- #36
Buckleymanor
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So how do you quantify a risk situation.russ_watters said:I disagree with a lot, but in particular the last part. We do have ways of converting the subjective into the objective or at least the quantifiable. As the eye test goes, this is a case that demands it: the output is a number. Possible ways to do it are by asking questions such as these:
Lets suppose a certain rogue nation is trying to develop nuclear weapons.Sanctions are then imposed on that nation to stop them, after years of dispute the rogue nation complies and stops development and sanctions are liftted.Suddenly a new leader is elected to the country which originaly imposed the sanctions and more draconian sanctions are imposed once again on the rogue nation for no apparent reason.
So how do you put a number on the likely event that the rogue nation will start up it's weapons program and use them.