan operated in international waters and did not carry passengers from a port, it was not subject to safety regulations. The vessel was not certified as seaworthy by any regulatory agency or third-party organization. . . . A 2019 article published in Smithsonian magazine referred to Rush as a "daredevil inventor". In the article, Rush is described as having said the U.S. Passenger Vessel Safety Act of 1993 "needlessly prioritized passenger safety over commercial innovation".

The Challenger Deep mission for DeepFlight Challenger was scrapped after Virgin discovered it was worthy of only a single dive, not the repeated missions planned.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deepsea_Challenger#Similar_efforts

OceanGate promoted the Titan’s carbon fiber construction — with titanium endcaps — as “lighter in weight and more efficient to mobilize than other deep diving submersibles” on its website. It also said the vessel was designed to dive four kilometers (2.4 miles) “with a comfortable safety margin,” according to court documents.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/nation...onal-design-may-have-destined-it-for-disaster

If Rush claimed Titan was designed to 4000 m, or whatever, it was probably a misleading or apotentially false statement, given the lack of design review and certification; I have to wonder if the designers adhered to any standards. I'd like to see the buckling analysis and stress analysis on the CFC. Does it account for the reduction of structural capability with each dive?

Edit/upate:
A prospective Titan passenger said of Rush,
“He basically told me he knew I'm a helicopter pilot, and he said, 'This is safer than flying a helicopter. It's safer than scuba diving.' And at lunch he said, 'It's safer than crossing the street,' " Jay recounts. "He was a good guy, great heart, really believed in what he was doing and saying. But he didn't want to hear anything that conflicted with his world view, and he would just dismiss it.”

“He absolutely believed what he was saying," he continues. "But I didn't want to get into the safety concerns anymore, because he was so vested in his position. And anybody who questioned it just had a differing opinion."
https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/titan-family-tragedy-averted-due-201531030.html
We don't do proper engineering and science on 'belief'. We need hard objective evidence based on experience and due diligence.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
  • Informative
Likes hutchphd, berkeman and Lnewqban
  • #93
There are international safety standards for passenger-carrying ships, things like how many lifeboats are required, that ironically were put into place following the sinking of the Titanic. SOLAS hes evolved to include design requirements and ongoing inspections (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SOLAS_Convention).

This is entirely different from something like Cameron's Deep Sea Challenger, a vessel he had built and dove in by himself.
 
  • Wow
Likes russ_watters
  • #94
gmax137 said:
There are international safety standards for passenger-carrying ships, ...
Titan did not carry passengers.
The "mission specialists" made donations to support the company.
 
  • Haha
Likes russ_watters
  • #95
Baluncore said:
Titan did not carry passengers.
The "mission specialists" made donations to support the company.
Is that really the stance being taken? I hope not, that's shameful.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters and DaveE
  • #96
Vanadium 50 said:
You want your vessel to have about the same density as water. Too much less and it doesn't go down. Too much more and it doesn't come up.
You design the pressure vessel to be as light as practical, so it wants to rise to safety naturally. Then you neutralize the buoyancy with detachible weights on its superstructure.
.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Likes russ_watters
  • #98
That Wiki page is inconsistent. Just above the line you quoted it says:

Titan made its first dive to the Titanic in July 2021. In total, OceanGate undertook six dives to the Titanic in 2021 and seven in 2022. ... Each dive typically had a pilot, a guide and three paying passengers on board.
emphasis added

And following:
Because Titan operated in international waters and did not carry passengers from a port, it was not subject to safety regulations.
Is that a valid legal argument? Sounds kind of murky.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters and Astronuc
  • #99
gmax137 said:
Is that a valid legal argument? Sounds kind of murky.
I presume the support ship carried the passengers (mission specialists). Then they were transferred in international waters. I suppose they will try that technicality.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters and berkeman
  • #100
The dead undoubtedly signed safety waivers. A lawsuit would need to prove negligence in order to invalidate them.
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters
  • #101
gmax137 said:
That Wiki page is inconsistent
Unlike any other Wikipedia page?
Frabjous said:
The dead undoubtedly signed safety waivers.
According to David Pogue (full disclosure - I worked with him decades ago. I think I have a signed copy of his novel somewhere) the word "death" appears three times on the first page.
 
  • #102
gmax137 said:
This is entirely different from something like Cameron's Deep Sea Challenger, a vessel he had built and dove in by himself.
Mr Cameron was involved in the design process but did not cast the metal nor hand-cut the bolts. He relied on many other people. He did it in a thoughtful and considered fashion. It was an experimental vehicle. The fact that he was alone as pilot does not change the process. If he had a cohort aboard , then each of them should have done an independent analysis.

If misrepresentations were made to Titan passengers about testing or safety analysis, then there is a problem, but it may be problem meting out justice.
I'm a little tired of the badmouthing of the "rich oligarchs". There is a point at which human fallibility will win.
I am instead reminded of watching the Challenger explosion where there was (IMHO) no really honest attempt at informed consent by an otherwise often impressive agency. At best they were delusional. That injustice is still palpable to me.
You can't do better than Feynman (Roger's commission report conclusion) :
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled."
 
  • Like
Likes russ_watters, BillTre and Astronuc
  • #103
hutchphd said:
You can't do better than Feynman (Roger's commission report conclusion) :
"For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled."
Which brings us to this old poster:
Aviation unforgiving.jpg
 
  • Like
  • Love
Likes russ_watters, hutchphd, BillTre and 2 others
  • #104
hutchphd said:
Mr Cameron was involved in the design process but did not cast the metal nor hand-cut the bolts. He relied on many other people.
That's why I said "he had built..." I see now that may be ambiguous (as in maybe I meant "he built it in the past"). I meant, he "had it built" for him by skilled people.

hutchphd said:
I'm a little tired of the badmouthing of the "rich oligarchs".
Me too, I suspect that if one were to investigate, you would find that Rush and his wife gave to many worthy charities.
 
  • Like
Likes Astronuc
  • #105
An engineer's commentary on the Titan event. I can't vouch for his qualifications, but there is an interesting comment about the use of carbon composites. With repeated compression and decompression (cyclic fatigue), the ability to resistant deformation or cracking is diminished. Apparently this is well know.

The video has a comment on the DeepFlight Challenger that Richard Branson purchased following the death of Steve Fossett. Branson wanted to do five dives, but the manufacturer, Spencer Composites, indicated that the design was suitable for only one dive. The discussion starts about 10:00 in the video

Article about Adam Wright
https://engineering.berkeley.edu/news/2013/11/diving-to-the-edge-of-darkness/

Based on testing at high pressure, the DeepFlight Challenger was determined to be suitable only for a single dive, not the repeated uses that had been planned as part of Virgin Oceanic service. As such, in 2014, Virgin Oceanic scrapped plans for the five dives project using the DeepFlight Challenger, as originally conceived, putting plans on hold until more suitable technologies are developed.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DeepFlight_Challenger
 

Similar threads

Replies
4
Views
2K
Replies
10
Views
9K
Replies
21
Views
2K
Replies
7
Views
3K
Replies
7
Views
3K
Replies
13
Views
4K
Replies
1
Views
3K
Back
Top