What If Iran Announced They Had Nuclear Weapons?

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In summary, the conversation discussed the potential scenario of Iran announcing that they have nuclear weapons, similar to what North Korea did in the past. It was noted that this claim would be met with skepticism and that Iran would likely need to provide more proof to be believed. The discussion also touched on the potential implications of such an announcement, including how it could change the dynamics of diplomatic talks and potentially lead to military action from countries like Israel and the US. Ultimately, it was acknowledged that the topic is speculative and serves little purpose to discuss.
  • #36
Things are heating up in advance of March 6

March 6 is the date that the IAEA will deliver it's report on Iran's suspect nuclear actions to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC).

****
Israel

In January 2006, the chief of Israeli Military Intelligence said the “point of no return” will be reached in March 2006. If Iran starts to enrich uranium, it can start producing weapons-grade uranium by the end of the year and have enough to produce a nuclear weapon in another three years (Jerusalem Report, (February 6, 2006).****
China

[China's a permanent UNSC member w/ a veto]

BEIJING (MarketWatch) -- China and Iran may sign a pact as early as March to jointly develop the massive Yadavaran oil field in southern Iran, the influential Chinese magazine Caijing said in a report Thursday.

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France
(mail&guardian)

French Foreign Minister Philippe Douste-Blazy branded Iran's nuclear programme for the first time on Thursday as a "clandestine, military" project.

"It's very simple: no civilian nuclear programme can explain Iran's nuclear programme," Douste-Blazy told France 2 television, two days after Tehran confirmed it was resuming sensitive uranium enrichment work. "Therefore it's a clandestine military nuclear programme."

****
US

(the age)

THE Bush Administration has made an emergency request to the US Congress for a seven-fold increase in funding to mount a huge propaganda campaign against the Tehran Government.

In a further sign of the worsening crisis between Iran and the West, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said the $US75 million ($A101 million) in extra funds, on top of $10 million already allocated for this year, would be used to broadcast US radio and television shows into Iran, help pay for Iranians to study in America and back democracy groups inside Iran.

****
India

(the asian age)

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, seeking wider support for his government’s policy on Iran, held a meeting of the full council of ministers on Thursday to convince his colleagues that Iran had violated the provisions of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and that India just could not afford to have another nuclear nation in its neighbourhood. It was clear from the meeting that there was no change in the government’s position despite protests by the Left parties. The Prime Minister will make a detailed statement on Iran in both Houses of Parliament on Friday.

Dr Singh said that he was willing to have a full debate on the issue as well. He addressed the apprehensions of some political allies that the government’s position could impact on the Muslim vote in India by pointing out that Iran was not a Muslim issue and that countries like Egypt and Yemen had also voted against it and in favour of the proposal to report it to the UN Security Council. He pointed out that India had not voted in isolation or just with the United States, but that Russia and China as well as the bulk of the international community had also taken a similar position. The world, the Prime Minister told his colleagues, has changed.

****

Russia

(houston chronicle)

Russia, too, applied pressure.

Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Moscow's proposal to host Iran's enrichment program was only on the table if Tehran re-imposed a moratorium on such activities at home. He spoke ahead of Monday's meeting in Moscow on the proposal, meant to allay fears Tehran might misuse the technology for weapons.

The meeting is crucial in determining whether international tensions over Iran's program diminish or balloon.

Lavrov, who met with senior EU officials in Vienna on Wednesday, suggested that Russian backing of enrichment on Iranian soil was a long way off.
 
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  • #37
And on the Iranian side, Ahmadenijad's not flinching either. He made a special presidential visit to the nuclear complex in the town of Natanz, where he said this yesterday,

" TEHRAN, Feb. 15 (Xinhuanet) -- Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Wednesday that Iran's progress in the nuclear field was irreversible, the official IRNA news agency reported." The achievements of the Iranian nation in the field (of nuclear technology) are irreversible," IRNA cited Ahmadinejad as saying.

"

Looks like we've got ourselves an incredibly absurd game of chicken. The good news is that there is still one final (temporary) pressure release valve left between now and March 6. On Monday, Iran meets with Russia in Moscow to discuss a possible work-around that neither the US nor Iran have been completely against. Barring this, ughhh.

This week's Worst Job Ever = mid-level worker at an Iranian nuclear facility

(Ahmadinejad should at least let these folks redeem their yearly allotment of vacation days.)
 
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